Saturday, January 2, 2021

Even as a "Platform," Telcos Would Not Escape Near Zero Pricing

The reality of very low and declining per-unit prices is well attested in the connectivity business. Many suggest a way out of the conundrum is for at least some connectivity providers to transform themselves as platforms. 


Ignore for the moment whether this is generally possible, and to what extent. 


Life as a platform would ultimately be based on very low per-unit prices. In fact, as many platforms feature zero marginal cost, they also tend towards near zero pricing


Virtually all platforms feature lower prices per unit than rival pipe businesses, for a number of reasons. Typically making extensive use of internet and computing resources to radically lower transaction and information discovery costs, etailing platforms inevitably push cost out of retail transactions. Platforms reduce friction. 


In other cases, platforms are able to mobilize and put into commercial use assets that otherwise lie fallow. Uber provides a good example. Personally-owned vehicles tend to sit parked and unused 95 percent of the time. Uber allows those otherwise idle assets to be put to commercial use. 


And though firms often are urged to become platforms, few actually can do so, and not for reasons of technology deployment, skill or type of product. Successful platforms are relatively rare because they require scale, and few businesses can afford to invest to scale. 


Most firms in the connectivity business will not be able to transform as platforms, leaving only other possible options. If one believes that prices for telecom products are destined to keep declining, or that more for the same price is the trend, then there are a couple of logical ways to “solve” such problems. 


Firms might try to gain scale to lower unit costs, change the cost model in other ways to enhance profitability, exit the business or change the game being played. Moving “up the stack,” across the ecosystem or into new or adjacent roles within the value chain can “change the game.” That is the strategy behind Comcast and AT&T moving into the content ownership business, or moves by other tier-one service providers into new lines of business outside the connectivity core. 


That is one way to attempt to escape the trap of marginal cost pricing, which might be the connectivity industry’s existential problem


But it also is reasonable to assume that even a successful shift to a platform model will be based on near zero marginal cost, and near zero pricing. The reason is simply that most platforms also feature near zero pricing.

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