Thursday, April 21, 2011

iPhones Lead, iPods Decline, iPads Ramp

Apple sold 18.65 million iPhones in its latest quarter, representing 113 percent unit growth over the year-ago quarter. Apple also sold 9.02 million iPods during the quarter, representing a 17 percent unit decline from the year-ago quarter. The Company also sold 4.69 million iPads during the quarter.

Of note: half the company's revenue now comes from sales of iPhones.

VoIP Infrastructure Market "Stabilizing," Dell'Oro Says

RIAA Switches Stance on FM Tuner Requirement for Phones

The Recording Industry Association of America seems to have switched its position on a proposed requirement to mandate FM radio tuners on mobile devices, a move that would have added manufacturing cost to every mobile device.

RIAA now is supporting Representative Darrell Issa's (R-CA) resolution asking Congress to 'oppose any mandate for the inclusion of terrestrial broadcast radio tuners in the manufacture or sale of mobile devices, which would stifle innovation, competition, and consumer choice.'

The resolution is co-sponsored by Anna Eshoo (D-CA) and would lessen chances the requirement would take effect.

Some observers might have noted that although the rule wouldn't have added much end user value, given the relatively light use of FM radio listening that typically occurs when a radio is convenient, in any case.

The average person spends between about two and a half to three hours or more each day with broadcast radio, some will note. See http://www.radioflag.com/social. The issue, from a handset supplier's perspective, is whether over-the-air FM tuner decisions should be mandated or voluntary.

Fixed-Mobile Convergence: 33% Growth in 2010

When is 33 percent annual growth a disappointment? When you thought it would be higher. Frost & Sullivan estimates that in 2010, the overall worldwide enterprise fixed-mobile convergence market reached 3.33 million FMC units shipped, growth of 32.7 percent year-over-year.

While this growth is significant, it’s lower than what Frost & Sullivan had anticipated, the company says Analysts suspect that emerging enterprise mobility solutions such as collaborative applications, team spaces, social tools and enterprise tablets with built-in mobility software clients are competing for the attention of both IT and technology vendors. Frost analysts suspect that diverted attention from FMC.

Frost defines a basic FMC solution as one that delivers first-level PBX-to-mobile extension, including such capabilities as single-number reach, simultaneous ring, single voicemail, and call-control features. An advanced FMC solution requires a mobile client to deliver call control and PBX features to the mobile device, as well as more advanced capabilities such as mobile and corporate IM/presence, unified messaging, conferencing, and dual-mode voice call handoff (manual or automatic) between networks.

In some ways, the slower than anticipated growth is not new. Most forms of enterprise IP telephony have been adopted more slowly than many of us had predicted.

Will Cloud Computing Change Volume Discounts?

A U.K. cloud computing service provider has become the first supplier to deal with the entire U.K. government as a single customer. Huddle said it has developed common terms and conditions and a pricing model for all of its business with government.

That implies a level of volume discounts and standardization of delivery that would have been difficult for suppliers in the past, given the greater labor intensity of legacy implementation methods. Volume discounts are standard in just about any business. What is new, in the software business, is the potential scale of the buyer base that might be aggregated for purposes of pricing discounts.

Wednesday, April 20, 2011

Apple Earns Half its Revenue from iPhones

Apple now earns half its revenue from selling iPhones. Half. listen to the quarterly earnings call here.

That's why "Apple" isn't "Apple Computer" anymore.

Why is LTE Delayed in Europe?

Whereas LTE and LTE Advanced will surely be on the network upgrade paths for most operators, there are impediments to rapid and widespread switching in Europe.

Unavailability of new spectrum is the major temporary barrier, though there are other impediments as well. Spectrum caps will fragment bands and could prevent the full spectral-efficiency benefits that can be derived from large LTE channel widths of 20MHz or more.

HSPA-based technologies are continuously being improved to include many of the same capabilities that are in LTE and spectrum refaming in the 900 MHz band will be mainly with HSPA.

Whereas the U.S. auctioned off its 700MHz digital dividend spectrum- which became available with the switch from analogue to digital TV- in early 2008, Europeans have mostly yet to decide how to allocate their 800MHz digital dividend spectrum.

Foursquare Wants to Move from Check-Ins To Recommendations

Foursquare co-founder Dennis Crowley says the future of Foursquare, the location based service is "what its users are going to do, not what they are doing."

Right now Foursquare essentially tracks the realtime movements of its more than eight million users.

