What European LTE has Changed

The most significant change in European wireless markets as a result of Long Term Evolution is the  phase out of unlimited data plans, the second most important consequence being a drop in prices. 

More than 90 percent of the LTE operators surveyed in Europe were found to use a speed-based element in their LTE tariffs, even though this type of pricing is rarely seen elsewhere in the world.

Typical advertised maximum speeds are 7.2 Mbps, 14.4 Mbps (HSPA), 42.2 Mbps (HSPA+) and 100 Mbps (LTE).

Tariffs are then priced in line with the advertised speeds. At 7.2 Mbps, a 10 GB monthly allowance costs $23 on average, rising to $44 for an 80 Mbps service (the highest speed at which a 10 GB plan is available). At the other end of the scale, an unlimited plan costs $35 at 7.2 Mb/s rising to $70 at 80 Mbps.

Conversely, at a per GByte level, the average price of data decreases as network speeds increase. The average cost per GByte at 7.2 Mbps in Europe is calculated at $6.20, dropping to around $1.15 per GB at 80 Mbps (LTE).

Wireless Intelligence says 4G LTE data costs $2.50 per GByte on average in Europe, around half the global average of $4.86.

The first commercial cellular LTE networks were switched on in Europe in December 2009 and there are now 38 live operators across 18 European markets, accounting for almost half of the global total. There were 88 live cellular LTE operators worldwide by the end of Q2 2012, according to Wireless Intelligence.

The most competitive LTE market in Europe is Sweden, where all four of the country’s mobile operators have launched the next-generation technology. The Swedish market-leader TeliaSonera had an estimated 170,000 LTE connections in the second quarter of 2012, accounting for almost three percent of its total subscriber base, while rivals 3 Sweden, Telenor and Tele2 have also launched LTE services.

As a result, a Swedish 4G data contract can cost as little as $0.63 per GByte per month (at both Tele2 and 3 Sweden). By comparison, the best value 4G data tariff at the world’s largest LTE operator, US market-leader Verizon Wireless, works out at $7.50 per GByte, Wireless Intelligence says.

Over the Top Voice, Texting now Affecting Revenue for 75% of Mobile Service Providers

Over the top mobile voice and texting apps now affect traffic for almost 75 percent of mobile service providers operating in 68 countries surveyed by mobileSquared as part of a project sponsored by Tyntec.

About 52.1 percent of respondents estimate over the top mobile apps have displaced about one percent to 20 percent of traffic in 2012. That’s a clear issue since traffic lost means lost revenue as well.

Almost 33 percent of respondents expect one percent to 10 percent of their customers will
be using OTT services by the end of 2012, with 57 percent of respondents believe 11 percent to 40 percent of their customers will be using OTT services in 2012.

But 10.5 percent of service providers anticipate more than 40 percent of the user base will be using OTT services by the end of 2012.




In 2016, 100 percent of respondents believe at least 11 percent of their customers will  be using OTT services. In fact, 42 percent of operators believe that over 40 percent of their customer base will be using OTT services in 2016.

The issue is what to do about the threat. In some countries, it might be legal for mobile operators to block use of OTT apps, as some carriers blocked use of VoIP. You can make your own judgment about whether that is a long-term possibility.

There are direct and indirect ways to respond, though. It is at least conceivable that some mobile service providers can legally create separate fees for consumer use of over the top voice and messaging apps. In other cases service providers will have to recapture some of the lost revenue by increasing mobile data charges in some way.

Verizon Wireless protects its voice and texting revenue streams by essentially changing voice and texting services into the equivalent of a connection fee to use the network. Verizon charges a flat monthly fee for unlimited domestic voice and texting.

The harder questions revolve around whether any service provider should create its own OTT voice and messaging apps, even if those apps compete with carrier services. Aside from potentially cannibalizing carrier voice and data services, this approach arguably does take some share from rival OTT providers.

On the other hand, it is a defensive approach that essentially concedes declining revenue, with some amount of ability to capture revenue in the “OTT voice and messaging” space.

Some larger service providers might find they are able to consider a partnering strategy with leading OTT players. To some extent, this also is a defensive move aimed at recouping some lost voice and messaging revenues. In other words, if a customer is determined to switch to OTT voice and data, the revenue from such usage ought to flow to the mobile service provider, if possible.

But there is a notable difference to the branded carrier OTT app approach. In principle, such OTT apps can be a way of extending a brand’s service footprint outside its historic licensed areas, into countries where it is not currently licensed.

Instead of functioning as a defensive tactic that recoups some share of OTT revenue in territory, OTT voice and messaging can be viewed as an offensive way of providing voice and messaging services out of region, says Thorsten Trapp, Tyntec CTO.

Over the longer term, it might also be possible for mobile service providers to replicate the network effect that makes today’s voice and messaging so appealing, namely the ability to contact anybody with a phone, anywhere, without having to worry about whether the contacted party is “on the network” or “in the community” or not.
The RCS-e/Joyn effort is an example of that approach.

Likewise, mobile service providers might be able to create a mediating role that bridges a closed OTT community by enabling third party access to some other third party community using the mobile phone number.

A Different Take on "3 Screens"

A decade ago, the phrase "three screens" normally referred to movie theater screens, TVs and PCs, and was an attempt to capture the importance of the PC as a display device for entertainment video. 

That is not untrue, but these days the notion of three screens has other implications. Looking only at the way people consume Internet news, "three screens" now refers to the process whereby tablets, PCs and smart phones all are widely used access methods. 

