The "long tail" distribution is a standard Pareto distribution, popularly thought of as the "80/20" rule, where a disproportionate share of just about anything comes from a fraction of the causes.
Twitter followers in December 2010 show a clear Pareto distribution, as do people that Twitter users "follow."
The clear implication for things such as market share in any sphere of business will also have a Pareto distribution.
The implications for businesses and organizations that use Twitter as a social tool is that, in all likelihood, modest expectations should be watchword. It is highly unlikely most companies and organizations will ever appear at the head of the tail. Those spots normally are held by celebrities of one sort or another.
That isn't a reason not to use Twitter, just a reminder to be realistic about expectations.
Thursday, December 16, 2010
Twitter Illustrates Pareto Distribution
Gary Kim was cited as a global "Power Mobile Influencer" by Forbes, ranked second in the world for coverage of the mobile business, and as a "top 10" telecom analyst. He is a member of Mensa, the international organization for people with IQs in the top two percent.
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Yes, Follow the Data. Even if it Does Not Fit Your Agenda
When people argue we need to “follow the science” that should be true in all cases, not only in cases where the data fits one’s political pr...
-
We have all repeatedly seen comparisons of equity value of hyperscale app providers compared to the value of connectivity providers, which s...
-
It really is surprising how often a Pareto distribution--the “80/20 rule--appears in business life, or in life, generally. Basically, the...
-
One recurring issue with forecasts of multi-access edge computing is that it is easier to make predictions about cost than revenue and infra...


No comments:
Post a Comment