Friday, November 6, 2026

As You Might Guess, Influencer Trust Varies by Generation

A new survey conducted by Morning Consult suggests relatively widespread mistrust of “influencers” who often refer to themselves as “content creators,”  even if there are some expected generational differences. 


But then, what would you expect for a craft that features monetization based on the success of marketing purposes? 


source: Business Insider


The influencer trust gap is generational, as you might suspect: 

  • Gen Z and Millennials trust creator recommendations (62%, 64%)

  • buy from them regularly (48%, 52% often/sometimes)

  • get their news from them (64%, 61%)

  • say creator content has shaped their societal and political views. 


Much-greater skepticism exists among Baby Boomers, of whom:

  • only 31% trust recommendations

  • 43% never bought based on one

  • are the only generation that is net-negative on creators' societal impact (31% negative vs. 17% positive).


To be sure, we might agree that some ethical standards exist for a variety of content-creation endeavors, even when not honored universally. At least in principle, we have wanted journalists to be fair; commentators to have points of view but avoid bias or dishonesty; advertisers to be be truthful or at least not deceptive; marketers to be honest; content creators to be accurate about non-fiction material; influencers credible. 


Profession

Primary purpose

Principal ethical obligation

Independence and conflicts

Relationship with audience

Journalists

Inform the public

Accuracy, verification, fairness, minimizing harm

Must resist pressure from owners, advertisers, political interests and sources

Audience is entitled to expect independent reporting

Commentators

Interpret events and express opinions

Intellectual honesty, factual accuracy, distinguishing evidence from opinion

Should disclose financial, political or institutional interests that could affect their views

Audience should understand the commentator's perspective and possible biases

Advertisers

Promote products, services or causes

Truthful claims, substantiation, avoidance of deceptive or unfair practices

Must disclose sponsorship and avoid misleading representations

Audience is a prospective customer or decision-maker

Marketers

Create demand and influence purchasing decisions

Honest representation, responsible targeting, respect for consumer autonomy and privacy

Must identify material commercial interests and avoid conflicts in recommendations

Audience is a market segment whose needs and behavior are being influenced

Content creators

Produce and distribute information, entertainment or educational material

Originality, attribution, accuracy where factual claims are made, and responsible treatment of subjects

Should disclose sponsorship, conflicts and significant limitations on expertise

Audience may regard the creator as an entertainer, educator, expert or trusted source

Influencers

Shape opinions and behavior through personal credibility and reach

Authenticity, truthful endorsements, clear commercial disclosures

Must disclose payments, gifts, affiliate commissions and other material relationships

Audience often relies on perceived personal experience and trust


In large part, the change in media from physical to virtual has made older issues more difficult. Historically, newspapers and broadcasters generally maintained some separation between their editorial and advertising departments. G


Digital media has weakened that separation. Native advertising, sponsored content, affiliate marketing and influencer endorsements can make commercial persuasion look like independent information.


Monetization issues also make digital content more focused on the ability to attract attention, which arguably diminishes incentives for prudence, honesty, truthfulness or transparency. 


The economic incentives of attention-based media can systematically favor content that is emotionally provocative, divisive, sensational or controversial, as most of us would tend to agree is the case. 


As perhaps always is the case, such ethical guidelines will be honored incompletely, sometimes not at all. Hence the skepticism about the trustworthiness of content whose business model requires sponsorship, advertising or other forms of payment.


That is not to disparage ad support models. As a marketing professor of mine once insisted, "advertising is what makes the free press possible."


But the need for critical thinking remains. People still have to analyze and evaluate claims and information, rather than accepting all or most claims at face value.

Wednesday, November 4, 2026

AI Infra Winners and Losers from U.S. Midtern Elections

Generally speaking, voters in the 2026 midterm elections seemed to send a message about new AI data centers Late Tuesday evening, 33 ballot measures to restrict data centers were passed by voters or were leading in ongoing vote counts, according to  Data Centers on the Ballot. 


