Friday, March 12, 2021

The FTTH Sustainability Issue, as AT&T Faces It

This slide from AT&T’s analyst and investor day presentation March 12, 2021 illustrates the practical issues new fiber-to-home investments present. Average revenue per customer is about $58 a month. 


Take rates are about 34 percent. In other words, where FTTH is available, about a third of customers buy it. In many competitive markets, that is about as low market share can be and still provide any financial return at all. 


source: AT&T 


If we assume the existing locations are the most favorable, in terms of potential return, we might also assume that the business case could well be worse as less-desirable areas are added. That suggests a rather controlled expansion of FTTH by AT&T, as it must expect to build a network that strands two thirds of the access network investment.


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