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Showing posts from November, 2015

Will Service Provider Costs Have to Decrease 40% by 2020?

There are several reasons why services delivered over fixed networks are going to face tougher competition from mobile services, ranging from orders of magnitude more mobile bandwidth to lower mobile network sunk costs to higher network utilization rates to changing end user demand.
Simply put, demand for consumer-focused mobile services now vastly outstrips demand for fixed network services.
According to the International Telecommunications Union, fixed telephone subscriptions have declined from 15.2 to 14.5 per 100 persons, globally. That abandonment of fixed network voice is occurring at the same time that mobile subscriptions have reached 98.6 percent.
To be sure, demand for fixed network Internet access grew, but slowly, in 2014. Fixed network Internet access subscriptions grew from 10.3 percent to 10.8 percent.
Also, relatively speaking, it is going to be easier to wring cost out of mobile platforms, compared to fixed platforms, in most markets.
Mobile networks cost less than fixe…

U.S. Fixed Network Broadband is "Among Most Affordable" in the World, says ITU

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From time to time, observers complain about the high price of fixed network Internet access, especially when prices climb. A typical line of argument is the retail price, expressed in dollars, compared to prices in other countries, also expressed in dollars.
Analysts who work across regions and nations globally know there are issues with such comparisons. To normalize “prices,” analysts often use purchasing power parity or measures that index communications spending to household income, for example.
Those methods often provide a more-realistic way of comparing prices, since they are expressed in terms that are normalized for purchasing power differences.
In that regard, an International Telecommunications Union report shows that U.S. fixed network broadband prices are exceedingly low, expressed as a percentage of gross national income per person. That is not the only way to compare prices across countries, but is instructive.
Using the per-capita GNI method, fixed network high speed acc…

No Network is "Always Best," But Mobile Comes Close, in Consumer Market

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As a rule, no single access platform is “best” for every deployment scenario, even if mobile networks globally have proven to be the most-affordable for most people, most places.
Still, the relevance of satellite delivery, fixed wireless, specialized business networks and potentially new platforms (low earth orbit satellite constellations, balloons and drones) cannot be denied, even if it is likely most of those new solutions might wind up providing backhaul for mobile networks.
Sometimes the advantage of “specialized” networks comes from customer demand, at other times from the characteristics of the access platform.
Optical networks serving enterprises or satellite TV networks serving consumers in rural areas are examples of specialized demand or cost-optimized delivery.
Still, it is hard to discount the growing “primary” reliance on mobile networks for most consumer purposes. Since 2003, mobile network rural coverage had grown from a bit over 20 percent in 2003, in Africa, to as much…

Mobile Data Services Now Drive Global Mobile Operator Revenue Growth

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At least one global trend--adoption of mobile Internet access services--has sharpened over the last couple of years. On a global basis, adoption of mobile services has reached maturity, though growth lies ahead in some regions, especially Africa.
Other trends continue unabated. According to the International Telecommunications Union, fixed telephone subscriptions have declined from 15.2 to 14.5 per 100 persons. That abandonment of fixed network voice and growth of mobile  while mobile subscriptions have reached 98.6 percent.
Fixed network high speed access has grown slightly, from 10.3 to 10.8 per 100 inhabitants.
Growth in the penetration of active mobile-broadband subscriptions has, however, been very sharp, rising from 37.2 to an estimated 47.2 per 100 persons over the last twelve months alone.
Mobile broadband services, falling prices and the rapidly growing use of smartphones and tablets are driving that trend, the ITU says.  
Individual use of Internet and household access to it ha…

Free Basics to be Offered by Airtel in 17 Countries in Africa

Facebook is partnering with India's Bharti Airtel to bring new services to 17 African countries as part of its “Free Basics” program. 
"In South Africa earlier today, we announced with Airtel Africa that we will be bringing Internet.org free basic services to all 17 countries where they operate," said Mark Zuckerberg, Facebook CEO. "Internet.org first launched in Zambia and today half of the 30 countries with Free Basics are in Africa."
Free Basics will be offered to Airtel customers in Burkina Faso, Chad, Gabon, Madagascar, Niger, Nigeria, Republic of the Congo, Sierra Leone and Uganda.
Zuckerberg also noted that Facebook had partnered to launch a satellite to provide Internet coverage to remote areas of Sub-Saharan Africa starting in 2016.
It's a big day for connecting Africa. In South Africa earlier today, we announced with Airtel Africa that we will be bringing Internet.org free basic services to all 17 countries where they operate.Internet.org first launc…

Mobilink Merger with Warid Creates New Pakistan Mobile Market Leader

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VimpelCom (operating as Mobilink) and Warid Telecom Pakistan will merge their Pakistan telecom businesses, creating the largest mobile company in Pakistan, with about 45 million customers.  

The companies believe the transaction will to lead to savings with a net present value of approximately US$500 million. The combined revenue of the companies for the 12 months ending in September 2015 was US$1.4 billion.
Warid’s Long Term Evolution 4G network will help the new company compete with Zong, the only other operator running an LTE network.
source: Apni Voice

source: Central Asian Cellular Forum

Internet Adoption is Not Simply a Case of Network Investment

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Increasing use of the Internet in India will be driven by smartphone adoption, higher use of 3G and 4G networks, lower devices costs, more-affordable subscription prices and greater understanding of the value of Internet apps.


