If one assumes 2012 global telecom revenue will be $2.1 trillion, then fixed broadband would represent about nine percent of total revenue.
Thursday, February 9, 2012
Global Fixed Broadband Revenue: $191 Billion in 2012
Global fixed broadband revenue expected to generate $191 billion and reaching $217 billion in 2012, according to ABI Research.
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
Google to Launch Cloud Service
Google is rumored to be launching a cloud-storage service that would compete head-to-head with Dropbox, SugarSync and others.
The search giant’s cloud service will be called Drive and it’ll not only be free to consumers up to a certain size limit but it will also be folded into Google Apps for enterprise customers. Google to launch cloud service
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
Teens Text, Don't Talk (You Knew That)
If it seems like American teens are texting all the time, it’s probably because on average they’re sending or receiving 3,339 texts a month, Nielsen says.
Using recent data from monthly cell phone bills of more than 60,000 mobile subscribers as well as survey data from over 3,000 teens, The Nielsen Company analyzed mobile usage data among teens in the United States for the second quarter of 2010 (April 2010 – June 2010).
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
Visa Introduces Suite of Mobile Services for U.S. Financial Institutions - MarketWatch
Visa has launched a suite of mobile services that allow financial institutions to offer their account holders mobile banking services, including account history and balances, as well as the ability to transfer funds between accounts and receive near real time transaction alerts on their mobile devices.
Developed with Monitise, the new platform is available as part of Visa's card issuer platform, Visa DPS.
Developed with Monitise, the new platform is available as part of Visa's card issuer platform, Visa DPS.
Additional services are currently in development including mobile check deposit, mobile (NFC) payments, mobile offers, and support for V.me by Visa, Visa's digital wallet service. Visa Introduces Suite of Mobile Services
"The services offered by Visa DPS are a one-stop solution for Visa clients who want to serve their customers through the mobile channel without making significant investments in hardware, software or mobile expertise," said John Partridge, President, Visa Inc.
"The services offered by Visa DPS are a one-stop solution for Visa clients who want to serve their customers through the mobile channel without making significant investments in hardware, software or mobile expertise," said John Partridge, President, Visa Inc.
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
A4A Calls on the U.S. Government to Safeguard GPS, the Backbone of NextGen
If you pay attention to any part of the global telecom business, you know that government and regulatory policies literally create, and can limit or destroy, any particular business plan, in any particular segment of the business. Spectrum allocations provide an excellent example. LightSquared and Dish Network both want permission to create new Long Term Evolution fourth generation mobile networks, but neither effort can proceed without authorization from the Federal Communications Commission.
LightSquared has been battling the objections of the Global Positioning System industry, and now apparently faces formal public opposition from the airline industry.
Airlines for America (AfA), the industry trade organization for the leading U.S. airlines, called for the development of a governmentwide policy to protect the aviation Global Positioning System (GPS) spectrum in order to avoid any future threat of spectrum interference. You can read between the lines: AfA is opposed to granting of the LightSquared request to use its satellite spectrum for terrestrial operations.
“GPS is critically important to the millions of customers who airlines fly every day, and is the heart of a multibillion dollar system to modernize the air navigation system,” said AfA Senior Vice President for Safety, Security and Operations Tom Hendricks. More opposition to LightSquared
“GPS is critically important to the millions of customers who airlines fly every day, and is the heart of a multibillion dollar system to modernize the air navigation system,” said AfA Senior Vice President for Safety, Security and Operations Tom Hendricks. More opposition to LightSquared
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
Wednesday, February 8, 2012
Because of Mobile, TV Now is a 2-Screen Experience
During Super Bowl XLVI, 41 percent of Google searches related to “Super Bowl ads” made during the game were made from mobile devices.
Nor is that sort of behavior unusual. About 45 percent of respondents polled by Nielsen who own both smart phones and tablets say they routinely multitask while watching television.
Separately, Velti commissioned a nationwide U.S. poll that indicated nearly 60 percent of mobile users planned to look at, or use their mobile device, during this year's Super Bowl.
The study, conducted by Harris Interactive, also suggested that 30 percent of viewers under the age of 45 would be watching the game with their device in hand, while 47 percent of all viewers age 18 and older expected to check or use their device up to 10 times during the game.
