Android Will Grow 900% in 2009

Global Android smart phone shipments will grow 900 percent in 2009, say analysts at Strategy Analytics. Of course, very-rapid growth on a percentage basis often is possible for firms, services or products starting froma very-low installed base, but the growth forecast is indicative of a product expected to gain market acceptance. 

The Apple iPhone operating system will be the next fastest-growing smartphone operating system in 2009, with a 79 percent growth rate, Strategy Analytics says. 

"Android has fast been winning healthy support among operators, vendors and developers," says Neil Mawston, Strategy Analytics director.

"A relatively low-cost licensing model, its semi-open-source structure and Google's support for cloud services have encouraged companies such as HTC, Motorola, Samsung, T Mobile, Vodafone and others to support the Android operating system."

The upshot: "Android is now in a good position to become a top-tier player in smartphones over the next two to three years," Mawston says.

Pingo Business Drops Mexico Rates 50%

Pingo Business, the prepaid VoIP calling services from iBasis, has reduced calling rates to Mexico by 50 percent for consumer and small and medium-sized business (SMBs) customers, through May 31, 2009.

The move is a response to the recent H1N1influenza outbreak in Mexico, which has caused shutdowns in businesses and services, prompted airlines to severely curtail flights in and out of the country. With travel to Mexico also the subject of warnings from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Pingo Business believes the temporary program will help businesses maintain operations.

Ovum says Demand, Not Access, is Chief Broadband Problem

Digital divides in developed economies are less about limited broadband availability and more about a lack of broadband demand and complex interfaces, say analysts at Ovum. In that that regard, Ovum joins a growing number of policy advocates who now recognize there is a difference between broadband availability" and "broadband use."

Though there clearly are some locations, largely in rural areas, that do not yet have a choice of wired providers, most rural U.S. locations, for example, can receive satellite service from two providers, HughesNet and WildBlue. And as many as 96 percent of U.S. homes can receive cable modem service, while 90 percent or so of U.S. locations can get digital subscriber line service from a telephone company as well.

 

“There has been significant focus on the limited availability of broadband as the main factor in creating digital divides” says Charlie Davies, Ovum senior analyst. "In fact, Ovum, as well as other consumer surveys and studies, have shown other factors such as a lack of demand as being a more significant barrier”.

That's an important distinction, since solving a problem requires defining accurately what the problem is. One might argue that not enough people buy BMWs because they can't get to a nearby dealership (an access problem). One might alternatively argue that more people do not buy BMWs because it isn't the right vehicle or because it costs too much (a demand problem).

Observers increasingly are acknowledging that demand, not access, is the main problem, though some areas are remote enough that physical access by wired facilities remains a problem.

In many developed markets, broadband penetration is now well over 50 percent but overall broadband growth is slowing, despite the fact that broadband availability is at an all-time high. Ovum says this situation is due to  a significant minority of people not being interested in taking up broadband, or other significant barriers in doing so (not interested in using the Internet, not owning a PC, not knowing how to use the Internet or not able to, or willing to pay for service, for example).

"Many people without broadband or the Internet are put off by overly complex devices and interfaces that cater to the technically literate," says Ovum. "In addition, users with disabilities are largely under-served."

The cost of using the Internet also is a barrier. So demand stimulation, not physical access, is the chief impediment to higher broadband usage.

Recession Drives Video Conference Interest

Among respondents that do not currently use video conferencing, 68 percent say expections they can save money on travel expenses is the most important factor driving their adoption of video conferencing in the next 12 months, says In-Stat.

One might safely assume the recession, and the desire to cut discretionary expense, accounts for much of the current interest.

Some 57 percent of decision-makers indicated their organizations have formal video conferencing policies in place and those policies are designed to maximize return on the video conferencing investment, particularly when it can be used to mitigate travel, says In-Stat.

“U.S. business users find video conferencing to be more appealing and beneficial when the sessions involve sharing files, collaborating on documents, and adding or including key individuals in the sessions dynamically,” says David Lemelin, In-Stat analyst. “There is also a strong desire to use video conferencing capabilities at the desktop, where users have better access to their complete set of communications and collaboration capabilities, including IM integration.”

http://email.in-stat.com/cgi-bin4/DM/y/hBREt0LeRpW0K560DHgc0EQ

BT Model for United States?

Competitor mandatory wholesale access to voice and broadband access services has been good for BT and the United Kingdom, and might be useful in the United States, says Sir Michael Rake, BT chairman. Though rules are not completely finalized for new optical access lines, BT's massive loss of market share in the landline voice and broadband access markets has forced the company to be more aggressive about new services, he says.

"It was painful at the time but has been better for the country and consumers in the long run," Rake says.

Today, BT generates annual revenues of about 20 billion British pounds, the same as five years ago. Accounting for inflation and new services, one might argue the results have been negative for BT, as good as they have been for retail consumers.

The average speed for broadband access has nearly doubled to 2 megabits a second and the price for service has been reduced by an average of 50 percent from five years ago.

The best way to get more people to adopt high-speed Internet is to create competition through a regulatory framework that forces the biggest players to open their networks, Rake argues.

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/posttech/2009/05/british_telecom_chairman_rake.html

Separate NOFAs for Broadband Stimulus

Get ready for the broadband stimulus fire drill. Sometime in June, the thinking goes, the National Telecommunications & Information Administration and the Department of Agriculture's Rural Utilities Service will issue the required Notice of Funds Availability (NOFA) outlining criteria and application processes for the $7.2 billion in "broadband stimulus" funds the agencies will be disbursing, presumably in three rounds.

It now appears there will be separate NOFAs.

"There will be separate NOFAs," says MarkTolbert, NTIA spokesman. "To my knowledge, NTIA and RUS will each issue their own NOFA."

http://www.stimulatingbroadband.com/2009/05/obamas-federal-broadband-stimulus.html

Verizon Signs Landmark FiOS Wholesale Deal with DSL Extreme

Verizon Communications has signed a deal with DSL Extreme allowing that firm to resell Verizon's FiOS Internet service in 17 states. The move is important for several reasons. Most observers think wholesale access on incumbent access networks is a key underpinning for a wide range of competitive offerings, and the status of such access when access loops are converted to optical technology remains unsettled.

Most observers might agree that Verizon's move also helps it counter mandatory access regulations. Verizon and other service providers have opposed mandatory access rules that do not offer a reasonable return on investment, preferring voluntary business arrangements.

Others will argue that Verizon's move aims to head off such regulations by providing some degree of wholesale access, to some providers, but in ways that protect wholesale margins. Time Warner Cable did something similar with its wholesale broadband efforts, allowing a few competing providers access, but not to any and all other contestants. 

DSL Extreme's Fiber Extreme is now available to 10.4 million households in 17 states where FiOS Internet service is available, including California, New York, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Texas, Virginia and Washington.

Introductory residential pricing for Fiber Extreme is $99.95 per month for up to 50 Mbps; $54.95 per month for up to 20 Mbps; and $39.95 per month for up to 10 Mbps.

It is uncertain how this move will affect later wholesale access to FiOS broadband facilities, or even what positive impact might ultimately result for broader support of broadband competition on a voluntary or mandated basis. 

What is clear is that DSL Extreme will have ample opportunity to add on its own applications and value to the "dumb pipe." 

http://www.multichannel.com/article/231631-Verizon_Signs_National_Reseller_Deal_For_Fiber_To_Home_Broadband.php