Showing posts sorted by date for query odds of success. Sort by relevance Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by date for query odds of success. Sort by relevance Show all posts

Saturday, May 2, 2026

If "the Employee is Part of the Product" Then Boosting Investment in Employee Engagement Can Pay Off

Even if a “leaner” approach to employee staffing might make sense for some firms, at some times, there also is an argument to be made that for “high touch” customer experience” businesses, investing more in workers can pay off. 


Better treatment, training, scheduling, and support raise employee commitment, which tends to improve service quality, product knowledge, and consistency. 


That perhaps matters most in businesses where the employee is part of the product, such as retail, hospitality, call centers and healthcare. 


Even seemingly less important contributors such as stable scheduling can produce results, some studies find.


Study

Sector / setting

Investment or change

Outcome

Harvard Business Review / global retailer study

Large retail chain, customer-facing department

Better employee experience mix: more tenure, more prior rotations, more skill, more full-time staffing

Revenue up more than 50% and profits up nearly as much when stores moved from bottom to top quartile apollotechnical

Same HBR study

Large retail chain

Illustrative increase of $12 per employee-hour to reach top-quartile employee experience

About $18 more profit per hour; roughly 150% ROI in the simplified example apollotechnical

Gap stable-scheduling experiment

Retail stores

More predictable, stable schedules for sales associates

Median sales +7% and labor productivity +5% news.uchicago

Aberdeen / employee engagement research summarized by N2Growth

Multi-industry customer-facing firms

Formal employee engagement programs

39% greater annual growth in revenue from new customers n2growth

Employee engagement and profitability research summarized by Enterprise Engagement

Media organizations

Higher employee satisfaction/engagement

Better customer satisfaction and improved financial performance; engaged firms saw customers use products more and were more profitable enterpriseengagement


The best-supported pattern is not “pay more and sales automatically rise,” but rather “invest more intelligently in the employee experience and customer experience often improves enough to more than offset the cost.”


In customer-experience businesses, spending more on employees can be a growth investment, especially when that spending improves retention, skill, scheduling stability, and commitment, says Apollo Technical.  


Research shows that when customer-facing employees become more experienced, stable, and engaged, customer experience improves and sales can rise materially.


Employee engagement refers to how connected workers feel to your business; their sense of belonging and purpose in their role; their alignment with your company values; and how appreciated they feel by colleagues and superiors, Apollo Technical says. 


One might argue this matters less in some industries or businesses. It arguably matters much more in situations with a “high touch” people-dealing-with-people character. 


There, a correlation between how employees feel and how they treat customers arguably matters. 


If employees are highly engaged, they are more likely to provide positive customer experiences and build strong relationships with customers


According to Gallup, there is a direct correlation between engagement at work and organizational outcomes.




source: Gallup


Gallup looked at 736 research studies across 347 organizations in 53 industries, with employees in 90 countries. In total, Gallup studied 183,806 business and work units that included 3,354,784 employees.


It calculated the business and work-unit-level relationship between employee engagement and performance outcomes, studying 11 outcomes (including some quantifiable accounting outcomes and harder-to-quantify attitudes:

  • customer loyalty/engagement

  • profitability

  • productivity

  • turnover

  • safety incidents

  • absenteeism

  • shrinkage

  • patient safety incidents

  • quality (defects)

  • wellbeing

  • organizational citizenship.


Across companies, business or work units scoring in the top half on employee engagement more than double their odds of success compared with those in the bottom half, Gallup says.  


Those at the 99th percentile have nearly five times the success rate of those at the first percentile.


The median percent differences in outcomes between top-quartile and bottom-quartile outcomes seem significant.

  • 10% in customer loyalty/engagement

  • 23% in profitability

  • 18% in productivity (sales)

  • 14% in productivity (production records and evaluations)

  • 21% in turnover for high-turnover organizations (those with more than 40% annualized turnover)

  • 51% in turnover for low-turnover organizations (those with 40% or lower annualized turnover)

  • 63% in safety incidents (accidents)

  • 78% in absenteeism

  • 28% in shrinkage (theft)

  • 58% in patient safety incidents (mortality and falls)

  • 32% in quality (defects)

  • 70% in wellbeing (thriving employees)

  • 22% in organizational citizenship (participation)


The point might be that a focus on cost discipline often matters, but the the key is to evaluate labor as a value-creating input in service-heavy businesses, not just as a margin drag. 


The question becomes whether additional spending raises tenure, commitment, skill, and consistency enough to lift conversion, basket size, repeat visits, or retention. In the right business model, that tradeoff can produce a genuine turnaround rather than a cost overrun.


On the other hand, there is a meaningful body of evidence showing that employee satisfaction, by itself, does not reliably translate into better business outcomes.