You might say much television viewing has become a two-screen experience, with complicated implications for content marketing or advertising. On one hand, the Google data suggests users were prompted to engage more heavily with brands featured during commercial breaks during the Super Bowl.
On the other hand, the Velti study suggested 13 percent of viewers were likely to use their mobile devices during game play. About 26 percent reported they were likely to look at or use their mobile device during commercial breaks.
So commercial breaks were twice as likely to be the times when users were turning to the second screen. For advertisers spending $3.5 million for each 30-second spot, use of the second screen might be seen as a positive.
“Mobile is the second screen that completes the full circle of user engagement, turning advertising into content," said Krishna Subramanian, Velti chief marketing officer.
That might be true when the content users are looking for on the second screen is related directly to a brand’s ad and message.
On the other hand, users often will be multitasking in other ways that compete with TV ads--at the Super Bowl or not--for attention. A study by Razorfish and Yahoo found that 38 percent of survey respondents found use of the Internet on a mobile or tablet device, watching TV, an enhancement to the viewing experience.
That suggests an opportunity to build more directly on television as a “two screen” experience, rather than a single screen experience. TV executives with long memories will remember the last 30 years of thinking about “interactive TV,” when researchers, suppliers and pundits looked for ways to create compelling experiences based on viewer input and response.
As it turns out, users already have voted on how they want to interact, and it involves the Internet and a second screen of some sort, including PCs, notebooks, tablets and smart phones.
The Razorfish study suggests the top five content categories that seem to encourage multitasking are:
According to an analysis by Altimeter Group, 32 percent of the ads had no references to websites or social media sites, And only Best Buy had an "Act Now" promotion.
Mobile devices now make TV a "two screen" experience.
Nor is that sort of behavior unusual. About 45 percent of respondents polled by Nielsen who own both smart phones and tablets say they routinely multitask while watching television.
Separately, Velti commissioned a nationwide U.S. poll that indicated nearly 60 percent of mobile users planned to look at, or use their mobile device, during this year's Super Bowl.
The study, conducted by Harris Interactive, also suggested that 30 percent of viewers under the age of 45 would be watching the game with their device in hand, while 47 percent of all viewers age 18 and older expected to check or use their device up to 10 times during the game.
You might say much television viewing has become a two-screen experience, with complicated implications for content marketing or advertising. On one hand, the Google data suggests users were prompted to engage more heavily with brands featured during commercial breaks during the Super Bowl.
On the other hand, the Velti study suggested 13 percent of viewers were likely to use their mobile devices during game play. About 26 percent reported they were likely to look at or use their mobile device during commercial breaks.
So commercial breaks were twice as likely to be the times when users were turning to the second screen. For advertisers spending $3.5 million for each 30-second spot, use of the second screen might be seen as a positive.
“Mobile is the second screen that completes the full circle of user engagement, turning advertising into content," said Krishna Subramanian, Velti chief marketing officer.
That might be true when the content users are looking for on the second screen is related directly to a brand’s ad and message.
On the other hand, users often will be multitasking in other ways that compete with TV ads--at the Super Bowl or not--for attention. A study by Razorfish and Yahoo found that 38 percent of survey respondents found use of the Internet on a mobile or tablet device, watching TV, an enhancement to the viewing experience.
That suggests an opportunity to build more directly on television as a “two screen” experience, rather than a single screen experience. TV executives with long memories will remember the last 30 years of thinking about “interactive TV,” when researchers, suppliers and pundits looked for ways to create compelling experiences based on viewer input and response.
As it turns out, users already have voted on how they want to interact, and it involves the Internet and a second screen of some sort, including PCs, notebooks, tablets and smart phones.
The Razorfish study suggests the top five content categories that seem to encourage multitasking are:
- Reality shows
- News programs
- Comedy episodes
- Sports events
- Food programming
According to an analysis by Altimeter Group, 32 percent of the ads had no references to websites or social media sites, And only Best Buy had an "Act Now" promotion.
Mobile devices now make TV a "two screen" experience.
