Anthropic Expects 1 GW of Compute Power Online in 2026

Anthropic has announced a multibillion-dollar partnership with Google giving Anthropic access to one million Google Tensor Processing Units and more than one gigawatt of compute power by 2026.

It might not be unrealistic to expect the other leading model suppliers to keep pace, as the evolution of model generations has seemed to require an order of magnitude increase in power capability with each succeeding generation of models.

Facility	Organization	Power Capacity	GPU Count
xAI Colossus	xAI	~100-150 MW	200,000 H100s
Meta AI Research Cluster	Meta	~50-100 MW	100,000+ GPUs
Microsoft Azure AI	Microsoft	~200-300 MW	Distributed
Google TPU Clusters	Google	~150-250 MW	Millions of TPUs

AWS CEO Projections for Future Training
Generation	Power Requirement Per Model	Timeline
Current (Gen2-3)	50-200 MW	2023-2025
Next Gen (Gen3-4)	1-5 GW	2026-2028
Gen5+	5-10+ GW	2029+

Planned/Under Construction Mega Data Centers
Project	Organization	Total Power Capacity	Investment	Timeline
Stargate (Total)	OpenAI/Oracle/SoftBank	10 GW	$500B	2025-2029
Stargate Abilene	OpenAI/Oracle	1-2 GW	$10B+	2025-2026
Stargate Phase 2	OpenAI/Oracle	4.5 GW	$300B+	2026-2028
Stargate Phase 3	OpenAI/SoftBank	1.5 GW	$50B+	2026-2027
UAE Stargate	G42/OpenAI	5 GW	TBD	2026+
Meta Louisiana	Meta	2-4 GW	$10B+	2026-2028
Microsoft Wisconsin	Microsoft	3-5 GW	$15B+	2026-2029
CoreWeave Pennsylvania	CoreWeave	0.5-1 GW	$6B	2025-2027

Compute Capability of Current LLM Models
Model	Organization	Release Date	Training Compute (FLOPs)	Estimated Cost
GPT-4	OpenAI	March 2023	~2×10²⁵	~$100M
Gemini Ultra	Google	Dec 2023	~10²⁵	~$100M
Claude 4 (Opus/Sonnet)	Anthropic	May 2025	~10²⁵	~$100M
GPT-4o	OpenAI	2024	~10²⁵	~$100M+
GPT-4.5	OpenAI	2025	~10²⁵ - 10²⁶	~$100M+
Gemini 2.5 Pro	Google	March 2025	~10²⁵ - 10²⁶	~$100M+
Grok 3	xAI	Feb 2025	10²⁶	~$500M-$1B
Grok 4	xAI	July 2025	~10²⁶ - 10²⁷	~$1B
Llama 3	Meta	2024	~10²⁵	~$100M

At least up to this point, each generation requires approximately 10 times more compute than the previous generation to achieve significant capability improvements.

Expected Compute for Coming Models
Model	Organization	Expected Release	Training Compute (FLOPs)	Estimated Cost
GPT-5	OpenAI	Late 2025-2026	10²⁶ - 10²⁷	$1B+
Claude Next	Anthropic	2026	~10²⁵ - 10²⁶	$1B+
Gemini 3.0	Google	2026	10²⁶ - 10²⁷	$1B+
Llama 4	Meta	2025-2026	10²⁶	$500M-$1B