Sunday, April 6, 2025

Fast Food Restaurants Might be Among the Few Firms Able to Measure AI Revenue Upside

Move over, “digital transformation.” Now we have "AI transformation," which  refers to the integration of artificial intelligence into business processes to improve efficiency, decision-making, and innovation.


As a practical matter, AI transformation is likely to be hard to measure and might not happen “rapidly,” as whole business processes might have to be redesigned. On the other hand, it might be easier to illustrate how “AI transformation” can affect some processes in a measurable way. 


McDonald's wanted to improve its drive-thru experience, boost sales through personalized recommendations, and optimize restaurant operations.


CompanyAI ImplementationResults/ImpactYear
McDonald'sDynamic Yield acquisition1-2% increase in average check size in test locations2019-2020
StarbucksDeep Brew3% increase in same-store sales2020-2021
KFCFace-scanning kiosks (China) recognize cusotmers, suggest ordersUp to 27% increased average transaction average transaction size for repeat customers2019
Domino'sDOM AI ordering assistant20% higher conversion rates with personalization2021
ChipotleChippy AI system15% increase in add-on items2022
Sonic Drive-InAI-powered digital menu5.9% increase in promoted-item sales2021
Wendy'sAI-powered drive through6% increase in average check size2022-2023
Burger KingGuest Track AI1.5-3% increase in average check size2021
Taco BellDigital kiosks with AI20% higher average order value2022
Dunkin' Mobile appuses AI7.4% increase in app order value2022-2023
Pizza HutHot Spots3.5% increase in add-on items2021
Panera BreadAI-powered loyalty program8% increase in frequency2022
WingstopDigital platform with AI13.5% higher average transaction2023
Shake ShackAI-powered kiosks18% higher average check2022

McDonald's in 2019 began using Dynamic Yield, an AI-powered personalization platform owned by Mastercard. McDonalds then used it to change digital drive-through menus based on weather, time of day, popular items, and current restaurant traffic.


On a hot day, the menu might prioritize cold drinks; during the morning rush, breakfast combos might be featured. 


In the kitchen, McDonald’s added AI models and sensors (to monitor equipment health)  predict demand for food items, optimize kitchen prep times, reduce waste and limit equipment downtime


The firm also adopted AI-driven forecasting, to  help improve inventory management, reduce food shortages and overstocking.


Other fast food restaurants are doing likewise. Still, “transformation” is more a goal and a process, rather than an easily-quantifiable outcome. 


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