Fiber to the Home Still is About Difficult Investment Conditions

The European Union wants its leading fixed network service providers to connect 50 percent of region households to high-speed broadband by 2020, using fiber to the home technology.

By "high speed," the EU means internet speeds of 30 Mbps or above for European citizens, with half European households subscribing to connections of 100Mbps or higher.

As always, the issue is how to get from here to there. Europe also features high reliance on wholesale access to existing copper access infrastructure, at prices competitors naturally want to keep low, and if possible, decrease.

Service providers who will be borrowing the money to invest obviously think that is detrimental to the business case for new fiber.

France Telecom expects a payback payback time of 30 years to 40 years, far exceeding the three-year to five-year payback expected of application investments.
A business plan with a payback of five years or less has to assume retail penetration of at least 30 percent, and ih many cases also with triple-play service offerings. Any payback analysis is of course highly dependent on the assumptions, ranging from capital cost per location passed, as well as service revenue per location, among other things

That indicates the risk France Telecom and other providers are facing. Those time frames are so long they typically only can be considered by very capital intensive utility firms that operate in monopoly style markets, as fixed network providers used to assume was the case.

These days, the fixed network business faces competition from other facilities-based suppliers, mobile and satellite networks.