Tuesday, November 4, 2008

T-Mobile Wants to Jump From HSPA Straight to LTE

Reflecting the sort of thinking that parallels discussions of whether to upgrade from 10-Gbps Ethernet to 40-Gbps, or simply go straight to 100-Gbps, T-Mobile International AG indicates it now wants to upgrade directly from high-speed packet access (HSPA) to the 4G Long-Term Evolution standard.

Basically, T-Mobile says it will do what it can to wring all the efficiency it can out of HSPA and then move directly to LTE, rather than migrate in two stages to LTE, as some other mobile carriers propose to do.

The decision basically means T-Mobile will attempt to move directly from peak downlink speeds of 14.4 Mbps to LTE supporting 50 Mbps or 100 Mbps.

New Federalized EC Telecom Rules?

The European Union might on Nov. 5, 2008 get a new proposal from European Commission Telecom Commissioner Viviane Reding for creation of a pan-European telecom regulatory body that would have some measure of control over telecom rules in the EU's 27 member states, each of which is currently regulated by its own national organizations.

Those plans would create a single European regulator, along the lines of the U.S. Federal Communications Commission. The new body would not have the right to dictate regulation, but could block plans proposed by any member nation. In essence, the proposal aims to further the aim of creating a unified telecoms market thoroughout the EU, much as U.S. competitors have in the past preferred a single federal set of rules to 50 possibly-different sets of rules set by States.

Clearwire-Sprint, Verizon-Alltel Deals Approved

The Federal Communications Commission has approved the merger of Sprint-Nextel Corp. and Clearwire Corp. WiMAX assets.  The Commission also approved the Verizon Wireless merger with Alltel, on the same day it approved the unlicensed use of TV "white spaces" for broadband access and services. 

The decisions collectively mean even more competition in the broadband access space, especially in rural areas, as "white spaces"--spectrum typically used to support terrestrial broadcast television--are ideal for long-distance transmission and penetration of solid objects such as walls.  

Some work still needs to be done on the network design front, as lower-power broadband devices used by consumers and businesses will not be able to transmit as far as a TV transmitter can. That suggests network designs typically used by "cellular" operators will be needed. 

So use of the spectrum will be "free." The networks will not be.  

What Broadband Shortage? FCC Approves White Spaces

The Federal Communications Commission has unanimously voted to approve use of vacant TV broadcast spectrum on an unlicensed basis, clearing the way for development of broadband data devices and services that could be used by businesses and consumers.

The rules permit the operation of unlicensed devices in the TV white spaces on both a fixed and portable basis. Such devices generally must include a geo-location capability, the ability to access a data base of the licensed users and services and spectrum-sensing technology, all to avoid interference with licensed users and services.

Those users include full-power and low-power TV stations and cable system headends.

Wireless microphones will be protected in a variety of ways. The locations where wireless microphones are used, such as sporting venues and event and production facilities, can be registered in the data base and will be protected in the same way as other services.
The Commission also has required that devices include the ability to listen to the airwaves to sense wireless microphones as an additional measure of protection for these devices.

All white space devices are subject to equipment certification by the FCC Laboratory. The Laboratory will request samples of the devices for testing to ensure that they meet all the pertinent requirements.

The Commission also will permit certification of devices that do not include the geo-location and data base access capabilities, and instead rely solely on spectrum sensing to avoid causing harmful interference, subject to a much more rigorous approval process.

Generally speaking, initial devices are expected to operate at lower power. But device manufacturers may continue to provide additional information to the Commission to support the use of higher-power devices in adjacent channels. In addition, the Commission will explore in a separate inquiry whether higher-powered unlicensed operations might be permitted in TV white spaces in rural areas.

The proposal, approved on a five-to-zero vote, is expected to offer new opportunities for broadband data services in both urban and rural areas.

Though some conventional wisdom continues to assert that the United States has a "broadband access" problem, the FCC's decision suggests, along with other data, that broadband access is not a terribly big problem. A recent survey of about 146 rural telcos shows 100-percent availability of broadband. Fully 93 percent of those providers report there is broadband competition already, in their markets.

And now we will have "white spaces" to contend with.

Monday, November 3, 2008

More Mobile VoIP: Truphone for BlackBerry

Truphone has launched a beta version of its mobile internet telephony service, Truphone Anywhere, for BlackBerry smart phones. Truphone Anywhere works in 33 countries worldwide and provides international call costs for as little as six cents a minute.

