Saturday, October 15, 2011

How "Sticky" are Bundles When Consumers See Value Mismatch?

It now is conventional wisdom, and also rational thinking, that bundles create barriers to customer churn.


The obvious value is that consumers save money when buying a triple-play bundle, rather than each of the products separately. 


The same thinking applies to "family plans" for mobile services.


In fact, bundled products traditionally are seen as effective in many industries. Product bundling


But bundles arguably only work when consumers want the products in the bundle, or when the value-price relationship is seen to be acceptable That increasingly might not be the case for video entertainment services. 


Roughly 25 percent of customers from major U.S. triple-play providers are not satisfied with their service, primarily because they don’t think it offers enough value for the money, says Yankee Group analyst Sheryl Kingstone.



And that's the key issue: video subscriptions keep getting more expensive, and consumers arguably are starting to rebel. 


In western Europe, prices for mobile services arguably are high enough that if another global recession occurs, service providers could see resistance even for a "must have" product. That isn't to say people will drop mobile service. It is to note that they will likely reduce usage in ways that cuts their spending.


Mobile ARPU in Western Europe in fact declined by 9.1 percent cumulatively during 2009 and 2010, says Yankee Group analyst Declan Lonergan. During the same two-year period, ARPU declined in Greece by almost 30 percent and by over 16 percent in both Ireland and Spain.


If Europe slips into recession again in 2012, customers will change their mobile usage and spending habits, he argues. Voice and messaging revenue will suffer most, while spending on the mobile Web and apps will hold up relatively well.


The point is that bundling reduces churn when buyers seen a good fit between value and price. It doesn't take much insight to note that buyers increasingly see a mismatch in the video subscription category. 

What's Different About "Search" These Days?

The difference between "search" and "commerce" depends nearly completely on what a user is trying to do, which would explain why Bing, Google and others traditionally in the "search engine" business are winding up in the offers, tickets and selling things business.


To be sure, all searches are related to acquiring information. But in an apparently-growing number of instances, that desired information has some shopping outcome. Mobile searches for "Thai restaurant" around lunchtime or "grocery store" are examples. 

Though the consumption or transaction might not be as immediate, information about airline destinations, schedules and ticket prices typically is linked fairly directly to a transaction. That explains why Google, for example, has  bought ITA and Zagat..


"We really think about Google as providing the exact right answers when you need them," says Larry Page, Google CEO. So "buying an airline ticket" is a "general instance of a problem, of just making search work better across anything you might want to be able to do," says Page.


Google is getting closer to one end of the sales funnel in other ways, as well. It's business is driven by advertising, which is closer to the top of a traditional sales funnel. Obviously, though,  the Google Wallet initiative will put Google and its many partners into the proximity of retail transactions at the bottom of the sales funnel. 


Even within the advertising business, Google is more focused on parts of the sales funnel that are closer to a transaction. PC-based search or display advertising arguably is further from a transaction event than a location-based offer on a mobile device. 


Likewise, a mobile search is more likely to be commerce-related than a PC search. If you look at Google's new "offers" effort, and its Google Wallet plans, plus the earlier commitment to develop the Android operating system (even the Chrome browser, to an extent), you see Google generally creating tools and platforms that move search closer to the actual end user shopping "transaction."

Friday, October 14, 2011

Hulu Owners Will Retain Control of Video Service - Bloomberg

Hulu's owners canceled a four- month auction of the online video service. News Corp., Walt Disney Co., NBC Universal and Providence Equity Partners have had key differences over how to proceed with the service, and now will have to decide whether some new consensus is possible. Hulu decides not to sell

Some might speculate that a combination of issues are at work. Buyers apparently did not think the asked-for price was reasonable. And Netflix might appear to be more vulnerable at the moment as well.

Online video represents only a small piece of the total advertising pie, but the growth in streaming ad revenue is becoming more of a threat to the broadcast medium that supplies most of the high CPM content. In the past, some of Hulu’s broadcaster backers have heard from media buyers that the video site’s ad sales often offer discounts on ad sales that are not available on the broadcast networks. Hulu Tensions

NBC Universal, News Corp. and Walt Disney Co. were in early 2011 increasingly at odds over Hulu's business model. Worried that free Web versions of their biggest TV shows are eating into their traditional business, the owners disagree among themselves, and with Hulu management, on how much of their content should be free. 


Fox Broadcasting owner News Corp. and ABC owner Disney were said to be contemplating pulling some free content from Hulu, as a result. The media companies are also moving to sell more programs to Hulu competitors that deliver television over the Internet, including Netflix Inc., Microsoft Corp. and Apple Inc. Tensions over "free" content.


Is Voice Value in Bearer Traffic or Signaling?

Where is voice value?
In the absence of some significant amount of innovation in voice services, it might be easy to predict that the revenue contribution from voice, both fixed and mobile, will slowly decline.

That's easy enough for those with no operating responsibilities to say. But there is one major caveat.

Typical estimates of voice revenue contribution, not to mention the strategic value of voice, tend to focus on "bearer traffic" revenues, not the contribution of signaling. 


And one can make an argument that if the voice revenue contribution trend does change, it will be because of innovations in signaling, not bearer traffic, that will drive it.

Why M2M is Important for Service Providers - Carrier Evolution

The "Internet of things" has gotten attention recently for several reasons. One reason is that analysts, academics and journalists, not to mention mobile service provider executives, need something new to talk about. Another reason is that machines and sensors represent the clearest way for mobile revenue and services to grow. Most people who want a mobile device now have one.


To be sure, mobile broadband for smart phones and tablets will be an important source of revenue growth for some time. Beyond that, to keep the business growing, service providers must tap a whole new class of services and devices other than "phones" or other devices people use. That means sensors, security cameras and other telemetry devices. And that's why you now hear so much about M2M or the "Internet of things."

Startup Lets You Save and Share Parts of Web Pages - Technology Review

Plenty of simple things are still surprisingly hard to do online. Take saving a piece of a Web page. That specific task is trickier than it sounds. A startup called Clipboard is building a simple solution using some rather sophisticated Web technologies. http://vimeo.com/27539178


Clipboard allows users to select and store pieces of Web pages in a cloud-based account. Users can comment on items, tag them, and search them. The site allows people to keep clippings private, share them with specific people, or offer them to the public. The new site has been in stealth mode until today, but it's now opening up for a private beta test (readers of Technology Review are invited to participate and can sign up here).

Ironic Reversal in Video, Voice Markets

J.D. Power's annual customer satisfaction survey of video service providers might be interpreted in an ironic way. The survey could suggest that telco and satellite video customers are more happy than cable TV subscribers.

On the other hand, it might be argued that cable customers buying voice services are happier than telco voice customers.

J.D. Power satisfaction study

Directv-Dish Merger Fails

Directv’’s termination of its deal to merge with EchoStar, apparently because EchoStar bondholders did not approve, means EchoStar continue...