The issue is what that might portend for future AI infrastructure development. Broadly, we might argue that:

  • The cost of developing new capacity increases

  • Project schedules become less predictable

  • The geographic distribution of investment changes

  • Costs escalate

  • Political risk increases.


The cost of adding new units of compute seemingly is destined to increase, as a result, despite countervailing trends that have been pushing costs down. 


It is too early to argue that the new rules will halt new data center construction. Indeed, most of the rules seem to focus on conditions for such development rather than outright bans. But it might be rational to expect some level of delay in capacity expansion. Projects take longer to approve and complete, but ultimately get built.


Where they get built might well change, though. Companies probably will have to  spend more on power, transmission, cooling, land and community compensation. So areas where terms and conditions are more favorable might get a boost. 


Although all suppliers of AI training and inference operations will face higher obstacles, one might argue that the neocloud suppliers face the most danger. CoreWeave and other neocloud suppliers have less financial flexibility than the hyperscalers; few or no other existing sources of revenue other than available compute capacity and so face cash flow issues if new supply is delayed. 


Company

Construction delays

Higher infrastructure costs

Financing sensitivity

Ability to relocate or adapt

CoreWeave / neoclouds

Very high

High

Very high

Limited to moderate

Amazon

High

High

Moderate

High

Google

High

High

Moderate

High

Oracle

Very high

High

High

Moderate

Microsoft

High

High

Moderate

High

Meta

High

High

Moderate

High


One might also hypothesize that the hyperscalers actually could benefit from the opposition, as smaller developers will face relatively greater hurdles, in the form of:

  • More demand for established data center operators with permitted sites

  • Greater value for companies with existing power agreements

  • More consolidation among neoclouds

  • Greater bargaining power for hyperscalers who generate their own power

  • Higher barriers to entry for new AI infrastructure competitors.


So among the possible outcomes is some strengthening of the market position of the hyperscalers, at the expense of neocloud providers.


Monday, November 2, 2026

Traditional Media, Social Media and Chatbots All Act as Gatekeepers, But Chatbots are Most User-Driven

As a graduate student in a journalism program I assisted on a study of journalism education. It was pre-internet, so that did not emerge as one of the conclusions. We did not anticipate social media, nor did we imagine chatbots also would emerge. 


But the idea that news media shape the agenda of what people think about is one of the most established concepts in communication research, and so it makes sense that chatbots might emerge in that role as well. 


The central argument is that the media do not necessarily tell people what opinion to hold, but they have considerable influence over which issues people regard as important, which issues receive attention, and which subjects dominate public discussion. Social media has emerged in that role as well.  


AI chatbots may extend it further by synthesizing information and presenting a seemingly-comprehensive explanation of the issues. In other words, it is possible that chatbots shift the terrain from telling people what is happening to influencing what people think is happening and why it matters.


As with seemingly all media these days, the agenda-setting shifts from “what is happening” to something more akin to “what it means,” on an increasingly-personalized basis. 


To be sure, chatbots do not yet have the reach of social or traditional media. A 2025 survey by the Pew Research Center found that 75 percent of respondents say they “never” get news from chatbots. In 2026, Pew finds few Americans asking chatbots for election information. 


  

source: Pew Research


Still, the shift of agenda setting is clear enough:

  • Traditional media agenda set by editors and journalists

  • Social media agenda set by algorithms

  • AI chatbots (an extension of search) set the agenda. 


Traditional news media, social media, and AI chatbots all exercise agenda-setting power: they influence which issues receive attention, which aspects of those issues stand out, and which issues people associate with one another. 


The main difference is how they exercise that power: news organizations select and emphasize stories; social platforms distribute attention through networks and ranking systems; chatbots synthesize information into answers shaped partly by the user’s questions. Of the three platforms, chatbots are the most user-driven. 


