Tuesday, August 2, 2011

Visa launches mobile payments in Indonesia

"Visa has launched "m-saku," a mobile payment application for Visa card users who also have Blackberry and Nexian phones in Indonesia.

M-saku allows users to top up their cellular credit, pay bills, buy tickets and shop online using their smart phones.

The application also provides offers such as discounts for m-saku users from certain merchants, as well as a mobile payment function available at participating merchant locations.

QFPay Readies Chinese "Square"

QFPay, a Beijing-based company providing a payments solution similar to Square, is coming out of stealth mode. QFPay enables users to pay with bank cards swiped on mobile devices.

Verizon Partners with American Express for "Serve" Mobile Payments

Verizon Wireless will be supporting the American Express "Serve" system for mobile phone payments, in addition to its support of Isis, the wallet joint venture with AT&T and T-Mobile USA.

The partnership means Verizon mobile uers will be able to use the "Serve" payment system on mobile phones and tablet computers. Sprint also is working with American Express to support Serve for its users.

Serve enables users to send and receive money from mobile devices, using accounts provided by Amex, and is different from other systems designed for use at retail locations only.

Mobile Payments Won't Save Consumers Money, Says Consumer Reports

In many cases, consumers using their mobile devices to pay for purchases will not find they are saving money, Consumer Reports argues. In most cases, retailers won't be saving money, either.

Most of the new electronic payment options are tied to credit and debit cards, so whatever costs consumers or retailers normally incur when using their plastic will find the same charges are incurred in a "pay by mobile phone" context as well.

Google Wallet merchant transaction fees are the same as those charged on plastic payments, and the same is expected to be true for Visa's digital wallet. Square and PayPal Mobile charge merchants even more than the average big bank fee, 2.75 and 2.9 percent of the transaction amount, respectively.

Among payment processors Consumer Reports looked at, only Obopay charges consumers (not merchants) an explicit flat 50-cent fee for payments over $10. You can transfer funds to your Obopay account from a bank account at no cost, but if you link a transaction to a debit or credit card, you'll pay a 1.5 percent fee. So on a $100 payment, fees can run from 50 cents to $2.

That should raise an immediate question: what's the value to end users of paying by mobile phone instead of credit or debit card? The answer will be obvious in a few cases, but more obscure in most cases. Paying for public transportation is one of the scenarios where the ability to simply waive a phone near a terminal will provide value by saving consumers the time spent waiting in line to buy tickets or recharge current fare cards.

In other cases one might argue consumers can save a bit of time checking out by "swiping a phone" instead of a card. But many will find that a minor value, if a value at all. That's one reason interest in "wallet" approaches that use the mobile to store credentials and target offers of value to users seems to be growing. Getting a discount or other incentive provides the "value."

Amazon Getting into Social Shopping

Social shopping sites (mobile coupons, group offers or deal of the day services) have proliferated since Groupon started getting traction. Now Amazon.com has launched its own deal-of-the-day service in Chicago, the Wall Street Journal reports. Amazon Getting into Social Shopping (subscription required).

Google has started slowly rolling out its own Groupon-like offerings see Google Offers.

Social couponing, or social shopping, sometimes called "deal of the day," is becoming a serious business, but it also is easy to dismiss. It's just coupons, right? Maybe not. The coupon is the tactic used to aggregate buyers. It is a rival channel to alternative coupon channels and other forms of local advertising and promotion.

The group-buying industry is expected to grow 138 percent to $2.66 billion in 2011. The business is highly fragmented at the moment, with some estimating there are about 439 daily deal email programs serving the U.S. market in the first quarter of 2011.

Nor is social shopping just a nice or interesting stand-alone business. Many believe it will increasingly be integrated with mobile payments, mobile loyalty mechanisms and other targeted forms of advertising and promotion. Read more here.

Monday, August 1, 2011

AT&T Purchase of T-Mobile USA "Highly Likely" to be Approved

In the end, the U.S. Government is highly-likely to approve the AT&T/T-Mobile merger, despite the significant opposition, because of three over-riding realities: 1) market/financial realities, 2)DOJ legal/precedent realities, and 3) FCC public-interest realities, argues Scott Cleland of the Precursor Group. 

http://goo.gl/Op9GH

iPhone 5 to Come With Mobile Payment? With PayPal?

