The "long tail" distribution is a standard Pareto distribution, popularly thought of as the "80/20" rule, where a disproportionate share of just about anything comes from a fraction of the causes.
Twitter followers in December 2010 show a clear Pareto distribution, as do people that Twitter users "follow."
The clear implication for things such as market share in any sphere of business will also have a Pareto distribution.
The implications for businesses and organizations that use Twitter as a social tool is that, in all likelihood, modest expectations should be watchword. It is highly unlikely most companies and organizations will ever appear at the head of the tail. Those spots normally are held by celebrities of one sort or another.
That isn't a reason not to use Twitter, just a reminder to be realistic about expectations.
Thursday, December 16, 2010
Twitter Illustrates Pareto Distribution
Gary Kim has been a digital infra analyst and journalist for more than 30 years, covering the business impact of technology, pre- and post-internet. He sees a similar evolution coming with AI. General-purpose technologies do not come along very often, but when they do, they change life, economies and industries.
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