Thursday, December 17, 2020

AI in the Telecom Business

Very few connectivity service provider executives pay much actual attention to advanced technologies. They get paid to run the business in the here-and-now.


Artificial intelligence or machine learning have value for customer service platforms or network management, but are purchased and supported as features of infrastructure purchases, not discrete products, so concrete AI applications occur within the context of other business and network functions. 


But artificial intelligence is expected to gain usage in the 5G era and be commonplace in network design and operations by the time of 6G. Applied AI will be common in communications networks, in large part because edge computing will be required, and AI is viewed as necessary for wringing value out of huge raw data sets.


Some areas where AI likely will be incorporated include:

  • Network operations monitoring and management

  • Predictive maintenance

  • Fraud mitigation

  • Cybersecurity

  • Customer service and marketing virtual digital assistants

  • Intelligent CRM systems

  • CEM

  • Base station profitability

  • Preventive maintenance

  • Battery Capex optimization

  • Trouble price ticket prioritization


Reducing the need to transport these data sets to a central location requires intelligent processing at the edge, 5G Americas argues. “AI can be used to extract useful patterns and events out of a sea of raw data.”


Smart farming applications can spot dry patches or insect infestations while a video surveillance system can pinpoint areas with suspicious looking activity. 


Edge computing and processing are required for any number of real-time use cases, especially when huge amounts of raw sensor data are ingested, such as for visual recognition use cases used by autonomous or digital-assisted vehicle safety operations. 


source: Netscribes 

source: 5G Americas 


Beyond that, AI is expected to assist with real-time air interface design and optimization. In other words, the radio systems will use AI to “learn” traffic patterns and adjust the network to correspond. 


In the core of the network, functions and workloads would be dynamically scheduled based on current  connectivity needs, latency requirements and energy consumption targets.


Wednesday, December 16, 2020

IoT, E-Commerce Do Seem to Correlate with Higher U.S. Farm Yields, at Lower Cost

Virtually everyone believes that broadband--enabling access to e-commerce, better weather information and precision agriculture using internet of things sensors and analytics--will boost agricultural productivity. A new study by the Federal Communications Commission supports the thesis. 


Precision agriculture using internet of things sensors and analytics, as well as e-commerce enabled by broadband internet access might be responsible for higher U.S. farmer crop yields, researcher Katherine LoPiccalo finds. “Corn, cotton, hay, soybeans and wheat yields are all positively and significantly correlated with increased 25+/3+ broadband penetration rates,” LoPiccalo says. 


“A one-percent increase in the number of 10+/0.768+ connections per 1,000 households is associated with an approximately 6.5 percent decline in fertilizer expenses per operation and a 3.4 percent decrease in seed and plants expenses per operation,” she notes. 


An analysis of farm yields and broadband finds that a one-percent increase in the number of 25 Mbps/3 Mbps or better broadband connections per 1,000 households is associated with a 3.6 percent increase in corn yields, as measured in bushels per acre, the Federal Communications Commission’s Office of Economics and Analytics finds. 


It is not possible to conclusively prove whether e-commerce or IoT are responsible for the improvements. It seems logical enough that e-commerce leads to  loweri input or other supply costs, in part because farmers are able to comparison shop and therefore buy inputs at lower prices. 


As always, correlation is not necessarily causation, but LoPiccalo suggests some logical ways correlation might be causation, and “may influence farm outcomes.” In addition to e-commerce that might “impact farm profitability by directly lowering input or other supply costs,” 


An improved bargaining position might include the ability to negotiate with their traditional suppliers for better prices, as farmers are no longer locked into offered rates from the local farm store or co-operative,” she says. 


“A more salient mechanism derives from the use of Internet connectivity to extract real time, accurate data on crop yields, soil moisture levels, plant health, and equipment conditions,” a direct result of the use of internet of things sensors and analytics. 


5G, Wi-Fi 6 and Advanced Technology Myths and Realities

Every year I seemingly are caught by surpirse that the PTC annual conference is upon us. This year's edition will be a first--and hopefully a "last"--because of the Covid-19 travel restrictions we all seem to face. The platform is new. 
 
As some know, as a non-profit organization founded more than 40 years ago by academics, PTC continues to feature--unusually--content delivered by researchers. A new focus is to expand the range of knowledge transfer by including, on a regular basis--researchers from other sectors of the industry (consultants, think tanks, research firms). Here is one example. 


