Friday, July 9, 2010

Cisco Touts "Connected Conversations"


Services, not raw speed, is where consumers think the value of faster broadband will be.

SIP Trunking: Growing, But T1 Remains the Mainstay

Although many organizations have deployed VoIP on their premises, they still use legacy technologies to connect to the PSTN, with T1 lines the most commonly used trunking service today through 2012, according to Infonetics Research.

Much of the SIP trunk demand is fueled by fast-growing hosted IP telephony services. For the first three months of 2009, service providers experienced an average of 40 percent to 50 percent year-over-year growth for IP Centrex, indicating the demand for outsourcing and managed solutions.

Infonetics Research expects hosted UC services to take off, with worldwide revenue doubling between 2009 and 2013, and we forecast SIP trunking service revenue to hit an 89 percent compound annual growth rate from 2008 to 2013.

It also is worth noting that many carriers interconnect with each other using T1 protocols, even if end user service is supplied exclusively in the IP domain.

SIP trunk use is growing, and by 2012 will be the second most commonly deployed trunking service, says Infonetics.

AT&T and Verizon are used most often as providers of SIP trunking services, survey respondents said.

Mobile Subscriptions Hit 5 Billion

Mobile broadband subscriptions will reach 3.4 billion by 2015, up from from 360 million in 2009, Ericsson forecasts. Ericsson also predicts 80 percent of all people accessing the Internet will be doing so using their mobile device.

In 2000, about 720 million people had mobile subscriptions, less than the amount of users China alone has today.

The way Internet access gets used also will shift. Mobile subscriptions allow people who don't have access to a bank or a bank account to transfer money; fishermen and farmers can get quick updates on sudden changes in the weather forecast, villagers to get local medical care, and children to access online education.

Most VoIP LInes Sold as Part of a Bundle


Most VoIP service is sold as part of a bundle, data from the Federal Communications Commission shows.

About 79 percent of IP telephony or VoIP lines sold by cable companies or competitive local exchange carriers are sold as part of a bundle, and intended to be used at a fixed location.

About 90 percent of IP telephony or VoIP lines sold by incumbent telcos are sold as part of a bundle, and intended to be used at a fixed location.

Thursday, July 8, 2010

Tiered Mobile Pricing Hasn't Had Any Repercussions, Yet

AT&T's move to new tiered mobile data plans does not seem to have provoked much consumer protest, or much apparent change in usage, content provider strategies or even competitive responses from other wireless providers. That doesn't mean there will not be impact, though.

Content providers, application developers and OEM manufacturers have sought to provide the richest multimedia streams, the most interactive apps and the most eye-popping displays and capabilities to consumers, with no concern for impact on bandwidth consumption.

For some consumers, bandwidth consumption will start to become an issue. That might ultimately force some rethinking of device and application design, and some rethinking of business models and partnerships. Firms that
expected to stream video to end users, either for free or as subscription services, might have to think about how bandwidth caps now will potentially affect those business models.

On the other hand, some content providers might have new incentives to figure out ways they can work with mobile service providers in ways that take away bandwidth concerns.

Some might find a partnership, where content provider and access provider share revenue, might go a long ways toward creation of new "video service plans" that allow consumption outside any existing caps.

Cheaper Cable TV Packages?

Don't hold your breath, but U.S. cable executives might be quietly mulling creation of more-affordable packages that cost something more like $25 a month to 40 a month than $80 a month, Reuters reports.

There would have to be quite a bit of negotiating with the cable programming networks, which typically want the broadest possible carriage they can get. Offering more-affordable tiers of service necessarily would limit carriage of many channels.

Some Wall Street analysts reportedly have warned the cable industry could harm itself by continuing to raise prices well ahead of the rate of inflation. Of course, some will speculate that the floating of "affordable new tiers" might also be a negotiating tactic by cable operators in advance of contract renewal talks.

Both cable operators and programmers are aware that most people watch a dozen or fewer channels, no matter how many are available. The problem is that it is not the same 12, from one person to the next.

Mobile Voice Will Keep Growing, Despite Pressures

Though growth will slow at some point, it does not immediately appear that mobile voice revenue on a global basis, at least, is in any danger of serious erosion, according to the Yankee Group. Average revenue per user is dropping, but the number of users is growing.

By some estimates, the world has added one billion new wireless customers in just 18 months, for example.

Global average revenue per user will fall from U.S.$14.28 in 2009 to U.S.$11.38 in 2014, Yankee Group predicts.

But paid minutes of use will offset most of those ARPU declines.

Zoom Wants to Become a "Digital Twin Equipped With Your Institutional Knowledge"

Perplexity and OpenAI hope to use artificial intelligence to challenge Google for search leadership. So Zoom says it will use AI to challen...