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
Tuesday, February 7, 2012
Facebook Hopes to Tap Mobile Ad Revenue
What does "display advertising" look like on a smart phone? For Facebook that might mean “featured stories,” inserted into end user news feeds. Facebook to tap mobile ads
Mobile advertising is complicated for a number of reasons, not the least of which is that on a smart phone, screen real estate is sharply limited, compared to a PC screen.
The other issue is that there are a few "mobile" screens to deal with, including smart phones and tablets of various sizes. Even where a larger tablet screen (10 inches or larger) is available, the difference in user input capabilities (touch screen versus keyboard and mouse) has to be considered.
In Facebook's case, there also is the specific challenge of creating ad formats for "Timeline," the new way Facebook shows profile pages.
Facebook also might want to create ways of linking a mobile message back to brand ads and content on other parts of Facebook, rather than leaving the Facebook environment.
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
Chrome for Android Launches
In 2008 Google launched Google Chrome. Now Google has launched Chrome for Android Beta, which brings many of the things you’ve come to love about Chrome to your Android 4.0 Ice Cream Sandwich phone or tablet.
Like the desktop version, Chrome for Android Beta is focused on speed and simplicity, but it also features seamless sign-in and sync so users can take your personalized web browsing experience with them, across devices.
Unfortunately, Chrome is only available for people using the latest version of Android called Ice Cream Sandwich. Right now, Ice Cream Sandwich is only on a few devices. Unless you own a Galaxy Nexus, Nexus S, or Asus Transformer Prime.
With Chrome for Android, users can search, navigate and browse fast. Users can scroll through web pages as quickly as they can flick their fingers. When searching, top search results are loaded in the background.
Chrome for Android is designed from the ground up for mobile devices. Tabs so they fit just as naturally on a small-screen phone as they do on a larger screen tablet. Users can flip or swipe between an unlimited number of tabs using intuitive gestures, as if you’re holding a deck of cards in the palm of a hand, each one a new window to the web.
Unfortunately, Chrome is only available for people using the latest version of Android called Ice Cream Sandwich. Right now, Ice Cream Sandwich is only on a few devices. Unless you own a Galaxy Nexus, Nexus S, or Asus Transformer Prime.
With Chrome for Android, users can search, navigate and browse fast. Users can scroll through web pages as quickly as they can flick their fingers. When searching, top search results are loaded in the background.
Chrome for Android is designed from the ground up for mobile devices. Tabs so they fit just as naturally on a small-screen phone as they do on a larger screen tablet. Users can flip or swipe between an unlimited number of tabs using intuitive gestures, as if you’re holding a deck of cards in the palm of a hand, each one a new window to the web.

Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
Mobile Execs See Mobile Payments as "Breakthrough Category" in 2012
The next breakthrough category is seen to be mobile commerce.
Survey respondents tend to believe financial sector participants will be the leaders in mobile payments, specifically firms such as Visa and MasterCard that run huge branded payment networks.
Missing from the list of options, though, are "banks" and other participants that provide the credit or debit card functions.
Perhaps of note, since 2011, respondents have boosted their opinions of the established payment networks, lowered their view of prospects for Isis, and now take a higher view of start-ups, Amazon and Apple.
PayPal is viewed less favorably than in 2011, which some observers might find just the opposite of what might happen in 2012.
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
Mobile Internet Usage Doubles

Global internet usage on mobile devices, exclusive of tablets, has almost doubled to 8.5 percent in January 2012, up from 4.3 percent in 2010, according to StatCounter.
The other important observation is that mobile broadband already has passed fixed network broadband, in terms of number of users or subscribers.
StatCounter Global Stats data also suggest mobile access to the Internet has been doubling every year since 2009. Other studies confirm the trend.
Nokia leads worldwide, most probably driven by its dominance in India, while Apple is second globally but leads the U.S. and U.K. markets.
Global use of mobile devices to access internet
(excludes tablets)
Jan 2009: 0.7%
Jan 2010: 1.6%
Jan 2011: 4.3%
Jan 2012: 8.5%
Mobile phones and PC dongles have been the main drivers of mobile broadband usage, so far. The big question is how much of a role tablets will play in the future.
The other important observation is that mobile broadband already has passed fixed network broadband, in terms of number of users or subscribers.