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Matt Bramson, Founder & Managing Partner, Cloud Strategy Solutions, USA (PANELIST)
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Benoît Felten, CEO & Founder, Diffraction Analysis, Hong Kong SAR China (PANELIST)
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Daniel Hays, Principal, Strategy&, USA (PANELIST)
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Mark Lutkowitz, Principal, FibeReality, LLC, USA (PANELIST)
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Gary Kim, Consultant, IP Carrier, USA (MODERATOR)


You can sign up, at a reduced rate, through December 2020. Register here
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EARLY BIRD ENDS 31 DECEMBER!

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Want to connect with attendees a little more? Consider exhibiting or hosting a networking lounge.

Join industry leaders from Facebook, Intel Corporation, Stanford University, Verizon, and many more Featured Participants for exhilarating sessions throughout the conference.

How will you participate in the Pacific Rim’s premier telecommunications event?


PTC€™21 FEATURED PARTICIPANTS

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Founder & Managing Partner
Cloud Strategy Solutions
Dan Caruso
DAN CARUSO
Co-Founder
Zayo Group
Eric Crabtree
ERIC CRABTREE
Chief Investment Officer
IFC
Raul Martynek
RAUL MARTYNEK
Chief Executive Officer
DataBank
Nick McKeown
NICK MCKEOWN
Professor of Electrical Engineering & Computer Science
Stanford University
Ahmed Mekky
AHMED MEKKY
Chairman & CEO
Benya Capital
Nicola Palmer
NICOLA PALMER
Chief Product Development Officer
Verizon Partner Solutions
Avner Papouchado
AVNER PAPOUCHADO
Chief Executive Officer
Serverfarm
Robert Pepper
ROBERT PEPPER
Head of Global Connectivity Policy and Planning
Facebook
Doug Recker
DOUG RECKER
CEO & Founder
EdgePresence
Gil Santaliz
GIL SANTALIZ
Founder & CEO
NJFX
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CAROL TATE
Associate General Counsel & Director of Ethics and Legal Compliance
Intel Corporation

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Tuesday, December 15, 2020

Is Google a Natural Monopoly?

Is Google’s crawler a natural monopoly? A natural monopoly that exists due to the high fixed or start-up costs of conducting a business in a specific industry. Think about electricity firms, natural gas or water and sewer service. So is Google "like" those other examples?

Those of you with long memories (or simply old enough to remember) will recall that telecommunications itself was once deemed to be a natural monopoly. These days, telecom is viewed as an oligopoly, with a few providers possible, but not a "natural monopoly."

That does not mean it is easy to compete with the leaders of the telecom business, just that it is difficult.

And while some argue high fixed costs create an insurmountable barrier to competitors, that same argument was made about telecom competition as well. To be sure, it has not proven easy to avoid an oligopoly in the mass market telecom business. But telecom has proven not be a "natural monopoly."

Some focus on the function of web crawling to make the analogy. Additionally, content creators have financial incentives to restrict the number of web crawlers indexing their content, says the Knuckleheads Club, which has been researching the economics of web content indexing. 

Some argue Google needs to be regulated as essential facility.  Some might argue that applying the essential facilities doctrine successfully will be difficult. 


The reason, some argue, is that Google is not an essential facility any more than Walmart is an essential facility.

Net-Zero Carbon at Costs Comparable to Present Spending?


This is the sort of thing a prudent economist or advocate looks for: ways to solve a pressing problem without sacrificing economic growth, firm profitability or consumer welfare. If you have ever modeled your own personal carbon footprint, you realize how difficult a task that is, and the sacrifices that--with present technology--must be made to reduce a footprint by just 30 percent. 

Long story made short, I found I could only hope to achieve a 30-percent carbon footprint reduction by completely avoiding use of an automobile or flying on airplanes. The former would significantly affect daily life, as I live out in the American West, with lowish density and longish distances.

The latter would severely limit my business functions. 

What we need are ways to reduce carbon output without crashing the economy, whole industries and individual firms. 

We also cannot tell people to be cold in the winder, hot in the summer and to avoid many conveniences of modern life. Sure, there are spiritual values to be reaped by reducing much of our consumption. But that has to be voluntary: cheerfully undertaken and not experienced as an imposition.

This is helpful in all those respects, it seems. 

Tier-One Telco Non-Core Revenue Averages 20%

Unless a tier-one telco serving consumers and businesses believes it can grow its business on the basis of connectivity services alone, new services and products beyond core communications must be found. 


GSMA Intelligence suggests services beyond the communications core account for between 10 percent and 40 percent of total retail service provider revenues, and just over 20 percent, on average, for many tier-one providers. That is up from 17 percent in 2017, GSMA Intelligence says. 

source: GSMA Intelligence

What Declining Industry Can Afford to Alienate Half its Customers?

Some people believe the new trend of major U.S. newspapers declining to make endorsements in presidential races is an abdication of their “p...