Monday, June 15, 2015

O3b Annouinces New Contracts

O3b Networks announced a number of new contracts, among them a deal to supply trunking services to Miami-based Emerging Markets Communications® LLC (EMC). EMC will provide O3b high throughput, low latency connectivity to its client, a Tier 1 global telecommunications company. This will enable a first-of-its-kind solution for the Oil & Gas (O&G) industry via a Carrier Ethernet EVPL circuit, allowing direct connectivity into a major Oil & Gas firm’s corporate network.
EMC is a premier provider of hybrid global satellite and terrestrial communications. Utilizing a high quality, fully managed network, very active in the maritime, O&G, Non-Governmental Organization (NGO) and Telecommunications (trunk and backhaul) verticals, EMC offers teleport services, private, end-to-end satellite and terrestrial networks in more than 140 countries.

American Samoa Telecommunications Authority (ASTCA) has deployed an O3b trunk representing a commitment for 1.2Gbps, more than doubling its backhaul and Internet capacity for the entire Samoan archipelago.

At least in part, American Samoa Telecommunications Authority wanted a backup for its submarine fiber system.  

Prior to adding the O3b link, American Samoa and the Independent State of Samoa were served only by the aging American Samoa Hawaii (ASH) submarine cable.
Low latencies are required for many critical manufacturing, financial, and business applications, and ASTCA can now deliver flexible low latency capacity, with redundant reliability, anywhere in American Samoa.

O3b also is providing additional trunking services to Digicel PNG in Papua New Guinea, the Digicel Group’s largest market.

To support additional  demand for internet bandwidth in Port Moresby, the capital city of PNG, O3b Networks has two high throughput, low latency beams from its medium earth orbit satellites.
Digicel first supplied O3bTrunk services in July 2014,  and increased the capacity in February 2015, and only three months later increased the capacity again, nearly a 150 percent increase in data throughput from the initial start of service.

O3b also got a multi-year agreement to provide additional trunking services to the Palau National Communications Corporation, supporting the PalauCel 3G service.

AirBus Wins Contract to Build 900 Satellites for OneWeb

Airbus Defence and Space has been selected to supply OneWeb with 900 150-kilogram satellites, with the first deliveries in time for 2018 launch of the new fleet of satellites to support Internet access. .

The company said the first 10 satellites would be built at Airbus’s Toulouse, France, facility, with the rest of the constellation built at a factory in the United States.

Presumably, the 900 satellites represents a full orbiting constellation of 700 satellites in low earth orbit and 200 spares.

Kacific Aims to Disrupt Traditional Satellite Valur-Price Relationships

Satellite entrepreneurs such as Kacific now are aiming to disrupt the traditional value-price relationship for satellite communications, using new technology as much as two orders of magnitude better than prior platforms.


In the past, price points of older satellite bandwidth caused decision makers in island countries of the Pacific and Southeast Asia to rule out satellite as an economically viable way to enable connectivity in their country, focusing on cable to power fixed and mobile internet networks, notes Cyril Annarella, Kacific executive director.


But new high-throughput satellites are changing the economics of the access business because they “allow data connections at a much lower cost per bit than older generations satellites,” says Cyril Annarella, Kacific executive director, who will be speaking at the upcoming Spectrum Futures conference Sept. 10-11, 2015 in Singapore.


High throughput satellites provide as much as two orders of magnitude more throughput than earlier generation satellites, significantly reducing cost per bit profiles.


ViaSat-1 and EchoStar XVII (Jupiter-1) provide more than 100 Gbps of capacity, which is more than 100 times the capacity offered by a conventional Ku-band satellite, for example.


When it was launched in October 2011 ViaSat-1 had more capacity (140 Gbps) than all other commercial communications satellites over North America combined, to illustrate the capacity advances.


Kacific is building on several technology advances, in additon to availability of HTS. The Ka-band spectrum inherently “carries more information,” says Annarella, much as millimeter wave frequencies or even 2.5 GHz frequencies can carry more information than signals of equivalent bandwidth at 800 MHz.


Also, the success of HTS-based services in the United States,  such as Viasat and Hughes networks Jupiter, has driven the cost of user terminals well below US$500, enabling an interesting mass market value proposition that older generations of satellite services were never able to achieve, Annarella says.