StatCounter Global Stats data also suggest mobile access to the Internet has been doubling every year since 2009. Other studies confirm the trend.
Nokia leads worldwide, most probably driven by its dominance in India, while Apple is second globally but leads the U.S. and U.K. markets.
Global use of mobile devices to access internet
(excludes tablets)
Jan 2009: 0.7%
Jan 2010: 1.6%
Jan 2011: 4.3%
Jan 2012: 8.5%
Mobile phones and PC dongles have been the main drivers of mobile broadband usage, so far. The big question is how much of a role tablets will play in the future.
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
Monday, February 6, 2012
"Everybody" Multi-tasks When Watching TV
Multi-tasking between TV and internet connected devices is now the norm for consumers, globally.
In fact, according to GlobalWebIndex, fewer than 20 percent of respondents survey had not multi-tasked, while watching TV, in the last month.
While laptops lead, with nearly 50 percent of respondents having used them in tandem with watching TV in the last month, 40 percent having used a mobile and 10 percent used a tablet while watching TV.
Which of the following devices have you used while watching TV?
It is not entirely clear that mobile phones are used exclusively or primarily for content consumption while watching TV. People might be answering the phone or placing a call, sending or reading text messages or email, for example.
Still, the findings do reinforce the notion that "mobile" devices often are used in un-tethered but not mobile contexts, while TV consumption is less an experience that always demands full attention by viewers.
There are lots of implications for "interactive TV." Some decades ago, there was more thinking about how to change the TV experience from a "passive" to an "active" experience. It now appears that is less important to people.
TV remains largely a passive experience. What is "active" is people doing other things while TV is "on."
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
Top 3 U.S. Smart Phones are Apple, Apple, Apple
Some 68 percent of mobile phones sold during the fourth quarter of 2011 were smart phones, according to NPD Group.
And the top five best-selling mobile phone handsets in the fourth quarter were built by Apple. In terms of sales volume, the top devices were:
- Apple iPhone 4S
- Apple iPhone 4
- Apple iPhone 3GS
- Samsung GALAXY S II
- Samsung GALAXY S
The NPD Group study mirrors other studies that suggest Apple and Samsung are the two most-profitable device manufacturers. Apple, Samsung are the growing volume leaders globally, as well.
Profitability, more than anything else, now is shaping the global smart phone business, one might argue after considering the latest estimate by Strategy Analytics of market share in the global handset business.
Globally, Apple and Samsung have, over the last 12 months, surged to the top of the charts in terms of smart phone sales volume. In the past, the “smart phone” category has not been significant, as all devices were feature phones or basic phones.
As the market begins to shift to a smart phone buyer pattern, differences in firm strategy and execution have lead to a rapid change in market leadership.
Global smart phone shipments grew 54 percent annually to reach a record 155 million units in the fourth quarter of 2011, according to Alex Spektor, Strategy Analytics associate director. That apparently has proven to be a decisive change.
In the past, Nokia has been the global share leader, but Nokia has not been able to translate that prior success into smart phone success, where Apple has changed the game and Samsung apparently has been able to keep pace.
Apple overtook Samsung to become the world’s largest smartphone vendor by volume with 24 percent market share. Apple’s global smartphone shipments surged 128 percent annually to 37.0 million units, as distribution of the iPhone family expanded across numerous countries, dozens of operators and multiple price points.”
Apple took the top spot for share on a quarterly basis, but Samsung became the market leader in annual terms for the first time with 20 percent global share during 2011. With global smartphone shipments nearing half a billion units in 2011, Samsung is now well positioned alongside Apple in a two-horse race at the forefront of one of the world’s largest and most valuable consumer electronics markets, Strategy Analytics says.
In contrast, Nokia’s smart phone market share was cut in half from 2011 to 2011, dropping from 33 percent in 2010 to 16 percent in 2011.
That is one reason there has been so much focus on the Nokia partnership with Microsoft, as many would argue the Windows Mobile operating system represents the best shot Nokia will have to avoid collapse.
The other observation of note would be that profitability might now be emerging as the key differentiator, even though design and consumer demand clearly are driving the market overall.
Samsung’s most-recent quarterly earnings also set records. Samsung Electronics Co declared $4.7 billion in quarterly operating profit. jumping 76 percent year over year.
