Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Some Industries are AI-Resistant

Sometimes conventional wisdom can be quite wrong. Consider the notion that artificial intelligence will disproportionately disrupt jobs in some industries such as agriculture, hospitality and construction. 


At least for the moment, these are some of the areas in which observers expect to see relatively lesser impact from wider use of AI, often in the form of robotic processes. 


And at least for the present, the actual service provided by a human is preferable to that provided by a robot. In many other cases robots cannot cost effectively handle complicated or relatively non-routine use cases that humans can manage easily. 


In fact, jobs such as data entry; transportation; customer service and manufacturing; for example, are considered more likely to be affected by applied AI. 


Other jobs in agriculture; hospitality and construction are viewed as less disrupted by AI, often because the jobs hinge on either human dexterity and customization; fine motor skills, human interaction, empathy and personalized service. 


Job Category

Likely to be Most Affected

Likely to be Least Affected

Rationale

Data Entry & Processing

Data Entry Clerk, Telemarketer, Transcriptionist, Proofreader


AI excels at repetitive tasks, pattern recognition, and data analysis. These jobs are heavily reliant on those skills.

Transportation & Logistics

Truck Driver, Taxi Driver, Delivery Driver, Dispatcher


Self-driving technology is rapidly advancing, potentially automating many transportation roles.

Customer Service

Customer Service Representative, Help Desk Technician, Chatbot Support


AI-powered chatbots and virtual assistants can handle routine customer inquiries, freeing up human agents for more complex issues.

Manufacturing & Production

Assembly Line Worker, Machine Operator, Quality Control Inspector


Automation has been present in manufacturing for a while. AI can further optimize processes, predict maintenance needs, and improve quality control.

Finance

Financial Analyst, Accountant, Tax Preparer, Investment Advisor (entry-level)


AI can analyze vast amounts of financial data, identify trends, and automate routine financial tasks.

Legal

Paralegal, Legal Secretary, Document Reviewer


AI can assist with legal research, document review, and contract analysis.

Creative & Artistic

Graphic Designer (basic), Content Writer (repetitive), Musician (algorithmic generation)


AI is making inroads in generating creative content, though the extent of its long-term impact is still debated.

Skilled Trades


Plumber, Electrician, Carpenter, Welder

These jobs require physical dexterity, problem-solving in unpredictable environments, and often hands-on customization, which are currently challenging for AI.

Healthcare


Surgeon, Nurse, Physical Therapist, Mental Health Professional

While AI can assist in diagnosis, treatment planning, and drug discovery, the human element of care, empathy, and complex decision-making in unpredictable situations is likely to remain crucial.

Management & Leadership


CEO, Manager (complex team dynamics), Entrepreneur

These roles require strategic thinking, interpersonal skills, complex problem-solving, and adaptability, which are currently difficult for AI to replicate fully.

Education


Teacher (personalized instruction, mentorship), Professor

While AI can assist with grading and personalized learning platforms, the human interaction, mentorship, and ability to adapt to individual student needs are likely to remain important.

Science & Research


Scientist (innovative research), Researcher (complex experiments)

AI can accelerate research by analyzing data and identifying patterns, but the creative and critical thinking of human scientists is still essential for breakthroughs.

Tuesday, March 18, 2025

AI Chip Markets and Operations Shifting to "Inference?"


 

The artificial intelligence market changes fast, and not only because new models have been popping up. 

It seems we already are moving towards inference operations as the driver of much of the chip market, for example. 

 As AI adoption scales, cloud and data center operations will prioritize inference-driven AI workloads. 

That will highlight a growing need for specialized hardware optimized for inference tasks, and that arguably is where large end users (Amazon Web Services, Google Cloud, Meta and others) have been working to create homegrown solutions. AWS and Google Cloud, for example, have invested heavily in developing their own AI accelerators, specifically designed for inference tasks. 

The AWS Inferentia is purpose-built for AI inference workloads. Google Cloud Tensor Processing Units are specifically designed for AI workloads, including inference. 

Inference might already represent up to 90 percent of all machine learning costs, for example. 

And lots of capital is being invested in startups aiming to improve processing efficiency.

It Appears U.S. Residents are Spending Less Time Out of Home Since 2003

Perhaps “return to office” policies will make a big impact, but there is some evidence U.S. residents are spending less time out of home, with some studies suggesting people are spending about an hour a day less outside the home. 


Some of us tend to think it is a lingering after effect of the Covid pandemic. But it seems that trend started long before the Covid pandemic. 


In fact, “time out of home” has been falling since at least 2003. Most of us would suspect that the internet and internet-enabled product substitutes are contributing directly, allowing us to accomplish some life pursuits or tasks online, without having to leave our homes. 


source: Taylor and Francis 


Shopping on Amazon eliminates a trip to a retail outlet. And we use food and retail delivery services as well. Videoconferencing might eliminate an office visit. 