In many markets, including Indonesia, the Philippines, Papua New Guinea and the Island nations of the Pacific, satellite might be the only affordable way to bridge the digital divide, Annarella argues.


Kacific believes there is a mass market for Internet broadband if the price to bring internet at the point-of-consumption can be brought sufficiently low. In most of its target markets, the existing choice  is mobile access at speeds no faster than 2 Mbps.


Kacific plans to provide more than that, especially using anchor sites at government buildings or schools as community access points.


In its target countries, Kacific is “currently the only possible proposition that completely addresses the requirements of universal access plans defined by the regulators,” says Annarella.


Kacific was founded mid-2013 by a group of experienced entrepreneurs with space, finance and IT background, he says.  


The first phase of the project logically involved convincing potential customers of service viability and affordability, defining technical specifications and raising capital.


“This phase is now closing, and the second step of the project, finishing late 2017, will see the construction and launch of Kacific first satellite K1a, for a commercial service opening in the first quarter of  2018.


Kacific says it is a business-to-business bandwidth provider, selling to other satellite service providers such as BIGNET, telecom operators such as OurTelekom and governments including Kiribati.


In other words, Kacific will be a wholesale provider, enabling other retailers to create consumer, business or governmental services.




Although the core of its intended market are islands of the South Pacific, Kacific Broadband already has signed a contract with Indonesian satellite provider BigNet. The US$78 million long-term agreement with Kacific Broadband Satellites entails capacity covering all of Indonesia, with a particular emphasis on providing good quality, affordable Internet to rapidly developing areas in Eastern Indonesia, Kacific Broadband says.


Secondary cities and villages are the target, especially schools, government buildings, enterprises and community Internet access points.  


The deal is the seventh, and largest, signed so far by Kacific Broadband Satellites. Teletok, the local telecommunications company of Tokelau and sole service provider, is another customer.


Tokelau, composed of three small atolls situated north of Samoa, is a Polynesian territory of New Zealand with a population of 1,400.


Kacific’s target audience is a familiar market: up to 50 million communications users on remote Pacific islands typically unserved by undersea cable access. That also includes 13 million people who live on outer islands.


Also, as is the case for many countries of the Caribbean, there are huge spikes in demand caused by tourist visitors numbering about two million a year.


Also, 40 million people live in locations surrounding the Pacific Ocean, such as Eastern Indonesia, where there also is little Internet connectivity.


Demand models show that more than a million latent Internet users live in the extended Pacific islands, where there are high levels of education. Over a million latent Internet users could be added if the region was supplied with levels of connectivity equivalent to those found in developing parts of Asia, Africa or Central America.


Kacific will use the latest generation Ka-band high throughput satellites and spot beams, delivering Internet access at speeds up to 50 Mbps to any single location or user.

The business plan calls for Kacific to supply wholesale capacity, enterprise and consumer services, with the launch of the first satellite in the fourth quarter of 2016 and commercial service early in 2017, with full capacity reached in 2020.

Sunday, June 14, 2015

Will LEO Constellation Window Close? How Fast?

It probably is not too unreasonable for observers to speculate about the level of aggregate demand for Internet access supplied by new low earth orbit satellite constellations.

At a high level, the issue is simply the expected speed with which Internet access provided by mobile service providers is expected to proceed. At the moment, 2G access reaches perhaps 87 percent of potential subscribers in rural parts of Asia and 79 percent of rural Africa for example.  

Basic 2G population coverage stands at over 90 percent worldwide. According to ITU estimates, global 3G population coverage stood at around 50 percent in 2012.

In many areas, 3G and 4G infrastructure must be added, of course. So it is a race to gain share.

Mobile broadband registered continuous double-digit growth rates in 2014 and an estimated global penetration of 32 percent. And mobile broadband is growing fastest in developing countries, where growth rates in 2014 were twice as high as in developed countries (26 percent growth in developing countries, compared to 11.5 percent growth in developed markets).

All regions continue to show double-digit growth rates, but Africa stands out with a growth rate of over 40 percent, twice as high as the global average growth rate.

By the end of 2014, mobile broadband penetration in Africa had reached 20 percent, up from less than two percent in 2010.