The Truphone Anywhere application provides a prompt screen whenever a user dials an international number. If the user accepts, Truphone connects the call.by connecting to a local Truphone server, which then connects the long-distance part of the call over the Internet.

Truphone for BlackBerry smartphones is available to download for free from www.truphone.com/blackberry.

What is Capex Trend?

In addition to worries about what conceivably could happen to consumer demand for various communications services over the next year or so, suppliers to the telecommunications industry undoubtedly are worried about what happens to carrier demand for hardware and software.

Some, such as ABI Research, anticipate a mild dip of perhaps 1.3 percent in capital spending in 2009, compared to 2008. Others, such as Ovum, think the most-likely scenario is a reduced rate of growth through 2009.

There are other possibilities, though, with a return to 2007 levels of spending in 2009 or a severe dip of as much as 28 percent.

To be sure, carrier capital spending fluctuates over time, and many analysts believe U.S. service provider capital spending, which has been on an upswing over the past four to five years, will start to decline soon, as part of a natural part of the completion of some major upgrades by Verizon and AT&T, for example.

Looking at the average capex as a percentage of revenue, the five largest telecom providers in North America spent 18 percent of revenue in 2005, 17 percent in 2006 and 12 percent in 2007.

Capex at firms such as AT&T and Verizon in recent years has been running at 14 to 18 percent of revenue, a higher level than typically is the case, historically, and which at least some observers think will back down to more-normal levels after next-generation access network investments largely are made.

Those sorts of underlying drivers are not driven by short-term economic fluctuations, so one has to be careful extrapolating too much if a dip in capex should occur over the next several years, as that might be explained by a natural reversion to more-normal rates, not financial or economic conditions, necessarily.

Sunday, November 2, 2008

iBasis Says Voice is Not a Commodity

iBasis has introduced its expanded portfolio of international voice products designed to address the needs of all telecommunications market segments from cost-driven wholesale carriers to retail mobile operators worldwide.

The iBasis portfolio now includes four basic products, each addressing a different market segment. Worth noting: if voice really were a "commodity," this sort of differentiation would not be possible. The implications are equally clear: voice actually is not a commodity or a single product. Rather, voice is a range of products, and they are not functionally identical substitutes for each other.

So if your voice strategy is based on it being a commodity, you might want to rethink your strategy.

Direct Voice provides wholesale carriers access to iBasis’ lowest-cost routes and direct pricing for highest possible savings, though capacity and coverage are managed to minimize costs. The product is aimed at providers whose primary concern is absolute lowest cost. "Direct Voice gives access to our direct routes at lowest cost," says Chris Lengyel, iBasis product manager.

"We engineer the product so one in three calls might be rejected for rerouting to another vendor or one of our products," Lengyel says. This might the case for some calling card providers or users of Web-based voice features.

Value Voice provides increased coverage and greater consistrency of key voice metrics. Value Voice features prioritized vendors to provide more stability of calling experience as well as a broader footprint.

Certified Voice provides full calling coverage, high route stability, call completion and capacity. Certified Voice is sold to consumer VoIP providers such as Skype and cable operators. It is ideal for retail VoIP traffic and "more of a tradtional wholesale product," says Lengyel.

Premium Voice offers mobile and retail operators guaranteed features and exceptional voice quality using direct connections with incumbent carriers and qualified providers. Includes advanced features such as guaranteed calling line information, fax and roaming. "Premium Voice" is sold to service providers whose primary concern is stability and quality.

Premium Voice often is bought by mobile operators because "it cannot fail," Lengyel says.

The new products recognize that some customers want price while others want coverage. Some want stability while others want roaming, fax or guaranteed CLI.

"What you see here is that there are varying levels of quality required for different applications," says Lengyel. "Skype doesn't care about fax or CLI, for example, but voice really isn't a full commodity," he says. "A minute isn't just a minute; there are lots of nuances."

"The mobile space needs quality," he says. "People will pay for quality, for some applications."

CIOs Believe AI Investments Won't Generate ROI for 2 to 3 Years

According to Lenovo's third annual study of global CIOs surveyed 750 leaders across 10 global markets, CIOs do not expect to see clear a...