And while not every job is conducive to “work from home,” lots of us have spent a good portion of our work lives in remote offices and were home-based, because our work allowed it, outcomes were easily quantifiable, internet apps enabled it and industry culture supported it.  


The social impacts might be just as important, such as loneliness that now seems to know no generational bounds. 


To some extent, the data could also reflect, to some degree, any age cohort effects that have higher representation or lower representation of age cohorts within the entire population, since people tend to spend the most time “out of home” between the ages of 13 and 49. 


Age Cohort

Typical Time Out of Home

Common Activities Outside Home

Factors Affecting Time Out

0-5 years

Low

Daycare, playground, family outings

Parental supervision, daycare enrollment

6-12 years

Moderate

School, sports, after-school activities

School hours, parental rules

13-18 years

High

School, extracurriculars, socializing

Independence, school commitments

19-29 years

Very High

College, work, social life, travel

Education, career, social freedom

30-49 years

High

Work, errands, parenting responsibilities

Career, family obligations

50-64 years

Moderate

Work, leisure, travel, hobbies

Nearing retirement, fewer obligations

65+ years

Low to Moderate

Leisure, healthcare visits, social events

Health, retirement, personal interests


Monday, March 17, 2025

AI-Driven Retail Traffic is Doubling Every 2 Months, Says Adobe Analysis

Adobe data from web site visits as well as a survey of marketers suggests both that generative artificial intelligence now supports marketing initiatives aimed at driving site visits and buying. 


The retail insights are based on analysis of more than one trillion visits to U.S. retail sites, as measured by shoppers clicking on a link. “Between Nov. 1 and Dec. 31, 2024, traffic from generative AI sources increased by 1,300 percent compared to the year prior,” the study reports.


To be sure, “generative AI traffic remains modest compared to other channels, such as paid search or email,” Adobe says. On the other hand, generative AI traffic has been  doubling every two months since September 2024.


source: Adobe 


Traffic to U.S. e-commerce websites from generative AI sources was up 1,200 percent in February 2025 compared to six months ago, and artificial intelligence-driven traffic has been doubling every two months since September, Adobe reports. 


source: Adobe 


The survey of 5,000 consumers found that the most common uses of AI are for research (55 percent of respondents), product recommendations (47 percent), information about deals (43 percent), gift suggestions (35 percent), information about unique products (35 percent), and to create shopping lists (33 percent).


A similar study of U.K. consumers found similar growth.  


That suggests AI already is becoming a driver of consumer behavior that will affect use of other marketing methods, including search and email, and will probably emerge as among the more-important monetization methods for use of generative AI models. 


Marketing Platform

Estimated Shift to GenAI

Timeframe

Source

Search Engines

25% decrease

By 2026

Gartner

Ai Content Creation

30-50% efficiency gain

Current

Bain

Ad Campaigns

10-25% higher ROI

Current

Bain

Customer Segmentation

Significant improvement

Current

Useinsider

Email Marketing

Potential decrease*

By 2026


Social Media

Potential decrease*

By 2026



Perhaps just as predictably, Adobe reports that AI-powered shopping is producing results.

So Language Models, as Do Humans, Will Cheat to Gain Rewards!

Researchers at OpenAI have found that language models, like humans, often look for loopholes to exploit benefit programs. As it turns out, language models using chain of thought reasoning exhibit the same behavior! 


As people share online subscription accounts against terms of service; claim subsidies meant for others; or interpret regulations in unforeseen ways to gain benefits (lying about a birthday at a restaurant to get free cake, for example), so language models using CoT and reinforcement learning.


According to the researchers, exploiting unintended loopholes, commonly known as reward hacking, is a phenomenon where AI agents achieve high rewards through behaviors that don’t align with the intentions of their designers.


In other words, the models can lead to misbehavior, where the model “cheats.” Furthermore, the “cheating is undetectable by the monitor because it has learned to hide its intent in the chain-of-thought,” the researchers say. 


As optimization is applied, there is “potential for increasingly sophisticated and subtle reward hacking” by the models, they say. “Our models may learn misaligned behaviors such as power-seeking, sandbagging, deception, and strategic scheming.”


In other words, the models learn to hide their intent, which is to thwart human-imposed rules. Punishing an artificial intelligence model  for deceptive or harmful actions doesn't stop a model from misbehaving; it just makes it hide its deviousness!


Some Industries are AI-Resistant

Sometimes conventional wisdom can be quite wrong. Consider the notion that artificial intelligence will disproportionately disrupt jobs in ...