Sunday, January 6, 2008
Unbundling Price Impact Unclear
The American Cable Association, which represents 1100 small, independent cable operators, has called for unbundling of cable channels, though the large cable operators and programmers oppose such rules. On the face of it, unbundling seems to offer an antidote to higher retail prices.
The thinking is that allowing users to pay just for what they want will drive lower prices. Oddly enough, it probably wouldn't. Once consumers start toting up the costs of discrete channels, and assuming most people have seven favorites, costs might be higher than what they are paying to receive lots of channels they don't watch.
Advertising is the reason. When cable channels are carried on the most-popular "expanded basic" tiers, they have a larger number of eyeballs to sell advertising against. Take away that access and advertising becomes a much-smaller revenue possibility, which then means programmers will raise their rates for carriage. So prices go up.
To be sure, smaller video providers do have to pay higher wholesale rates to get program access, but programmers counter that volume discounts account for the higher wholesale costs.
Smaller operators also object to "tying" policies that require carriage of lesser-viewed channels to get access to the most-popular, "must have" channels. The policy obviously is helpful to programmers, as they gain shelf space for niche channels.
Supporters of tying policies say program diversity clearly will suffer if tying policies aren't allowed. There are elements of truth to that claim. Lesser-viewed channels might be forced to on-demand distribution, which will reduce potential revenues, again compelling those channels to raise prices.
Distributors don't like tying policies since scarce shelf space gets eaten up by channels with low viewership.
Sometimes the obvious solutions actually produce results counter to what people think.
Gary Kim has been a digital infra analyst and journalist for more than 30 years, covering the business impact of technology, pre- and post-internet. He sees a similar evolution coming with AI. General-purpose technologies do not come along very often, but when they do, they change life, economies and industries.
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