Apple's iPhone 5 not only will include mobile payments and near field communications capabilities, but also will feature a service offered in conjunction with PayPal, argues. Rod Farmer, co-founder of Mobile Experience.

PayPal has already extended its NFC support to Google’s Android while Google has already entered into an alliance with MasterCard and Citi for its Google Wallet service. PayPal has been talking more, of late, about the importance of retail mobile payments as a driver of its future growth.

Steve Perlman’s white paper explains “impossible” wireless tech | VentureBeat

With the caveat that when a talented engineer says something is "impossible," it means the speaker honestly believes something cannot be done, because "we cannot, with our known technology, do so." That might not be the same thing as saying "nobody else can do this." That might be the case for a new mobile bandwidth grooming approach championed by
Steve Perlman, who believes a different approach to bandwidth management could exceed "Shannon's Law" by about an order of magnitude.

Shannon’s Law is a rule of thumb about the theoretical capacity of any communications channel. But some might quip that "Shannon was wrong."

Perlman’s “distributed input distributed output” technology allows each wireless user on a network to use the full data capacity of shared spectrum, simultaneously with a bunch of other users. It claims to do so by eliminating interference between users sharing the same spectrum.

Critics will say it violates the laws of physics. But some of us have heard the best engineers in a field say such things in the past, only to be proven wrong. I was once at a meeting of top engineers from the broadcast and cable TV industry hear a proposal from Telecommunications Inc. (TCI) that would allow delivery of high-definition television in 6 megahertz of bandwidth. The room essentially exploded into disbelief, as the current proposals then in circulation suggested it would take 20 MHz to deliver HDTV.

As it turned out, TCI was right, and HDTV now is delivered in 6 MHz.

On another occasion, I was quietly informed by some very senior Bell Laboratories engineers that an analog fiber optic access network "could not" deliver 40 cable TV signals, as cable industry engineers were saying was a minimum requirement for cable network fiber optic access systems. The reason for the belief was that lasers capable of doing so could not be produced.

As it turns out, it was entirely possible to produce lasers with characteristics that would allow delivery of 40 channels of analog TV on a single laser, at reasonable distances. When those engineers said "it could not be done," what they meant was that "we cannot do so."

That doesn't mean that all such "impossible feats" actually result in commercially-significant deployments. But one has to translate. When somebody says "something cannot be done," that sometimes only means "we cannot do that." There's a big difference. Sometimes, the smart guys just aren't aware that somebody else might be able to do something formerly regarded as "impossible" or a violation of the laws of physics.

PayPal: 12M monthly users are paying for Facebook games

More than 12 million unique users pay for games each month on Facebook, according to data released for the first time today by digital payments vendor PayPal. That’s about 1.6 percent of the 750 million users on Facebook, but it’s enough to create a big social game industry with giants such as Zynga, which generates hundreds of millions of dollars in revenue per quarter.

Apple Lawsuit Delays Samsung Galaxy Tab Launch in Australia

Apple and Samsung are battling it out in court in several jurisdictions, including the United States, South Korea and now, Australia, over claims that certain Samsung devices, such as the Galaxy Tab 10.1, violate a number of Apple patents. 

Samsung has agreed to hold off bringing the Galaxy Tab 10.1 to Australia until it resolves its patent lawsuit with Apple. Given the time it typically takes to resolve such disputes, and the limited time any particular device or software load can be sold in any market, it is conceivable that the unresolved lawsuit could mean only subsequent generations of the device will be available in Australia or other markets.


No matter what the ultimate outcome, the lawsuit already is delaying Samsung product launches. Patent infringement lawsuits are a weapon of business warfare in several ways. Long term, such lawsuits can create revenue streams for one set of contestants, while raising manufacturing costs for rivals. In the short term, the lawsuits can upset product launch plans, and impede or destroy revenue prospects for a device, or generation of software.

