The "AOL" Approach to Content Generation

Twenty years ago, large corporations had to deal with a bunch of clearly identified specialized journalists from the mainstream media. Today, a large chunk of the news cycle is controlled by many diverse opinion shapers.

The "AOL" approach to producing content is one example of how much content and news production has changed, for the worse, many would argue. For better or worse, content producers and journalists, as well as those who try to get attention in the media, might as well know what is happening.

The Communication Paradox | Monday Note

Microsoft on Tablets

“The tablet takes cutting-edge PC technology and makes it available whenever you want it…It’s a PC that is virtually without limits — and within five years I predict it will be the most popular form of PC sold in America.”

--Bill Gates in 2001

"...not sure whether tablets "would remain with us or not."

--Craig Mundie, Microsoft Research, 2011

One suspects the latest statements are made only because Microsoft needs more time to ready its own approach and offering.

Microsoft: Tablets are a passing fadPublish Post

1/2 of Twitter Users Follow 2 or More People

Perhaps the first thing that strikes you, looking at this graph, is its familiarity. As it turns out, when using Twitter, a relatively small number of users actually "follow" many other people. In fact, just about half of Twitter users follow two or more people.  About 10 percent of Twitter users follow 50 people or more, and an infinitesimal number follow more than 500 people.

That's basically the flip side of a graph you might also be familiar with, the number of followers a Twitter user has. As you would expect, it's the same graph: a very small number of Twitter entities get a disproportionately high number of followers.

Both of those graphs would be expected in a Pareto distribution, sometimes popularly known as the "80/20" rule.

Amazon.com Considering Mobile Payments Service

Amazon.com is considering the introduction of a service that would let consumers pay for goods in brick-and-mortar stores using their mobile phones, according to Bloomberg.

The company’s “Amazon Payments” unit is said to be exploring whether to start a service based on near field communications.

Amazon.com Said to Be Considering Mobile-Payment Service for Smartphones – Bloomberg

Mobile Broadband to Produce Majority of Subscriber Growth to 2014

The number of mobile broadband subscribers passed the number of fixed broadband subscribers, globally, in 2010, says Infonetics Research. A goodly part of the growth now is coming from smart phones, tablets and other devices, leading Infonetics to forecast that 1.5 billion connected devices will be in use by 2014.

As a consequence, fixed broadband will show slower growth as mobile broadband becomes the broadband of choice, on a global basis. That doesn't mean fixed line services will be abandoned, but simply that mobility is a "personal" service, used by people and sensors, where fixed line service is generally to a location. Since there are more people and sensors than homes or offices or factories, the unit growth will tend, over time, to be for mobile devices and sensors.

read more here

SK Telecom Runs Out of Domestic Growth Opportunities

South Korea's SK Telecom Co. is considering a bid for movie-rental chain Blockbuster Inc., which filed for bankruptcy court protection last year, the Wall Street Journal reports. Whether a bid emerges, and whether it is the best use for SK Telecom's cash, is probably debatable, some might think.

But the possible move does indicate a problem that faces many fixed-line and mobile service providers, namely that opportunities for domestic growth are very challenging. To stay within their historic industry areas of competence, service providers are being forced to look to international, out of region markets, or, as this possible idea suggests, businesses outside the original core competency.

SK Telecom Considers Bid for Blockbuster - WSJ.com:

Use of Mobile Apps Grows 3% Last Quarter

In February 2011, 69 percent of U.S. mobile subscribers used text messaging on their mobile device. Browsers were used by 38 percent of subscribers (up 3.1 percentage points from the prior quarter), while downloaded applications were used by 36.6 percent of the mobile audience (up 3.2 percentage points from the previous quarter).

Accessing of social networking sites or blogs increased 3.3 percentage points, representing 27 percent of mobile subscribers. Playing games represented 25 percent of the mobile audience, while listening to music represented 17.5 percent.

Mobile Content Usage 3 Month Avg. Ending Feb. 2011 vs. 3 Month Avg. Ending Nov. 2010 Total U.S. Mobile Subscribers Ages 13+ Source: comScore MobiLens
	Share (%) of Mobile Subscribers
	Nov-10	Feb-11	Point Change
Total Mobile Subscribers	100.0%	100.0%	N/A
Sent text message to another phone	67.1%	68.8%	1.7
Used browser	35.3%	38.4%	3.1
Used downloaded apps	33.4%	36.6%	3.2
Accessed social networking site or blog	23.5%	26.8%	3.3
Played Games	22.6%	24.6%	2.0
Listened to music on mobile phone	15.0%	17.5%	2.5

comScore Reports February 2011 U.S. Mobile Subscriber Market Share

It's April Fools Day, So Techsters Will Play Jokes on People, Including Google

Here are some other "pranks" of the day from Googlers:
http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2011/04/gmail-is-moving-fingers-are-fitter.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+blogspot%2FMKuf+%28Official+Google+Blog%29

85% of Smartphone Users Access Mobile Web

There aren't yet any apps, aside from specific "mobile apps" or "social apps," that people access more on a smartphone than on a PC, a survey by Yankee Group has found. But researchers also find that use of smartphones to access web apps of all sorts is growing, and that most popular apps people like to use on their PCs also get used from their smartphones, though at a lower frequency, so far.