If mobile service providers are rational, and they are, they will expedite their efforts to lock down customers before the LEO constellations can be made fully operational.

The corollary is that the market opportunity targeted by the LEO constellations might be considerably smaller in several years than it appears today.

If so, there might not be room for multiple large LEO constellations, in which case mergers will make sense.

In much of Asia, as in some other regions, the smartphone is the gateway to use of the Internet. In India, for example, about 57 percent of the time, the smartphone is the access device of choice.

Even in China, where access using smartphones and PCs or tablets is fairly closely divided, about 45 percent of the time the smartphone is the device of choice, where about 39 percent of the time people use a smartphone or a PC or tablet about the same amount.

In the Philippines, about 39 percent of the time, the smartphone is the preferred or more-used access device. In about 22 percent of instances, smartphones are used about as much as PCs and tablets. In about 21 percent of instances, PCs or tablets are the more-used access device.

Future Networks Will Have to Be Optimized for IP Video Content Delivery

IP video will account for 80 percent of all IP traffic by 2019, up from 67 percent in 2014, according to the Cisco Visual Networking Index. With the caveat that IP traffic is not 100 percent of data traffic, the fact remains that IP networks will, by virtue of traffic volume, become content access networks.

That is not to deny the importance of communications functions, or the value of those functions. Still, to the extent that every network is optimized for the types of traffic each network must carry, it increasingly is going to make sense to architect IP networks as content access networks.

Precisely what form that will take is not yet decided. Already, though, cloud computing increasingly underpins network architectures, since the content increasingly is housed at a relatively small number of global data center sites.

Some already argue that storage will have to shift to the edges of the network, to a large extent. And there might eventually be much greater reliance on techniques similar to that used by BitTorrent, namely peer-to-peer distribution of content.

Smartphone is Asia's Internet Gateway

In much of Asia, as in some other regions, the smartphone is the gateway to use of the Internet. In India, for example, about 57 percent of the time, the smartphone is the access device of choice.

Even in China, where access using smartphones and PCs or tablets is fairly closely divided, about 45 percent of the time the smartphone is the device of choice, where about 39 percent of the time people use a smartphone or a PC or tablet about the same amount.

In the Philippines, about 39 percent of the time, the smartphone is the preferred or more-used access device. In about 22 percent of instances, smartphones are used about as much as PCs and tablets. In about 21 percent of instances, PCs or tablets are the more-used access device.

But there are markets, such as Japan where PCs or tablets are used 53 percent of the time to gain access to the Internet.

That greater use of PCs and tablets would seem to be a developed market phenomenon. In Australia, a PC or tablet is the most-used Internet access device about 36 percent of the time. In 26 percent of the instances, the smartphone is the more-likely access device.  

But there are divergences, even among developed markets. South Korea, one might presume, would have usage profiles similar to Japan. Not so. In Korea, where Google finds that 60 percent of the time, the mobile phone is the most frequently used Internet access device.

Also, in South Korea use of smartphones is nonlinear, by age cohort. Use of smartphones does not decline, in linear fashion, by age cohort, and is high in every age cohort but the 55 and older group, which still registers, at 47 percent usage, a high rate.

In Indonesia, as elsewhere, there is a direct and linear correlation between smartphone use and age. Some 70 percent of Indonesians under the age of 25 use a smartphone. In the age cohort 25 to 34, about 46 percent of Indonesians use smartphones.

In the 35 to 44 age cohort, some 38 percent of Indonesians use smartphones. Indonesians 45 to 54 use smartphones at a 27 percent rate. In the 55 or older group, just 13 percent use smartphones.


Indonesian Smartphone Use Directly Related to Age

In Indonesia, as elsewhere, there is a direct and linear correlation between smartphone use and age. Some 70 percent of Indonesians under the age of 25 use a smartphone. In the age cohort 25 to 34, about 46 percent of Indonesians use smartphones.

In the 35 to 44 age cohort, some 38 percent of Indonesians use smartphones. Indonesians 45 to 54 use smartphones at a 27 percent rate. In the 55 or older group, just 13 percent use smartphones.


Directv-Dish Merger Fails

Directv’’s termination of its deal to merge with EchoStar, apparently because EchoStar bondholders did not approve, means EchoStar continue...