Between them, Apple and Samsung earned fully 81 percent of all profits in the mobile handset business.

Apple in the fourth quarter of 2011 shipped 37 million smart phones worldwide, up 117 percent from 17 million in the second quarter. This represented the strongest sequential quarterly growth among the top-five smart phone brands, according to IHS ISuppli.
“Samsung advanced in 2011 because of its strategy of offering a complete line of smartphone products, spanning a variety of price points, features and operating systems,” says Wayne Lam, IHS senior analyst.
On the other hand, the market share battle between Apple and Samsung reflects the competition between the two leading smartphone operating systems and ecosystems: Apple's iOS and Google's Android, says Lam.
“The relatively small growth of Sony Ericsson and Motorola may indicate that the Android smart phone market is becoming too crowded as the various licensees compete for limited consumer mind share and shelf space,” Lam says.
Globally, Apple and Samsung have, over the last 12 months, surged to the top of the charts in terms of smart phone sales volume. In the past, the “smart phone” category has not been significant, as all devices were feature phones or basic phones.
As the market begins to shift to a smart phone buyer pattern, differences in firm strategy and execution have lead to a rapid change in market leadership.
Global smart phone shipments grew 54 percent annually to reach a record 155 million units in the fourth quarter of 2011, according to Alex Spektor, Strategy Analytics associate director. That apparently has proven to be a decisive change.
In the past, Nokia has been the global share leader, but Nokia has not been able to translate that prior success into smart phone success, where Apple has changed the game and Samsung apparently has been able to keep pace.
Apple overtook Samsung to become the world’s largest smartphone vendor by volume with 24 percent market share. Apple’s global smartphone shipments surged 128 percent annually to 37.0 million units, as distribution of the iPhone family expanded across numerous countries, dozens of operators and multiple price points.”
Apple took the top spot for share on a quarterly basis, but Samsung became the market leader in annual terms for the first time with 20 percent global share during 2011. With global smartphone shipments nearing half a billion units in 2011, Samsung is now well positioned alongside Apple in a two-horse race at the forefront of one of the world’s largest and most valuable consumer electronics markets, Strategy Analytics says.
In contrast, Nokia’s smart phone market share was cut in half from 2011 to 2011, dropping from 33 percent in 2010 to 16 percent in 2011.
That is one reason there has been so much focus on the Nokia partnership with Microsoft, as many would argue the Windows Mobile operating system represents the best shot Nokia will have to avoid collapse.
The other observation of note would be that profitability might now be emerging as the key differentiator, even though design and consumer demand clearly are driving the market overall.
Samsung’s most-recent quarterly earnings also set records. Samsung Electronics Co declared $4.7 billion in quarterly operating profit. jumping 76 percent year over year.
Between them, Apple and Samsung earned fully 81 percent of all profits in the mobile handset business.
Apple in the fourth quarter of 2011 shipped 37 million smart phones worldwide, up 117 percent from 17 million in the second quarter. This represented the strongest sequential quarterly growth among the top-five smart phone brands, according to IHS ISuppli.
“Samsung advanced in 2011 because of its strategy of offering a complete line of smartphone products, spanning a variety of price points, features and operating systems,” says Wayne Lam, IHS senior analyst.
On the other hand, the market share battle between Apple and Samsung reflects the competition between the two leading smartphone operating systems and ecosystems: Apple's iOS and Google's Android, says Lam.
“The relatively small growth of Sony Ericsson and Motorola may indicate that the Android smart phone market is becoming too crowded as the various licensees compete for limited consumer mind share and shelf space,” Lam says.
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
Verizon begins testing new mobile payment solution
Vantiv (formerly Fifth Third Processing Solutions), a payment processor, is conducting a field trial of a new mobile payment solution developed in collaboration with Verizon.
The new solution features end-to-end, secure point-of-sale payment capability and business applications using Verizon’s "Private Application Store for Business."
Vantiv customers can tailor point-of-sale applications using the solution.
Vantiv's Mobile Business Solution from Vantiv on Vimeo.
The new solution features end-to-end, secure point-of-sale payment capability and business applications using Verizon’s "Private Application Store for Business."