Dimension

Traditional news media

Social media

AI chatbots

Main mechanism

Editorial selection, prominence, and repetition

Network circulation, recommendations, and algorithmic ranking

Retrieval, selection, synthesis, and ordering within an answer

Principal gatekeepers

Reporters, editors, owners, and institutional routines

Platform designers, ranking systems, creators, and users

Model developers, training and retrieval systems, behavioral rules, and user prompts

What receives prominence

Stories judged newsworthy

Content made visible through platform and network processes

Topics, explanations, and sources selected for the response

Audience’s role

Choose outlets and respond to coverage

Publish, follow, share, comment, and influence circulation

Ask questions, specify priorities, and revise answers through follow-up prompts

Typical agenda structure

A relatively shared editorial agenda within an outlet

Multiple overlapping, personalized streams

A potentially individualized agenda constructed in conversation

When using traditional news, the audience generally chooses among editorial products: an outlet, program, section, or story. But it is a top-down process, in any case. 

With social media, users help shape their information environment through follows, searches, posts, and interactions, but still encounter streams of material selected and ranked by others. 

With a chatbot, the user can commission a response whose subject and organization need not correspond to any existing article or feed. It is the most bottom-up form of agenda setting. 

AI Infra Capex is a "Rock and a Hard Place" Situation

Investors have been jittery about possible artificial intelligence circular investment; overinvestment; high capital investment and the sustainability of end user demand for many months, and late October seemed to crystalize some of those fears as key hyperscalers reported quarterly earnings. 


Looking at September 30 through October 30, 2026, one can see the double-digit declines. For about the week ending October 30 technology stocks lost about $1 trillion in valuation.  


Company

Ticker

October stock-price change

Reported Oct. 30 market value ($ billion)

Estimated start-of-month market value ($ billion)

Estimated market value lost ($ billion)

Alphabet

GOOGL

−18.67%

$3,440

$4,230

$790

Nvidia

NVDA

−10.39%

$4,930

$5,502

$572

Meta Platforms

META

−15.19%

$1,570

$1,851

$281

TSMC

TSM

−10.97%

$2,110

$2,370

$260

Micron Technology

MU

−16.92%

$999

$1,203

$204

Broadcom

AVGO

−7.15%

$1,560

$1,680

$120

Amazon

AMZN

−3.53%

$2,600

$2,695

$95


Losses were worse for many suppliers on the chip fabrication, memory or neocloud parts of the value chain. Investors increasingly questioned the return on AI spending. That increases pressure on hyperscalers to reverse course or moderate, but at the risk of abandoning the effort to emerge as a leader of the business. 


Company

Ticker

Reported October stock-price decline

Intel

INTC

−45.20%

CoreWeave

CRWV

−38.05%

SanDisk

SNDK

−35.58%

Nebius Group

NBIS

−33.65%

Lam Research

LRCX

−29.69%

Arm

ARM

−29.54%

Credo Technology

CRDO

−28.16%

Astera Labs

ALAB

−27.42%

Marvell Technology

MRVL

−26.74%

Applied Materials

AMAT

−26.30%


Amazon CEO Andy Jassy calls AI a “once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. I think what we're seeing with AI, it's the biggest transformation in our lifetime.” 


"Would it be more convenient if this type of acceleration and opportunity happened over 25 years and you could spread the CapEx over 25 years," Andy Jassy, Amazon CEO  asked an analyst during the (quarterly earnings) call. "Yeah, it might be more convenient, but that's not the world that we live in, and that's not the opportunity."


That does not help firms keep their profit margins, debt or cash flow where they just recently were, in the short term. But none of the would-be leaders believe they can significantly limit their capital investments at this point without forgoing the opportunity to lead the future market. 


So multiple compression seems likely, as AI infra capex seems to offer a “rock and a hard place” choice.


As You Might Guess, Influencer Trust Varies by Generation

A new survey conducted by Morning Consult suggests relatively widespread mistrust of “influencers” who often refer to themselves as “conten...