In the future, Foursquare wants to make use of the loads of data it’s collected on these realtime movements (600 million check-ins) to help users plan what they should do next.

Mobile Video Revenue: Close to $25 Billion by 2014

Analysts at the Yankee Group estimate mobile video revenues will approach $25 billion globally by about 2014.

That forecast assumes significant mobile user take rates for various types of for-fee video, both subscription and single purchase.

AT&T Mobile Revenue Grows: It Has To

AT&T wireless data revenues, driven by messaging, Internet access, access to applications and related services, increased nearly $1 billion, or 23.9 percent, in the first quarter of 2011.

AT&T had its "best-ever first-quarter increase in total wireless subscribers," up two million to reach 97.5 million subscribers in service, with gains in every category, AT&T says.

AT&T also reported best-ever first-quarter smartphone sales of more than 5.5 million.

Those sorts of results ultimately will be important for many global mobile operators, given the gradual decline of voice revenues, and the importance of the voice revenue stream to total revenues, as this Yankee Group graphic indicates.

read more here

Mobile Money Could Be 5% of Africa Mobile Operator Revenue in 2015

As of September 2010, at least 19 countries in sub-Saharan Africa and North Africa had "mobile money" service available, according to Pyramid Research, which forecasts that by the year 2015, revenue generated from mobile money services could represent around five percent of total operator revenue on the continent. 

read more here

FCC Will Slam U.S. Broadband Again

The Federal Communications Commission is expected to report soon that broadband providers are not deploying services in a reasonable and timely way to all Americans. That wouldn't be surprising: the FCC said so in 2010, and it is hard to see what could have changed in just a year.

That predictably will be irritating to most service providers, who have been steadily upgrading broadband facilities almost across the board, using 4G wireless, DOCSIS upgrades and more fiber deployments at a steady clip over the last year.

Comcast, the largest provider of cable internet in the country, just announced that is provides 40 million residential homes the ability to buy 105 Mbps service. See http://www.comcast.com/About/PressRelease/PressReleaseDetail.ashx?PRID=1067.

Verizon and lots of other cable companies also have been selling 50 Mbps service for a couple of years, at least. The issue is not "availability" in a growing number of cases, but "purchasing." Some observers might argue that the prices charged for either 50 Mbps or 100 Mbps service are "too high." But that is a different matter than claiming such access is not available.

Lots of people make rational choices to buy fixed-line service at lower speeds, say 10 Mbps to 20 Mbps, as a better value-price proposition.

Also, U.S. subscribers have access to multiple national and regional wireless services running at fourth-generation speeds. Some observers likewise will object that these wireless offerings also are "too slow." But some observers are going to see a growing disconnect between what the FCC claims is the case, and what generally-available offers suggest.

Loopt introduces location-based Q&A

Loopt, a provider of location-based services, today announced "Qs," a new feature that allows users to answer questions and see other user’s responses in any physical business location. People might want to answer questions such as "where is the best happy hour special right now?"

Most people, perhaps as few as one percent, actually create the content displayed by location-based services such as Loopt. The company hopes simple "question and answer" formats will encourage more people to contribute.

The company plans on releasing the new feature first in San Francisco and then roll out from city to city.

2% of U.S. Employess Work From Home, 20 Million to 30 Million Telecommute Some of the Time

With gas prices breaking $4 a gallon in some markets, $5 in a few, it is inevitable there will be a new wave of thinking about the benefits of telecommuting or telework. About two percent  of the U.S. employee workforce (2.8 million people, not including the self employed or unpaid volunteers) work from home, according to the American Community Survey.

The Telework Research Network also estimates that 20 to 30 million employees currently work from home at least one day a week. About 15 to 20 million employees must travel at least part of the time for work. See this.

There also are 10 to 15 million home-based businesses and some three million full time home-based businesses.

Europe Still Thinks Market Can Handle "Net Neutraltiy" Issues

Oddly enough, some would note, the European Community continues to believe that market forces and competition will protect user experience better than new regulations, a stance at odds with the Federal Communications Commission.

Of course, it always is difficult to compare regulatory environments across national boundaries, as the concrete circumstances in each country can vary quite a lot. The EC generally features strong wholesale requirements compared to the U.S. market, for example, while the U.S. unusually features robust competition to dominant telcos from cable operators.

Generally speaking, robust wholesale arguably is the better approach, under circumstances where alternative facilities-based networks are not likely to develop.

Is Private Equity "Good" for the Housing Market?

Even many who support allowing market forces to work might question whether private equity involvement in the U.S. housing market “has bee...