Friday, January 9, 2009

Boucher Replaces Markey: Expect Changes

Congressman Edward Markey, a key proponent of net neutrality, will leave his position on the committee that deals with telecommunications regulation to chair the House Energy and Commerce Subcommittee on Energy and the Environment. He will be replaced by Congressman Rick Boucher, who takes on the chairmanship of the Communications, Technology and the Internet Subcommittee of the House Energy and Commerce Committee.

It is worth noting when key communications regulators change seats, since regulators are a primary force in the creation of permissible business models and the potential profitability of communications business models. If his past actions are any indication, "net neutrality" is going to get a lot less attention, rural broadband much more.

Boucher is likely to support plans to tie universal service support to broadband, not voice. That could have positive investment implications for rural telcos and even for some tier one providers. Qwest, for example, has large rural service areas where it might benefit from increased support for rural broadband.

"The indication right now is that the Obama administration will be thoughtful," says Qwest CEO Ed Mueller. So support programs for rural broadband could change. Qwest favors a bidding process for any new government support for building rural broadband facilities, a process it believes it can win. "But we think we'd get a decent return on that," Mueller says.

The other structural change that would help Qwest is if USF funds were awarded on a community-by-community basis, not on a statewide basis. The reason there is that Qwest operates in many states where it serves both urban communities and lots of smaller rural communities. Obviously, that formula restricts Qwest from getting USF support to serve a large number of rural communties .

"More broadband support would be good for Qwest," says Mueller. "We just want to bid on it."

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