Wednesday, February 27, 2019

5G Networks Will Not Cost as Much as Some Fear

Some have estimated the cost of building 5G as between $500 billion and $1 trillion globally. That is not as scary a number as you might think. By some estimates, annual telco capex is between $160 billion and $345 billion.

As construction of the 5G network begins, we might expect capex to climb at least a bit. Mobile capex is perhaps $160 billion, while fixed and mobile capex might be about $345 billion.

The point is that $1 trillion is about what mobile carriers spend in about six years; what the whole industry spends in perhaps three years.

What will make a big difference is the ability to leverage 4G investments; phase the 5G build over time--perhaps more slowly than was the case for 4G, and take advantage of better technology, lower-cost open source technology and unlicensed spectrum assets.



No comments:

Yes, Follow the Data. Even if it Does Not Fit Your Agenda

When people argue we need to “follow the science” that should be true in all cases, not only in cases where the data fits one’s political pr...