Perhaps the biggest behavioral change is the shift to tablet-based consumption, which not tracks phone consumption quite closely. Sample data from the U.K. market for July 2012 suggests that tablets and phones are the most-used devices during "non-working" hours, while PC access is the most used method during workday periods. 

Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer Wants Focus on "Users"

At some level, you wonder whether it could really be so simple that Yahoo has to focus on its products, and what users want to do with those products, as the way out of the mess Yahoo seems to be in. At another level it seems blindingly obvious 

"I want you thinking about users," Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer repeatedly has told Yahoo workers. That tells you something about all the other strategies Yahoo has seemed to cycle through in recent years. None, apparently, focused simply on products people want to use. 

Mayer's "near-singular emphasis on products and users" is a departure, many would argue. That's probably as good a critique of the immediate past strategies as anything. Trying to better "monetize" products that don't provide clear value and a compelling reason for using those products is bound to be challenging in the extreme. 

In the end, fixing Yahoo won't be as simple as "focusing on products and users." Revenue models  still will matter. But it is refreshing to hear a simple and fundamental call to focus on user experience first. 

Over the Top Messaging is Becoming a Problem in Western Europe

Text messaging services offered by carriers face growing challenges in Western Europe, with less robust growth even in Eastern and Central European markets that had been growing faster. Virtually all observers might agree that high charges for cross-border messages are the problem that over the top messaging solves for end users. 

Affluent Asia-Pacific Mobile Users are Heavy Mobile App, Skype Users

Over the top VoIP services such as Skype are a major draw for users around the world who need to make cross-border calls, for obvious reasons. And users in China, Malaysia, Indonesia and India are no different. While much Skype usage originates and terminates on PCs, mobile usage of Skype seems might be quite prevalent as well, in those four countries.

Some 44 percent of surveyed mobile consumers with mobile Internet in Malaysia use over the top VoIP services, as do 38 percent of respondents in India, with 69 percent of VoIP-using respondents saying they use Skype, Analysys Mason says.

It isn't clear whether that refers to any use of Skype or other over the top calling apps, or the percentage who use mobile VoIP. In fact, it seems rather doubtful that mobile VoIP constitutes "most" of the Skype usage in those countries.

Much could depend on whether those relatively affluent consumers responding to the Analysys mason poll are akin to "early adopters" with behavior patterns quite different from those of mainstream users.

The impact of over-the-top (OTT) communications services, such as WhatsApp Messenger and Viber, is growing, but used unevenly.

About 11 percent of smart phone owners use mobile VoIP applications regularly, compared with only five percent of mobile users as a whole. 

Usage of over-the-top services [Source: Analysys Mason Connected Consumer Survey 2012

1 Various questions; Denmark, France, Germany, Poland, Spain, the UK and the USA; n = 7485.

Of 107 million mobile VoIP users expected by 2012, more than half will reside in North America and Europe, owing to the fact that 3G, which is required for mobile VoIP to be effective, has been rolled out in those regions, according to Juniper Research.

But Juniper Research also agrees that the Far East and China will account for most of the remaining mobile VoIP growth, followed by the rest of Asia-Pacific.



 Africa and the Middle East, the Indian subcontinent, and Latin America will round out the remaining growth, with roughly equal percentages, Juniper has predicted. 

“Affluent” consumers in emerging Asia–Pacific countries spend 48 percent more time using communications  and media services than those in Europe and the United States, a study by , Analysys Mason suggests. On average, survey respondents with Internet connectivity in major emerging APAC markets spent 13  hours a day using telecoms and media services, compared with 8.8 hours for consumers in Europe and the United States.

The Analysys Mason conclusions were drawn from an online survey of 4,000 consumers 18 and older in China, India, Indonesia and Malaysia.

The caveat is that the survey sample arguably over-selected for “relatively affluent” consumers, Analysys Mason notes.

On average,  total exposure to telecom and media apps and services was highest in Malaysia (14.6 hours each day), followed by Indonesia (14.2), India (13.3) and China (9.9).



The survey also found that usage of mobile content and apps was high among connected consumers, which is probably no surprise. In China some 78 percent of respondents used mobile apps, while and 79 percent of respondents in India said they use mobile apps.

More than 56 percent of survey respondents used a smart phone.

About 11 percent of respondents that buy both fixed and mobile broadband services are planning to give up their fixed broadband service, but that is balanced by13 percent of respondents that have only mobile broadband who report they are considering also buying fixed broadband.

Starbucks Adds Square for Mobile Payments

In a move that in one sense shows the scale of Starbucks mobile payments operations, and might ultimately suggest other opportunities, Starbucks is outsourcing its mobile payment operation to Square. 

Users will simply use the Pay with Square app in place of the current app. At least so far, the advantage for Starbucks might be more tactical than strategic. Some think Starbucks will get better rates on each payment, than it had been able to do using its prior in-house method.

Others might suggest that the cost of supporting the mobile payment operations has grown to the point where outsourcing that particular function makes more sense than doing it in house. 

Basically, the Pay with Square app will be used by Starbucks in a "stripped down" version, allowing users to display a Square bar code that works with the existing Starbucks bar code scanners. 

Starbucks has said nothing about using the Square credit card dongles, or changing out its current point of sale infrastructure. 

In similar fashion, many of the full Square analytics features will not be used, since Starbucks seems comfortable with its own analytics. 

But the move does suggest Starbucks sees some future upside to using Square. What isn't clear is whether that is a tactical decision, such as often made by firms when they switch from an in-house or proprietary application to a "standards-based" alternative, or something more.