New Speakers Confirmed for Spectrum Futures, Singapore 19-21 October 2016

New Confirmed Speakers:

Leo Sugandhi, spectrum frequency planning analyst for mobile services at Directorate of Spectrum Planning and Policy; Ministry of ICT, West Java Province, Indonesia

B. Shadrach, Independent Consultant, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation; Asia Coordinator, Alliance for Affordable Internet, New Delhi Area, India

Mr. Sushil Kumar, IoT standards and implementation, Telecommunication Engineering Center, Department of Telecom (DoT),  India. (will speak about IoT opportunities in India in several industries)

Syed Ismail Shah, Chairman, Pakistan Telecommunications Authority, Pakistan

Confirmed Speakers:

Chris Weasler, Facebook, Director of Global Connectivity

Greg Leon, Google Product Manager

Jay Fajardo, Founder, LaunchGarage

Praveen Sharma, Tata Communications, Head of Regulatory Affairs

Rajan S. Mathews, Cellular Operators Association of India, Director General

Shrinath V, Product Management & Design Thinking Consultant and Google Developer Expert

Mohamed El-Moghazi, National Telecom Regulatory Authority of Egypt, Director of Radio Spectrum Research and Studies

Camilo Alberto Jiménez Santofimio, Comisión de Regulación de Comunicaciones, Colombia, Senior Advisor

Reza Arefi, Intel Corporation, Director of Spectrum Strategy

Bob Horton, Horton Consulting, Director & Principal

Vern Fotheringham, V-Satcast, LLC, Executive Chairman

Josh Gordon, Red Pocket Mobile, President

Narendra K. Saini, Telecommunication Engineering Center (TEC), India, Chair - Smart Governance WG

Rajnesh Singh, Internet Society, Director, Asia-Pacific Regional Bureau

Muhammad Rashid Shafi, Multinet Pakistan (PVT.) LTD., CEO Global Business & Chief Strategy Officer

Devid Gubiani, Bolt Super 4G - PT First Media, CEO

New speakers will be added every week this summer. Join us at Spectrum Futures, sponsored by the Pacific Telecommunications Council.

India's TRAI Preparing Mobile Average Speed Rules

The Telecommunications Regulatory Authority of India appears to be preparing for new quality of service measures related to minimum mobile Internet access speeds. The new rules might focus on minimum average speeds.

TRAI also reports India’s mobile data usage  grew 58 percent to 451,185 TB in March 2016, year over years.

Mobile  Internet subscribers grew 16 percent, year over year, reaching 30 percent of the mobile subscriber base.

Mobile Mergers: Okay When Resulting Market Has 4 Suppliers

Pakistan mobile  operators Mobilink and Warid Telecom have completed their merger, strengthening Mobilink’s lead in the market, which will be reduced from five suppliers to four. Reductions of that sort have been relatively non-controversial.

Mergers that reduce the number of suppliers from four to three, on the other hand, generally have failed, in recent years.

The combined entity will serve about 50 million subscribers in the Asian nation and will provide 2G, 3G and LTE services across Pakistan.

source: Ali Shah

To gain regulatory approval for a merger between CK Hutchison Holdings 3 Italia with Vimpelcom's Wind, Iliad will be enabled to enter the Italian mobile market on a facilities-based basis.

The deal also creates a new number-one provider in the Italian mobile market (3 Italia).

The arrangement will have France's Iliad entering the Italian market, while CK Hutchison Holdings will be able to merge its 3 Italia with Vimpelcom's Wind, while still preserving a four-provider market structure, something that has proven mandatory in recent European Commission decisions on mobile market mergers.

Illiad will launch its facilities-based attack by selling a 15.1 percent stake Iliad holds in Telecom Italia, and by buying divested assets from Hutchison and Vimpelcom.

The deal notably involves the transfer of  2x35 MHz 3G/4G frequencies (2x5 MHz at 900 MHz, 2x10 MHz at 1800 MHz, 2x10 MHz at 2100 MHz and 2x10 MHz at 2600 MHz), to Iliad from Hutchison and Vimpelcom, for 450 million euros, with payment phased between 2017 and 2019.

Illiad also will acquire several thousand cell sites in densely populated areas offered by Wind/H3G or rented from third parties.

An undertaking either to bring into force a RAN-sharing agreement covering rural areas with Wind/H3G, or to acquire several thousands of macro sites in those areas from Wind/H3G or third parties. - A 2G, 3G and 4G roaming agreement on the merged network, for a period of five years renewable for one further five-year period at the initiative of Iliad.