Sunday, July 31, 2011

U.K. Already Heading for "Double Dip" Recession, Will U.S. Follow?

Some people continue to insist the U.S. economy is not headed into another recession, creating a "double dip" recession. Others say a new recession is coming.

We can't say yet, but there's bad news from the United Kingdom, where the "Retail Health Index" already shows business activity dropping, which if replicated for the entire U.K. economy, would trigger a formal recession condition. UK Retail is now firmly back in recession says Retail Think Tank 

So far, the U.S. economy has not actually fallen for one full quarter, let along two, but it is growing at a historically weak level, compared to past recessions. And some already think the U.S. economy is headed for a double dip.

"Amid all the absurd posturing over raising the debt ceiling comes some real news—and it’s very bad," says the New Yorker. "According to new government figures, the economy has hardly grown at all in 2011."

"The recovery that began in early 2009 is now officially stalled," the New Yorker says. "Some economists will quibble, but I think it is fair to say that the dreaded double-dip recession is at hand," argues John Cassidy.

When healthy, the American economy grows at an annual rate of close to three per cent. The Commerce Department’s latest report on the gross domestic product shows that between April and June 2011, it expanded at an annual rate of 1.3 per cent, and between January and March it grew at an annual rate of just 0.4 per cent.

The first-quarter figure is particularly stunning. Previously, the Commerce Department had estimated growth in the period at 1.9 per cent. Some think there will be a similar downward revision to the second-quarter figures.
Read more here.

it may turn out that we’re already in one, according to a pair of economists at Moody's Capital Markets Research Group. Read more here.

U.K. retail executives expect the trend to continue in the third quarter. The most recent quarterly reports from a number of European telecom providers also could suggest economic softening.

U.S. Steps Up Probe of Nortel Patent Deal

Apparently the U.S. Justice Department thinks there might be anti-competitive implications in the recent sale of Nortel patents to a consortium of firms including Apple, Microsoft and Research in Motion, the Wall Street Journal reports.

A consortium of six companies last month paid $4.5 billion to acquire a portfolio of 6,000 patents auctioned by the bankrupt Canadian telecom equipment maker Nortel Networks Corp. Google had made an initial bid of $900 million.

The Wall Street Journal says some observers were "stunned" at the sales price, which has raised Justice Department concern about what return the bidders expect on the investment.


Recently, some Android handset manufacturers reportedly have agreed to pay Microsoft $5 per device in licensing fees, perhaps raising speculation that Google's rivals think they can impose more costs on Android handset manufacturers. http://ipcarrier.blogspot.com/2011/07/patent-issues-for-android-growing.html.

The Nortel patents cover an extensive array of mobile-related functions, especially related to fourth-generation mobile networks and devices, apparently. http://ipcarrier.blogspot.com/2011/05/nortel-nears-libuidation.html


Wired Looks at Who Wins Social Media Wars

How Big a Deal will 4G Wholesale Be?

In 2016, ABI Research forecasts that there will be 103 million 4G wholesale subscribers, served by mobile virtual network operators (MVNOs) that buy capacity and services from a facilities-based provider and then retail services under their own brand names.

ABI Research estimates there were about 3.8 million 4G wholesale subscribers in 2010.

Other forecasts suggest lower adoption. Separately, Ovum forecasts that global MVNO connections will reach 85.6 million by 2015, and revenues are expected to be $9.5 billion. In other words, ABI Research believes there will be more 4G MVNO customers than Ovum believes will exist in the entire MVNO market, including the much-larger 3G market.

Over the next five years, new MVNO markets are expected to open up in South and Central America, Asia-Pacific, and in the Middle East. However, there are still regulatory and market challenges to overcome before these markets can offer an environment that can sustain MVNO activity.

Therefore, Ovum expects the bulk of MVNO connections and revenue growth from 2010 to 2015 will come from established MVNO markets in Western Europe, Asia-Pacific, and North America.

Saturday, July 30, 2011

Why You Should Switch to GMail

AI is Solow Paradox at Work

An analysis of 4,500 work-related artificial intelligence use cases suggests we are only in the very-early stages of applying AI at work a...