Metered or Bucketed Usage Plans? Only One is a Problem

Looking at moves to bandwidth caps by Comcast and other service providers, some observers are concerned about the possible impact of what is termed "metered" usage on user behavior. It's a reasonable concern. Back in the old days of dial-up access, metered usage clearly depressed usage, which exploded in the U.S. market when AOL moved to "unlimited" packaging. 

So observers are right to worry about potential depressing effects on new user behaviors and applications. The concern probably is misplaced, however. There is a difference between "buckets," which feature a usage cap, and "metered" usage. The customer reaction also is quite different. 

Metered usage isn't welcomed by users, primarily because it introduces uncertainty. Users do not like to wonder what their bills will look like, so there is a clear preference for predictability.

But if the buckets are sized appropriately, and when users have some experience to gauge the appropriate buckets, usage does not seem to suffer. Strict metering undoubtedly would depress usage. Buckets will not, if constructed with reasonable parameters and when users have some way to predict and adjust their plans if needed.

The other issue is that lots of other services are offered on a strictly metered basis, and that can be good for light users. Light text message users benefit from a la carte, metered usage charges. Moderate usage quickly allows users to figure out that a bucket is a better deal.

And even metered usage is tolerated, if the prices are reasonable enough. Most users pay for water, natural gas or electricity on a simple metered basis. As long as users know roughly what to expect, and the rates are not outrageous, it does not seem to be a problem. 

Buckets of wireless minutes, buckets of usage that blur the distinction between "long distance" and "local" consumption clearly have encouraged usage. 

Telecom Professionals Say Wireless is Where the Action Is

A recent survey of telecom professionals confirms what industry professionals probably also agree on: wireless is where the action now is. Some 72 percent of respondents believe the biggest opportunities lie within three categories: wireless (40 percent), infrastructure engineering and manufacturing (16 percent), and mobile application development (16 percent). So make the votes ofr wireless 56 percent of the opportunity.

When asked about the immediate future of telecommunications, 70 percent of respondents said they believe the industry would grow or remain consistent, according to TelecomCareers, an online job board for telecommunications, media and technology professionals.

Does Chrome Matter?

Does Google’s new Chrome browser matter? Lehman Brothers analyst Douglas Anmuth thinks so, says Erick Schonfeld, Seeking Alpha commentator. Anmuth points out that Firefox having gained approximately 20 percent market share over the past four years. He thinks Google Chrome could be adopted faster, and gain 15 percent to 20 percent share within two years.

A lot of the attention so far has been on the possibility of Chrome being a Windows killer, by supercharging Web browsing and Web apps so you really won’t need desktop applications. Anmuth believes mobility might be the bigger play, if, as he expects, Chrome will be bundled directly on Android mobile devices. 

The other angle: Google Gears, used to synchronize online documents and data for offline use, might be quite valuable for mobile applications that must operate in a fluid access environment. 

And Google Gears can be very useful for Web apps on mobile devices, where network connections can be spotty.

Global IP Traffic Up 53%

International Internet traffic grew 53 percent between mid-2007 and mid-2008, down from 61 percent the preceding year, say researchers at TeleGeography.

Two Percent Chrome Usage Today?

Web analytics startup GetClicky says that almost two percent of all Internet traffic to the 45,000 websites they monitor is coming from Google Chrome today, according to TechCrunch. 

TechCrunch visitors seem to like Firefox quite alot. In fact, TechCrunch users probably are not like most Internet users. But 56 percent of TechCrunch readers from the last 30 days use Firefox, compared to 31 percent for Internet Explorer and 10 percent for Safari. 

Mobile Gamers: 31 to 70 Million

Mobile gamers who have downloaded a paid-for game numbe about 31 million, according to eMarketer. Mobile gamers who have either done that or played a game preloaded on their mobile device might number as many as 70 million, according to Limbo and GFK/NOP Research.

In June 2008, the dotMobi consortium and AKQA published a study on US and UK mobile Internet activities, which reported 22% of respondents engaged in mobile game play.

At the higher level of use, perhaps 22 percent to 27 percent of mobile phone users play games of any sort. In June 2008, the dotMobi consortium and AKQA conducted a study that suggests 22 percent of respondents play mobile games.

The Pew Internet & American Life Project suggests that 27 percent of U.S. mobile device users had played mobile games on their devices.

Google Chrome:Tabs on Steroids

If the download times are any indication, the 7-Mbyte Google Chrome browser is getting lots of downloads today. The download is slow. First reaction: the tabbed browsing feature, which is the reason many of us seem to prefer Mozilla's Firefox, is really noticeable. Google provides much-more extensive browsing history.

I've only used it briefly today, so although I can't assess perceived browser speed on an extended basis, which is supposed to be one of the advantages, it does seem to be executing faster.

I suspect the ability to isolate a single tab malfunction from paralyzing the whole browser might be useful. I haven't had a crash yet while using Web pages.