Showing posts sorted by date for query AT&T FTTH. Sort by relevance Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by date for query AT&T FTTH. Sort by relevance Show all posts

Wednesday, October 25, 2023

C-Band is a Huge Deal for Verizon: Extends Home Broadband Addressable Market from 25% to Virtually 100%

One iron rule for internet access services is that if one has enough bandwidth, access speeds can be very high. For mobile operators, bandwidth expansion can come in a few ways: adding more spectrum, building smaller cells or deploying better modulation techniques or radios.


In that regard, for 5G, mid-band spectrum has been key for firms such as Verizon, which have had less mid-band spectrum than others. The difference is striking. 


After deploying C-band spectrum, Verizon mobile peak speeds “go from 9 Mbps to an amazing 2.4 gigabits per second,” said Hans Vestberg, Verizon CEO.


That has implications for home broadband as well, as, in principle, peak speeds might reach gigabit per second levels. And that, in turn, is important because it dramatically extends the addressable market for fixed wireless from perhaps 25 percent of buyers to perhaps 99 percent of buyers (those who buy home broadband at speeds up to about 2 Gbps, and do not require symmetrical access)


True, Verizon has millimeter wave assets to deploy in urban areas, but C-band means fixed wireless has higher bandwidth in suburban and rural areas as well. 


For Verizon, which has a smaller fixed network footprint than many of its leading competitors, that really does matter, as it means Verizon can compete for home broadband customers who want higher speeds in most U.S. geographic areas. 


Of a total of 140 million U.S.  homes, AT&T’s landline network passes 62 million. Comcast has (can actually sell service to) about 57 million homes passed.


The Charter Communications network passes about 50 million homes, the number of potential customer locations it can sell to.


The number of Verizon homes passed might be 27 million. Lumen Technologies never reports its homes-passed figures, but likely has 20-million or so consumer locations.


The point is that Verizon cannot easily expand its fiber to home footprint outside its historic service areas, for reasons of investment magnitude. So fixed wireless makes eminent sense for a firm that can presently reach only about 19 percent of U.S. homes using its fixed network. 


The same sort of logic holds for T-Mobile, which historically has had zero access network fixed network footprint. There is neither time nor money for T-Mobile to wire the entire country, or even a substantial part of it, using FTTH. 


So C-band is a really big deal. It extends Verizon’s home broadband addressable market from about 25 percent of homes to up to 100-percent of homes.


Saturday, October 21, 2023

As Always, Valuation Matters for FTTH Investments by Private Equity

To a large extent, the driver for private equity investments in telco access network assets is the promise of value when those assets are upgraded to fiber-to-home access, particularly in markets where such networks are the “first” FTTH networks in a market. 


But the strategy also requires price appreciation or multiple expansion as well. Assume assets can be acquired for about $1000 per customer, less per location, and then upgraded to FTTH for another $1000 per location. 


The exit plan then assumes that the assets can be sold for more than the cost of the acquisitions and upgrades to FTTH. Recent transactions suggest per-home prices for FTTH assets that are at the high end of historic ranges. 


Year

Transaction value (per home)

Buyer

Seller

2023

$3,250

GIP

Zayo Group

2022

$3,000

Apollo Global Management

Lumos Networks

2021

$2,750

KKR

Hargray Communications

2020

$2,500

EQT

Suddenlink Communications

2019

$2,250

Warburg Pincus

Charter Communications

2018

$2,000

TPG Capital

MetroNet

2017

$1,750

Berkshire Hathaway

OnFiber

2016

$1,500

Goldman Sachs

WaveDivision Holdings

2015

$1,250

Carlyle Group

FiberNet Holdings

2014

$1,000

Providence Equity Partners

Clearwire Communications

2013

$750

Blackstone Group

FiOS Networks


So much hinges on sustainable valuations. But valuations can change over time, both up and down. The upside is sustainable higher valuations. The danger is any significant drop in valuations. 


Year

Acquirer

Target

Transaction Type

Per-Customer Price (USD)

2000

SBC Communications

Ameritech

Merger

3,550

2000

Vodafone

Mannesmann

Acquisition

2,500

2001

Verizon Communications

GTE

Merger

3,000

2003

Deutsche Telekom

VoiceStream Wireless

Acquisition

1,500

2004

AT&T

Cingular Wireless

Acquisition

1,800

2005

Verizon Communications

MCI

Acquisition

600

2006

AT&T

BellSouth

Acquisition

2,000

2007

T-Mobile US

AT&T Wireless

Acquisition

2,000

2008

SoftBank

Sprint Nextel

Acquisition

1,500

2011

AT&T

T-Mobile US

Acquisition

3,900

2013

Verizon Communications

Vodafone Wireless

Acquisition

1,300

2014

SoftBank

T-Mobile US

Acquisition

2,600

2015

Charter Communications

Time Warner Cable

Acquisition

1,800

2018

T-Mobile US

Sprint Corporation

Merger

2,100

2020

Charter Communications

Bright House Networks

Acquisition

1,700

2021

Cox Communications

Suddenlink Communications

Acquisition

1,600



Year

Acquirer

Target

Transaction Type

Per-Passing Price (USD)

2000

SBC Communications

Ameritech

Merger

300

2000

Vodafone

Mannesmann

Acquisition

200

2001

Verizon Communications

GTE

Merger

250

2003

Deutsche Telekom

VoiceStream Wireless

Acquisition

125

2004

AT&T

Cingular Wireless

Acquisition

150

2005

Verizon Communications

MCI

Acquisition

50

2006

AT&T

BellSouth

Acquisition

167

2007

T-Mobile US

AT&T Wireless

Acquisition

167

2008

SoftBank

Sprint Nextel

Acquisition

125

2011

AT&T

T-Mobile US

Acquisition

325

2013

Verizon Communications

Vodafone Wireless

Acquisition

110

2014

SoftBank

T-Mobile US

Acquisition

217

2015

Charter Communications

Time Warner Cable

Acquisition

150

2018

T-Mobile US

Sprint Corporation

Merger

175

2020

Charter Communications

Bright House Networks

Acquisition

142

2021

Cox Communications

Suddenlink Communications

Acquisition

133

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