Vantiv customers can tailor point-of-sale applications using the solution.
Vantiv's Mobile Business Solution from Vantiv on Vimeo.
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
Google Testing In-Home Wireless Device
Google appears to be developing a wireless in-home entertainment device that requires testing outside the laboratory environment, and has asked the U.S. Federal Communications Commission for permission to conduct such testing in the homes of several employees.
The device is in the prototyping phase, Google says. Apparently Google wants to test the throughput and stability of home Wi-Fi networks using the entertainment device.
The device will use both Wi-Fi and Bluetooth. The planned testing is not directed at evaluating the radio frequency characteristics of the module (which are known), but rather at the throughput and stability of the home Wi-Fi networks that will support the device, as well as the basic functionality of the device. Google in-home wireless test
The device is in the prototyping phase, Google says. Apparently Google wants to test the throughput and stability of home Wi-Fi networks using the entertainment device.
The device will use both Wi-Fi and Bluetooth. The planned testing is not directed at evaluating the radio frequency characteristics of the module (which are known), but rather at the throughput and stability of the home Wi-Fi networks that will support the device, as well as the basic functionality of the device. Google in-home wireless test
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
Sunday, February 5, 2012
Some Mobile Networks Must Raise Prices, Cut Costs, Manage Demand or Accept Congestion
With mobile data traffic growing and revenue per gigabyte falling, mobile service providers in Western Europe need to reduce network carriage costs by 50 percent or they will face an eight-fold increase in the costs of radio access network (RAN) equipment, according to a new report from Analysys Mason.
That analysis suggests that if operators in Western Europe simply try to meet the growing demand for data traffic by deploying more base stations, RAN costs could rise to $40 billion per year by 2016.
This compares with $5 billion per year in 2011, Analysys Mason says.
“Operators can’t afford to spend that sort of money,” says Terry Norman, Analysys Mason lead analyst. “Therefore, operators will either accept network congestion or use pricing to control demand.”
Or, as many now believe, mobile service providers will have to overlay much cheaper infrastructure, such as small cells, as well as greater use of in-building and outdoor Wi-Fi, Norman says.
One potential issue is whether small cell deployment will be a substitute for fourth generation networks in Western Europe.
“The costs of indoor and outdoor Wi-Fi are both significantly lower than those of upgrading to 4G,” Norman says. “In Western Europe, operators need to save $30 billion in mobile access network costs between now and 2016.”
Wi-Fi would go a long way towards making up that deficit because it costs only about 20 percent of an equivalent macro deployment, Norman says. Access network costs too high
“The number one challenge is how to make data profitable,” says Norman. “To do this, operators really only have two choices: they can increase the price of data, or they can decrease the cost of delivery.”
“Increasing the price of data will be extremely difficult for operators because consumers expect data to become ever-cheaper,” Norman says. Reducing the cost of operating the network is one way out of the conundrum.
That analysis suggests that if operators in Western Europe simply try to meet the growing demand for data traffic by deploying more base stations, RAN costs could rise to $40 billion per year by 2016.
This compares with $5 billion per year in 2011, Analysys Mason says.
“Operators can’t afford to spend that sort of money,” says Terry Norman, Analysys Mason lead analyst. “Therefore, operators will either accept network congestion or use pricing to control demand.”
Or, as many now believe, mobile service providers will have to overlay much cheaper infrastructure, such as small cells, as well as greater use of in-building and outdoor Wi-Fi, Norman says.
One potential issue is whether small cell deployment will be a substitute for fourth generation networks in Western Europe.
“The costs of indoor and outdoor Wi-Fi are both significantly lower than those of upgrading to 4G,” Norman says. “In Western Europe, operators need to save $30 billion in mobile access network costs between now and 2016.”
Wi-Fi would go a long way towards making up that deficit because it costs only about 20 percent of an equivalent macro deployment, Norman says. Access network costs too high
“The number one challenge is how to make data profitable,” says Norman. “To do this, operators really only have two choices: they can increase the price of data, or they can decrease the cost of delivery.”
“Increasing the price of data will be extremely difficult for operators because consumers expect data to become ever-cheaper,” Norman says. Reducing the cost of operating the network is one way out of the conundrum.
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
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