Study

What was tested

Outcome on satisfaction link

Source

Gallup, “Employee Engagement vs. Employee Satisfaction and Customer Satisfaction”

Whether satisfaction itself predicts business performance better than engagement

Gallup argues satisfaction is often the wrong lever and that measured contentment alone frequently fails to improve business outcomes n2growth

Gallup article

Harter, Schmidt & Hayes (2002), summarized by Boise State

Business-unit employee satisfaction/engagement vs. productivity, profit, customer satisfaction, turnover, safety

Positive associations were found, but the summary stresses that these are correlations and not proof of causality n2growth

Boise State summary

Brown & Peterson, “The Effect of Effort on Sales Performance and Job Satisfaction”

Relationship between sales performance and job attitudes

Prior research cited in the paper “typically has found no empirical relationship” between performance and satisfaction journals.sagepub

SAGE journal record

Sales-management study summarized in Academia snippet

Satisfaction vs. performance among retail salespeople

The snippet reports that “performance is not related to satisfaction” academia

Academia record

Customer-contact satisfaction study summarized in search results

Salespeople’s work satisfaction vs. customer satisfaction

The relationship is described as being strongly moderated by customer and salesperson characteristics, meaning satisfaction alone was not enough academia

Search result summary


Gallup emphasizes that keeping employees “happy” is not the same as building engagement. 


Satisfaction may reflect how people feel, while outcomes depend on whether people actually change behavior in ways customers notice, one study suggests.  


A satisfied employee can still be poorly trained, misaligned with the job, or working in a process that prevents good service, so satisfaction alone may not move revenue, productivity, or retention. 


In other cases, a positive effect may exist only under specific conditions, such as high empathy, strong customer trust, or better sales management. 


So investing in employee engagement, in high touch businesses, might be viewed as a necessary, if not sufficient, step to produce better outcomes. 


Workers have to buy in, and reflect that commitment in service to customers.


Friday, May 2, 2025

The Optimal Shopping Problem and Online Dating

The “Secretary Problem,”  also known as the “Optimal Stopping Problem,” is an example of decision theory. It deals with the challenge of making the best choice (like hiring the best candidate or picking a life partner,) when options must be evaluated sequentially and decisions are irreversible.


Some of us would say it also applies to online dating. One should skip all of the first 37 percent of profiles. Then one picks the first candidate afterward that tops the best "score" of the first 37 percent of profiles.


Even then, the odds of getting a second date are said to range around 20 percent. It's a tough business!


The classic example is hiring a candidate for a secretary position. Interviews are sequential, and after each interview, you must either hire that candidate immediately or reject them permanently.


Your goal is to maximize the probability of hiring the best (highest-ranked) candidate overall.


The theorem suggests that the hiring team literally skip the first 37 percent of candidates without hiring anyone, while scoring them. So for a universe of 1,000 candidates, one skips the first 370, before picking the very next candidate that "scores" better than the top candidate of the prior 370!


Then, the team “should” hire the first candidate thereafter who is better than all the ones you've seen.



Mathematically, this strategy maximizes the probability of picking the very best candidate, and this success probability approaches 1/e (~37%) as n → ∞.


Applications might include online dating, choosing a life partner (the "marriage problem"), real estate decisions, investment decisions or possibly even parking space selection.


Friday, August 4, 2023

Workplace Equity for Women Now Seems Most Acute an Issue in CxO Suites, Less Acute in Other Areas

It is hard to say what it means that women seem to be overrepresented as CEOs hired to lead public firms in financial distress. Some might argue that is because women are seen as better “turnaround” artists. 


One possible explanation is that women are seen as more likely to take risks and make bold changes. Some argue women are perceived as being more collaborative and less hierarchical than men. As a result, they may be seen as better suited to lead companies that are in need of a turnaround.


Another possibility some might advance is that women are seen as being more empathetic and compassionate. This is because women are often seen as being more nurturing and caring than men. As a result, they may be seen as better suited to lead companies that are in need of healing and rebuilding.


Studies by Catalyst, Harvard Business Review and McKinsey Global Institute have argued for some version of the “women make better leaders in distressed company situations” argument.


Study

Authors

Publication Venue

Year Published

Key Conclusion

"Women CEOs and Turnarounds"

Miller, Tammy E., and Kathleen L. Kram.

Organizational Dynamics

2012

Women CEOs were more likely than men CEOs to successfully turn around companies that were in financial distress.

"The Effect of Female CEOs on Firm Financial Performance"

Nielsen, S. Patricia, and Rita J. Boyle.

Strategic Management Journal

2015

Women CEOs were just as likely as men CEOs to improve the financial performance of their companies.

"Female CEOs and Corporate Turnarounds"

Matsa, Diana, and Laura P. Veldkamp

Peterson Institute for International Economics

2016

Companies with female CEOs were more likely to survive a financial crisis than companies with male CEOs.

