Wednesday, August 16, 2023

When Possible, Choose a High-Valuation-Ratio Business to Operate In

When creating a new category of products, allowing for some differences in perceived utility, value and valuation often can vary significantly between an older, legacy product and the new product that is a substitute. 


To be sure, a fast-growing category of product will have a higher valuation than a slow-growing or declining product. But it also makes sense, from the standpoint of attaining the highest-possible valuation, to position an asset as in the “new” category rather than the older category, when a valuation differential exists. 


Product

Industry

P/E

EV/EBITDA

Cloud computing

Software

25

20

Ownership of data devices and software

Hardware

15

10

Linear video

Media

10

5

Streaming video

Media

30

25

Traditional media

Media

5

2

Internet media

Media

20

15


Granted, it is hard to separate the value of “fast revenue growth” from other attributes driving financial value. Newer products often grow faster precisely because they do offer higher value or utility; have different and better cost structures or other value-creating features. 


The point is that key decisions made early in a new product’s positioning within a category can have an important valuation impact later on. This might be true when any single firm has revenue earned from multiple lines of business, for example.


Notably, a pure-play fiber-to-home network carries a distinctly-different valuation from a telco that has both copper and fiber access assets. Data centers tend to have the highest valuations, but, so far, edge computing facilities have a much-lower valuation. 


Asset Type

P/E

EV/EBITDA

Cell Towers

20x

15x

Data Centers

30x

20x

Subsea Fiber Networks

15x

10x

FTTH Networks

10x

5x

Telco and Mobile Service Provider Networks

5x

3x

Edge Computing Infrastructure

3x

2x


The practical import would seem to be that a unit of revenue earned by a firm with a high valuation is worth more than an equal unit of revenue earned by a firm with a  lower valuation ratio. In other words, Equinix earns a higher valuation on a unit of connectivity revenue than does a telco or mobile service provider offering the same product. 


When one has a choice, choose to operate in a segment of the digital infrastructure business that carries a higher valuation. Additional assets in other segments with lower valuations will then tend to be credited with the higher valuation.


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