GPS and navigation apps likely are one clear exception, likely used virtually exclusively in a mobile context.

Most likely, we will relatively soon find there are some apps that are used primarily from a smartphone or other mobile device, compared to a PC. Mobile payment apps come to mind.

 

39% of Small Businesses Will Be Buying Cloud Services Within 3 Years

About 39 percent of small and medium-sized businesses recently surveyed by Edge Strategies on behalf of Microsoft say they expect to be using, and paying for, cloud-based services within three years.

Accounting and payroll apps, project management, data storage and customer relationship management are among the top categories of apps respondents expect they will be sourcing from a cloud services provider.

http://www.microsoft.com/Presspass/presskits/commsector/docs/SMBStudy_032011.pdf

Where Will 4G Compete with DSL?

You can get an argument about whether fourth-generation mobile broadband services work well enough to be a viable substitute for a fixed-line connection, and what user requirements are best suited for such potential substitution.

Wireless might or might not work so well for multi-person households, for example, but might be quite adequate for a single-person household, especially when a user does not watch much online video.

Some service providers also will have incentives to try and sell wireless substitutes for fixed-line service anywhere those service providers do not have fixed-network assets.

Long Term Evolution "provides a real opportunity for the first time to give a fixed customer in a home, broadband service — wireless — but broadband service,” says Dick Lynch, Verizon CTO.

read more here

Eighty Percent of Consumer Purchases will be Influenced by Social and Mobile Marketing

By 2015, digital strategies, such as social and mobile marketing, will influence at least 80 percent of consumers' discretionary spending,' said Adam Sarner, research director at Gartner. "Marketers still need to shift their traditional campaign management strategy around executing campaigns to a customer and move toward a digital marketing, two-way engagement approach."

Digital agency Morris argues that the shift away from mass marketing thinking into "laser-focused relationship creation" is enabled by all manner of technology that allows products to be customized and personalized, by the end user directly if not at the manufacturing stage.

Eighty Percent of Consumer Purchases will be Influenced by Social and Mobile Marketing

What AT&T's Potential Purchase of T-Mobile USA Doesn't Change

People love to speculate about what the AT&T purchase of T-Mobile USA means, or could mean. Right now, all such talk is speculation, as the deal cannot clear Federal Communiations Commission and Department of Justice reviews for roughly a year. People eagerly describe the deal as "transformative" or "industry-altering."

So here's a bit of a contrarian view: it will change much less than most people now think. AT&T and Verizon have been the two industry-leading providers since 1995 or so, and each firm has only become more dominant since then. The AT&T acquisition will make AT&T bigger, but nobody can say yet how much bigger, as divestitures will undoubtedly be required to gain regulatory blessing.

Verizon might bulk up a bit more as well, though Verizon's interest in doing so remains unclear. Many will assume the deal, if approved, will reduce the number of leading national wireless providers from four to three. Whether that is stable over the long term is open to question.

Publish Post

Nor is it entirely clear whether consumer benefits, ranging from innovation to prices, would necessarily diminish, in a three-provider or even two-provider environment. The reason is that most innovation now occurs on the handset and application fronts. Nor can we accurately predict what will happen as cable operators and other existing and potential providers ramp up their own services. And though hoped-for spectrum auctions will likely find AT&T and Verizon in leading roles, spectrum auctions in the past have proven capable of shaking up the existing industry in serious ways.

There could well be far less impact, one way or the other, in the immediate wake of a successful AT&T acquisition of T-Mobile USA. In part, that is because the merger approval conditions undoubtedly will prevent AT&T moving in ways that are clearly threatening to continued innovation and competition.

What AT&T's Potential Purchase of T-Mobile USA Doesn't Change

SIP Trunking Service Revenue Grows 143% in 2010

The VoIP services market reached $49.8 billion in 2010, compared to $34.8 billion in 2008. While the residential services segment remains the largest of the market at 69 percent of total revenue, business VoIP services are growing at faster rates.

SIP trunking had a breakout year with 143 percent revenue growth in 2010,” notes Diane Myers, directing analyst for VoIP and IMS at Infonetics Research.

Infonetics Research forecasts the combined business and residential and small office/home office VoIP services market to grow to $74.5 billion in 2015.

Managed IP PBX business VoIP service revenue is expected to more than double from 2010 to 2015.

The fastest growing segments of the VoIP services market are SIP trunking and hosted UC telephony. Based on healthy demand for cloud-based services, the number of seats for IP Centrex and hosted UC services grew 20 percent in 2010, says Infonetics.

Infonetics Research - VoIP services market nears $50 billion mark; breakout year for SIP trunking

Kansas City Might Not be Last to Get 1-Gbps Fiber to Home from Google

Google has suggested it might fund more than one test site. From the Google blog:


We’ve heard from some communities that they’re disappointed not to have been selected for our initial build. So just to reiterate what I've said many times in interviews: we're so thrilled by the interest we've generated—today is the start, not the end the project. And over the coming months, we'll be talking to other interested cities about the possibility of us bringing ultra high-speed broadband to their communities.

Posted by Milo Medin, Vice President, Access Services