Apple and RIM Lead Smart phone Sales

According to a March 2008 ChangeWave survey of 3,597 consumers, the smart phone industry is "a two-horse race between Research In Motion's BlackBerry and Apple's iPhone," say Paul Carton and Jim Woods, ChangeWave analysts.

As the incumbent, RIM continues to enjoy a commanding market share lead, with 42 percent. Apple has nine percent, but is growing faster than RIM.

If customer satisfaction is an indicator of future growth, Apple will contiunue gaining share. About 79 percent of iPhone owners report they're "very satisfied" with their phone. About 54 percent of BlackBerry users say the same.

Among respondents planning to buy a new smart phone in the next 90 days, 35 percent say they'll purchase an Apple iPhone, a huge jump since January 2008.

About 29 percent say they will buy a BlackBerry.

at&t Warms to Android

Initially cautious about the Google-initiated Open Handset Alliance, at&t Wireless might be having a change of heart.

"I like it a lot more than I did before," says Ralph de la Vega, AT&T Mobility CEO. "It's something we would want in our portfolio."

"I think it's going to be a good option for us and a good option for our customers," de la Vega says. The wireless giant might be intrigued about being able to put its own applications on OHA devices.

And that offers at&t room for innovation and differentiation, just as open platforms allow innovation by other application providers.

Intel: Internet in Your Pocket

There's a symmetry between Intel introducing new "Atom" processors and Sprint's interest in WiMAX. As the Internet becomes more pervasive, the desire to be constantly connected using wireless and wired broadband--but especially wireless-- will drive the creation of computing-intensive consumer products that benefit from really-fast wireless connectivity.

And that's the whole idea behind the Intel Centrino Atom processor, formerly known as "Silverthorne": low power consumption, advanced graphics handling, quality audio and fast page downloads.

The whole idea is that new consumer devices benefiting from fast mobile broadband will emerge.

In a real way, that's what is emerging from studies of how Apple iPhone users behave. Sure, people talk, text and check their email. But the really stunning behavioral difference is the use of Web applications.

"Internet in your pocket" is a fairly accurate way to describe the coming change. Unless that is going to be a big trend, everybody is wasting time and money thinking about and preparing to build WiMAX, LTE (Long Term Evolution) and other fourth-generation networks.

Biggest Non-Story at CTIA

Sprint Nextel announcing a reinvigorated WiMax venture with Clearwire, Comcast, Time Warner Google and Intel. There was supposedly an April 1 self-imposed deadline for reaching agreement, and it does appear the deadline passed with no agreement.

That, in and of itself, doesn't necessarily mean a deal won't ultimately be reached, or that a deal is unreachable. Cable operators have been in deals with Sprint before, with arguably meager gains on the operational front. But they know Sprint.

What the cablers might not be so sure about is their wireless strategy. Some might argue that with open networks coming, owning the network might not be crucial. Others, possibly with less justification, might argue that cablers don't actually "get" the importance of wireless.

More plausibly, there remain several issues. Investors probably are not wild about the capital investments. Cable executives traditionally have not been comfortable running services on somebody else's network. Wireless is not necessarily a core competency or a service that can be incrementally grafted onto the hybrid fiber coax network.

Perhaps some worry about betting on WiMAX when the telcos will back LTE. More significantly, perhaps, is uncertainty about the size and customer appetite for all sorts of services that go beyond voice. There is, in fact, almost no reason to build wireless broadband networks capable of 50 Mbps to 100 Mbps if in fact various sorts of new broadband services are not the revenue drivers.

And lots of experienced people probably would have to admit it is not yet possible to outline all the popular new services and business models that will drive fourth generation networks. In the midst of that much uncertainty, executives might not feel a need to rush a decision.

Most Jarring Moment at CTIA

There often is some point, in an opening keynote at CTIA, when a keynoter tosses out an applause line, typically having to do with Google, Skype or open networks in general. And amidst the applause, one always is reminded that innovations almost always have been "forced" upon the industry--the salient exception being digital switching--which allowed service providers to lower their costs while adding features.

That's not to pick on wireless providers. The same thing happens at cable industry keynotes and elsewhere. Every organization and every person must have a business model, it goes without saying. And it asks too much of participants to expect robust embrace of trends that harm their own revenue models.

But that is what markets are about, and why they are a good thing. And lest we forget: markets only work when they permit harm to befall contestants when better alternatives arise. Take away failure and there is no way to drive success. "Creative destruction," economists call it.

Still, it is asking too much to expect people to welcome harm. Hence the applause.

Best Rumor from CTIA Day One

Why aren't members of Google's core voice team showing up for scheduled meetings at the CTIA: Wireless Association trade show? Because they all are away putting together an acquisition of Skype, or a partnership with it, surmises TechCrunch Editor Michael Arrington.

Samsung Instinct Available in June

Sprint Nextel will roll out the new Samsung Instinct, a full touch-screen device running on the Rev. A network, in June. Sprint will have exclusive right to sell the device, initially.

Samsung Instinct will be seen as a competitor to the Apple iPhone, of course.

It is designed for fast Web browsing, email access, commercial-free radio and Sprint Navigation, powered by Telenav, with GPS-enabled audio and visual turn-by-turn driving directions, one-click traffic rerouting and more than 10 million local listings.

Live Search for Sprint, powered by Microsoft, provides easy access to directory information on-the-go, GPS-enabled directions, interactive maps and one-touch click to call access

Sprint TV offers live and on-demand programming.
Sprint Exclusive Entertainment offers made-for-mobile sports and entertainment video.

Sprint Music Store allows users to browse and wirelessly download full-length songs directly to their phone for 99 cents each.

Pocket Express offers up-to-date information on sports, weather, news, movie showtimes and other options customized to the user's zip code.

Three dedicated keys on the lower portion of the handset make operation of the device very straightforward and easy to navigate, the company says. The phone key always takes the user back to essential voice calling and features including speed dial, visual voicemail, contacts and the dial pad. The back key is a consistent way to take a step back in the operation.

The home key on the Samsung Instinct provides quick access to the four menus of functionality:

"Favorites" provides one-touch access to the things a user does most, making customization and personalization extremely simple. Web sites, TV channels, text messaging friends and much more can be saved in the Favorites menu so the items used most are always at the user's fingertips.

"Main" includes applications such as Messaging, Voicemail, GPS Navigation and more.

The "Fun" menu brings up music, TV, photos and games.

"Web" takes a user straight to Web site options.

Samsung Instinct features Visual Voicemail, allowing users to listen to messages in their order of preference and manage them with a simple tap of the screen.

Both corporate and consumer (POP3) email accounts are supported.

Multitasking capabilities allow the user to play music in background mode while surfing the Internet, texting or playing games,.

Pricing for Samsung Instinct has not yet been announced. In order for customers to experience the full capabilities of the device, Samsung Instinct requires activation on a Sprint Everything pricing plan offering unlimited data starting at just $69.99 per month.