In other words, higher rates of Internet use will require investments and innovations both in the policy, business and technology realms. Networks reaching all potential users are necessary, but not sufficient.
Supplier business models arguably need to become more sustainable, consumers need to better understand the value of Internet apps and retail prices will need to be more affordable. And growth itself will cause new problems.
As has been the case recently, higher usage means more stress on networks, dropped calls being one clear example. That will be the case for Internet access quality of experience as well as usage climbs.
That will require more investment in spectrum and networks, which also means government policies that encourage investment will matter…

India Will Drive Nearly Half of Asia-Pacific Mobile Subscriber Growth, Driving Internet Access

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India is on track to surpass half a billion mobile subscribers by the end of the year, according to a new GSMA Intelligence study. By 2020, India will account for almost half of all the subscriber growth expected in the Asia Pacific region.

The Mobile Economy: India 2015 notes that 13 percent of the world’s mobile subscribers reside in India. At the  end of 2014, India’s mobile subscriber penetration rate was about 36 percent of the population, compared to a 50 percent global average.

But that is going to change, fast.

The subscriber penetration rate in India is forecast to reach 54 per cent by 2020 as many millions more are connected by mobile.

India had 453 million unique mobile subscribers at the end of 2014, but is forecast to surpass 500 million by the end of 2015 and add a further 250 million subscribers by 2020 to reach 734 million.  

That matters for reasons beyond the ability to communicate using voice and text. Fixed broadband penetration in India is about 2.5 percent, and will…

Millennials Will Buy Video, Audio Entertainment. News? Not So Much

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Some 93 percent of Millennials buy some form of content, a study by the American Press Institute finds. The bad news for “press” entities is that most of that spending is for video or audio entertainment products, not “news.”
The two most popular types of paid subscriptions or content regularly used by Millennials are those that access online movies and TV (77 percent) and cable television (69 percent).
A majority of Millennials also use paid content for music (54 percent) and video games (51 percent).
The most popular paid news subscriptions or content regularly used by Millennials are print magazines (30 percent) and print newspapers (29 percent).
Fewer than 20 percent of Millennials regularly use paid access to a digital news app (19 percent), a digital newspaper (15 percent), a digital magazine (15 percent), or an email newsletter (15 percent).

source: Business Insider

Why Spectrum Sharing Matters

A new white paper on What is Spectrum Sharing and Why Does it Matter?is posted on the Spectrum Futures blog. 
Spectrum sharing matters because communications spectrum is a scarce asset, and demand is growing very fast, both because billions of new Internet access users will come online, and because new Internet apps and devices consume vastly more bandwidth. Spectrum sharing martters, in large markets, because there is, for example, almost no uncommitted communications spectrum available in the sub-2-GHz range. Though there is an expectation that much spectrum in millimeter bands (3 GHz to 300 GHz) can be allocated for communications purposes, most of that spectrum will be severely “short range,” and hence best suited for indoor or small cell applications. Global mobile data traffic grew 69 percent in 2014, and each succeeding mobile generation seems to grow consumption by an order of magnitude, according to Cisco estimates. Long Term Evolution (4G) devices consume an order of magnitude m…

Blue Origin (Jeff Bezos Company) Makes First-Ever Landing of a Reusable Rocket Booster

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Blue Origin, a company owned by Jeff Bezos, has successfully, for the very first time, managed to land a rocket booster.

Once repeatable, that reuse of boosters could dramatically slice the cost of launching payloads. Some think a reduction to about 20 percent of today's launch cost is possible.

Mobile Money is Among Key Telco Innovation Successes

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Some telco efforts to enter new markets succeed, while others fail.

Mobile money businesses appear to be a clear example of the former, while over the top voice and messaging services appear to be an example of the latter.

At least so far, there is optimism about Internet of Things initiatives. It is unclear whether cloud computing might become an example of the latter, as well.

Mobile success in banking-related services might come as a bit of a surprise, even if “financial inclusion” is a major problem.

As of 2014, 40 percent of the global adult population did not have any kind of formal financial account, bank based or otherwise, and as such were considered financially excluded, according to GSMA.

Emerging markets led the growth of global non-cash transactions between 2009 and 2013. The volume of non-cash transactions grew 13 percent compared to mature markets at six percent, driven by emerging markets in Asia, Central and Eastern Europe, Middle East and Africa, which saw growth rates…

High Consumer and Supplier Taxes Affect Mobile Adoption

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Direct taxes on consumers for using mobile services. Taxes and fees likewise represent a huge percentage of operating costs for many mobile service providers.
In Pakistan, taxes represent 32 percent of the total cost of consumer mobile ownership and 33 percent of the cost to consumers of using mobile services.
In India, consumer taxes represent 23 percent of the total consumer cost of mobile ownership and 23 percent of the cost of using mobile services, according to the GSMA.
In India, “total outflow to the government in the form of all fees (spectrum, license, upfront, deferred) is an astounding between 25 percent to 35 percent every year,” says Parag Kar, Qualcomm VP, government affairs, India and South Asia, quantifying the impact of operator-specific fees. “This will impact operator’s ability to invest in networks and electronics.”
source: GSMA

In Emerging Markets, Mobile IS Internet Access, Says GSMA

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With low fixed network Internet access availability in most emerging markets, mobile is increasingly becoming the key method for Internet access, the GSMA reports.
Coverage levels of 3G and 4G networks in emerging markets are expected to increase to 84 percent and 65 percent of the population respectively by 2020.
Given the increased availability of high-speed internet and the growing supply of sub-$50 smartphones, smartphone adoption will increase significantly to 2020, to account for 60 percent of total connections or more than 4.5 billion connections.By 2020, mobile Internet access will reach 100 percent in East Asia, 106 percent in South America and 131 percent in Central and Eastern Europe.
By 2020, mobile Internet access will have climbed from the 2014 level of 24 percent in the Middle East and North Africa to 71 percent. In Sub-Saharan Africa mobile Internet access will grow from 13 percent to 53 percent.
In South Asia, mobile Internet access will rise from seven percent to 41 pe…