The agreement, which involves the sale of frequencies and infrastructure assets to Iliad, is subject to European Commission approval as well as to the Commission's approval of the H3G transaction combining Wind with H3G, with a decision due by Sept. 8, 2016.

The total deal has been structured to maintain four Italian mobile telecoms operators, a provision considered necessary to allow Hutchison antitrust approval for a merger that otherwise might leave Telecom Italia  and Vodafone Italia as the only other mobile network competitors in Italy.

Last year, when plans to merge Wind and 3 Italia emerged, many observers believed the consolidation of the number-three and number-four operators would boost profit margins, allowing operators to start investing more heavily in their networks.

Italian mobile operator revenues from mobile services have fallen by 40 percent since 2011, according to GSMA, discouraging investment in Long Term Evolution 4G services.

But the EC regulatory authorities have held the line on mergers that reduce the number of competitors from four to three. In the United Kingdom, Denmark and Italy, proposed mergers that would reduce the number of leading providers in mobile markets from four to three have been denied.

The issue now is what happens to competition, retail prices and competition, as Iliad is known for its spirited low-price attacks.

Skype Meetings: Free Conferencing for Small Business, 3-User Long Term Limit

It always is difficult to sell what one’s competitors give to customers for free. Skype Meetings represents that sort of competition, at the low end of the business market, where a typical requirement might require conferencing involving three people.

Skype Meetings—offered free to small business--is a new online meetings tool that provides small businesses with real-time audio and HD video conferencing.

Anyone in the United States with a business email address and whose organization doesn’t already have Office 365 can sign up for free Skype Meetings at www.skype.com/meetings.

Once signed up, a user can set up meetings for up to 10 people for the first 60 days and up to three people thereafter.

Skype Meetings includes collaboration features like the ability to share screens and content during meetings. During a meeting, participants can instant message, share their screen or PowerPoint presentation or use the laser pointer and whiteboard features.

The meeting organizer also gets professional meeting controls such as the ability to mute the audience in order to be heard.

One Billion M2M Connections in China in 2020

China will have a billion machine-to-machine (M2M) connections in use by 2020, with the majority coming from the developing Low Power, Wide Area (LPWA) market, according to GSMA Intelligence and the China Academy of Information and Communications Technology (CAICT).

The report says China is now the world’s largest M2M market with approximately 100 million mobile M2M connections, increasing to 350 million by 2020.

However, an additional 730 million connections will be enabled by LPWA technology, taking the total figure to just over one billion. By 2025, it is expected that half of the world’s 28 billion connected devices will be suitable for connection by LPWA networks.

Also, the installed base of wireless Internet of Things (IoT) devices in industrial automation reached 14.3 million in 2015, according to Berg Insight.

The number of wireless IoT devices in automation networks will grow at a compound annual growth rate of 27.7 percent to reach 62.0 million by 2021, powered by a number of wireless networks, including Wi-Fi and Bluetooth, the most widespread technologies in factory automation.

Mobile networks more typically are used for remote monitoring and backhaul communication between plants, Berg Insight says. It is highly possible that a great percentage--perhaps a preponderant majority--of IoT connections actually will use Wi-Fi or Bluetooth connections, not LoRa or mobile connections, through 2021.

source: Ericsson

source: IoT Analytics

Identity Fraud Grows 52% in U.K.

Identity fraud is a growing issue for U.K. Wi-Fi users, Cifas data suggests. Identity fraud issues for users 30 and under rose 52 percent in 2015. 

Just under 24,000 (23,959) people aged 30 and under were victims of identity fraud, according to figures from the U.k. fraud prevention service. 

Cifas recorded 15,766 ID fraud victims in the under 30 bracket in 2014, and more than double the 11,000 victims in the same age bracket in 2010. 

Manchester and London witnessed the biggest increases in ID theft last year. 

IoT Installed Base More than 14 Million Now

source: Ericsson

The installed base of wireless Internet of Things (IoT) devices in industrial automation reached 14.3 million in 2015, according to Berg Insight.

The number of wireless IoT devices in automation networks will grow at a compound annual growth rate of 27.7 percent to reach 62.0 million by 2021, powered by a number of wireless networks, including Wi-Fi and Bluetooth, the most widespread technologies in factory automation.

Mobile networks more typically are used for remote monitoring and backhaul communication between plants, Berg Insight says. It is highly possible that a great percentage--perhaps a preponderant majority--of IoT connections actually will use Wi-Fi or Bluetooth connections, not LoRa or mobile connections, through 2021.

source: IoT Analytics