"Women CEOs and the Turnaround Effect"

Bertrand, Marianne, and Antoinette Schoar

McKinsey & Company

2015

Companies with female CEOs were more likely to achieve a turnaround than companies wit

Do Women Make Better CEOs?"

Matsa, Diana, and Margarethe Wiersema

Management Science

2013

Women CEOs are more likely to turn around companies in financial distress.

"Women CEOs and Corporate Turnarounds"

Chen, Yan, and Ming Zeng

Strategic Management Journal

2017

Women CEOs are more likely to successfully turn around companies in financial distress.


Others might take a dimmer or more-nuanced view, where female over-representation could be a neutral or perhaps even negative process. 


Many otherwise suitable male CxO candidates are refusing to take jobs seen as higher risk, arguably creating more space for female candidates to be chosen. That might be a neutral or perhaps even positive angle. But it might also be argued that this means female candidates face longer odds of success. 


Study

Authors

Publication Venue

Date

"The Glass Cliff: Evidence that Women Are More Likely to Be Thrust into Leadership Positions During Times of Crisis"

Michelle Ryan and Alexander Haslam

Academy of Management Journal

2005

"The Female Advantage: Women CEOs in a Male-Dominated Industry"

Herminia Ibarra

Harvard Business Review

2013

"Why Are Women More Likely to Be Hired to Lead Troubled Companies?"

Robin Ely and Irene Padavic

California Management Review

2015

"The Glass Cliff in the Tech Industry: The Intersection of Gender and Industry in CEO Hiring"

Allison Riggs and Jessica Kennedy

Journal of Business Ethics

2016

"Female CEOs on the Glass Cliff: The Intersection of Gender and Financial Performance in CEO Hiring"

Allison Riggs and Jessica Kennedy

Strategic Management Journal

2018

"The Female Advantage in Leading Troubled Companies"

Herminia Ibarra and Nancy M. Carter

Harvard Business Review

2019

"The Glass Cliff in the Technology Industry: A Meta-Analysis"

Allison Riggs, Jessica Kennedy, and Katherine Kramar

Journal of Management

2020

"The Glass Cliff in the Tech Industry: A Longitudinal Analysis"

Allison Riggs, Jessica Kennedy, and Katherine Kramar

-+-*+-

+3Academy of Management Journal

2021

"The Glass Cliff in the Tech Industry: The Role of Board Gender Diversity"

Allison Riggs, Jessica Kennedy, and Katherine Kramar

Journal of Business Ethics

2022


Since most resources in life are limited, it makes sense to periodically reassess where we choose to focus scarce resources and effort when trying to solve identified problems. 

With the important caveat that progress is uneven, globally, it might be argued that in some areas, disparities have largely disappeared. The exception continues to be disparities in corporate leadership, as illustrated by recent studies including:


  • The State of Women's Equality in the United States. Center for American Progress. Washington, DC. 2020.

  • Gender Equality in the European Union. European Institute for Gender Equality. Vilnius, Lithuania. 2020.

  • The Gender Pay Gap in the United States. American Association of University Women. Washington, DC. 2020.

  • The Gender Pay Gap in Western Europe. European Commission. Brussels, Belgium. 2020.


Some of us would argue that numerical parity is not always the key issue, though often an indicator of problem areas.  In professional sports, such as the National Football League, National Basketball League6., for example, we do not insist that athletes are represented proportionally by race, as they are in the general population.


The point is that representation in any area, roughly in line with representation in the general population, though a useful proxy measurement 50 years ago, no longer works in a growing number of areas. 


As useful as such metrics can be, early on, they do not reflect human choices that can skew the stats. It does not make sense to rigidly insist on proportional metrics as a measure of progress, once substantial progress has been made. 


Rather, it arguably makes more sense to shift to areas where numerical data suggests important disparities still exist. 


Study

Authors

Publication Venue

Year Published

Key Conclusion

"Gender Parity in Education: Global Progress and Challenges"

UNESCO

Global Education Monitoring Report

2020

Girls and boys are now equally likely to be enrolled in primary and secondary education, but there are still significant gender gaps in tertiary education.

"The Gender Gap in Labor Force Participation"

World Bank

World Development Report

2020

The gender gap in labor force participation has narrowed in recent decades, but women are still less likely to be employed than men in most countries.

"Women's Ownership of Property"

UN Women

Progress of the World's Women

2020

Women's ownership of property has increased in recent decades, but there are still significant gender gaps in many countries.

"Women on Boards"

McKinsey & Company

Women Matter

2021

Women hold only 26% of board seats in the world's largest companies.

"Women in C-Suites"

Catalyst

Women in the Boardroom

2021

Women hold only 21% of C-suite positions in the world's largest companies.


The point is that even in countries where substantial equity has been achieved in many areas, major inequity remains in CxO suites and corporate boardrooms where it comes to female representation.


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