Tuesday, December 4, 2012

There's a Long Tail (Pareto Distribution) for App Store Developers

A small number of developers, almost entirely game companies, continue to generate the majority of revenue at the leading app stores - Apple’s App Store (iPhone only) and Google Play, according to an analysis by Canalys.

Canalys estimates that just 25 developers accounted for 50 percent of app revenue in the United States in the Google Play and Apple iTunes stores during the first 20 days of November 2012. Between them, they made $60 million from paid-for downloads and in-app purchases over this period.

That is a classic Pareto distribution, sometimes called a "Long Tail" or the "80/20" rule. The idea is that, in any market, or any natural world distribution, a small number of instances account for a highly disproportionate share of the total cases. 

In business, that might be also called the law or rule of three. It's the same idea: a small number of actors, instances, companies or objects have a disproportionate share of total instances. 

Also, Of the top 25 grossing developers, all bar one (popular music service Pandora with its Pandora Radio app) are game developers. 

Mobile Operators Say Small Cells "Essential"

About 98 percent of mobile operator respondents surveyed by Informa Telecoms and Media  believe small cells are essential for the future of their networks. There are now 46 small-cell deployments by operators, including nine of the top 10 operators by revenue globally, according to Informa Telecoms and Media.

Somet 55 percent of the mobile operator respondents are most interested in public access deployments over the next 12 months, while 35 percent say enterprise applications are of high interest.

Some 49 percent of operators said their greatest concern surrounding outdoor metro deployments are the planning issues (finding suitable sites, power), followed by backhaul challenges, noted by 35 percent of respondents as a challenge.

The survey also found that Wi-Fi was deemed to be complementary to small cells with deployments of both expected to take place in parallel.

In practice, it sometimes will be hard to clearly delineate a small cell access from Wi-Fi hotspot access. Vodafone Greece provides its customers with a free data service when connected to certain public access small cells in retail locations. In that scenario, the network might be “mobile,” but the charging is that of “free public hotspot.”

“Our research shows that operators now regard small cells as essential to the future of their networks,” says Dimitris Mavrakis, principal analyst at Informa Telecoms & Media.

Millennials are Gadget Nuts

The November 2012  Scarborough Research study that surveyed 210,000 US consumers ages 18 to 29, illustrates what gadget nuts they are.  High-definition televisions had the highest rate of ownership among this group at 73 percent, followed by smartphones at 61 percent. 

And while only 17 percent of Millennials owned a tablet, it topped the list of gadgets that they planned to buy in the next year, at 11 percent.


These digital natives have taken to the hyper-connected world of social media with enthusiasm, says eMarketer

Beyond simply logging on to view their feed, six in 10 respondents had visited a friend’s page or profile during the previous 30 days, while 52% had commented on a friend’s post and 49% had updated a status. Those participation levels easily outpaced email and messaging activities, performed by 48% of respondents.

A March to April 2012 survey from the Pew Research Center’s Internet & American Life Project found that those ages 18 to 29 were more likely than any other age group to engage in real-time mobile activities ranging from coordinating social gatherings to reviewing a business or restaurant.

How Syria Turned Off the Internet, Why UN Must Not Gain Control

On 9 November 2012, between 1026 and 1028 (UTC), all traffic from Syria to the rest of the Internet stopped., according to CloudFlare.

The Syrian Minister of Information is  reported as saying that the government did not disable the Internet, but instead the outage was caused by a cable being cut. He's lying. 
The exclusive provider of Internet access in Syria is the state-run Syrian Telecommunications Establishment. Their network AS number is AS29386. The following network providers typically provide connectivity from Syria to the rest of the Internet: PCCW and Turk Telekom as the primary providers with Telecom Italia and TATA for additional capacity. 
When the outage happened, the BGP routes to Syrian IP space were all simultaneously withdrawn from all of Syria's upstream providers. The effect of this is that networks were unable to route traffic to Syrian IP space, effectively cutting the country off the Internet.
Syria has four physical cables that connect it to the rest of the Internet. Three are undersea cables that land in the city of Tartous, Syria. The fourth is an over-land cable through Turkey. In order for a whole-country outage, all four of these cables would have had to been cut simultaneously. "That is unlikely to have happened," CloudFlare says.
"However, we do believe it is our mission to build a better Internet where everyone can have a voice and access information," CloudFlare also says.
Indeed. And that's why allowing governments to control the flow of information on the Internet is such a bad idea. 




Monday, December 3, 2012

Half of EU Homes Can Buy 30 Mbps or Faster Internet Access

About half of all European Union households can buy high-speed Internet access of at least 30 Mbps, a study conducted by Point Topic, and commissioned for the European Union, finds. 

Docsis 3, generally capable of providing 30 Mbps service, reaches 37 percent of homes.  VDSL, which is included in the DSL figures, is available for purchase by 21 percent of homes, while fiber to the home is available to 12 percent of homes.


The study also estimated that 95.7 percent of EU homes can buy service of at least 2 Mbps.
Digital subscriber line (DSL) networks reach about 92 percent of households. Cable modem service reaches 42 percent of homes.  Fixed wireless (WiMAX) has reach of under 15 percent.

As you would expect, rural areas are much less likely to have the ability to buy access of at least 30 Mbps. About 78 percent of rural EU homes have access to standard broadband at 2 Mbps but only 12 percent have access of at least 30 Mbps.

Triple-Digit Mobile Broadband Growth to 2016, Globally

Qualcomm provides one way of illustrating mobile broadband growth, in terms of subscribers and connections: triple digit growth between 2011 and 2016.



Consumer Time Spent with Mobile Apps Grows 120%, Year over Year

Nielsen has released new statistics on social media usage and other matters. Mobile app usage is up 120 percent since 2011, though time spent with mobile Internet is an order of magnitude less than time spent interacting with the Internet from a PC. 

People do spent significantly more time using social apps from their mobiles and tablets, though. 
 03

DIY and Licensed GenAI Patterns Will Continue

As always with software, firms are going to opt for a mix of "do it yourself" owned technology and licensed third party offerings....