The iPad Is Cannibalizing Macs, PCs, Smart Phones

Apple CEO Tim Cook says Apple is seeing iPad sales cannibalize Mac sales to some degree. Of course, he also argues tablets are cannibalizing PC sales, which most people intuitively might guess is happening. To the extent that consumers have to choose between spending money on a new smart phone or a tablet, one would guess there is some shift of spending towards tablets as well.

It isn't that the tablet displaces a smart phone in terms of function, but only that tablets are the new "hot" consumer gadget, compared to smart phones.

“Yes, we’re seeing cannibalization," Cook says. "Some people are electing to buy an iPad rather than a Mac."

"However, I think a larger percentage are choosing iPad over a Windows-based PC," he says.

iPad Is Eating Mac Sales

Bitcoin Value Massively Deflates

Any currency is vulnerable to changes in supply or demand. Also, like any other commodity, if a bubble erupts, inflating value in a basically irrational way, a bursting bubble always is possible. And that seems to have happened to Bitcoin, the world's first peer-to-peer digital currency, which has "suffered" from massive speculation.

Bitcoin value fell below $3 in mid-October 2011, a 90 percent fall since the currency hit its peak in early June 2011.

Supporters argue that Bitcoin has fundamental advantages over conventional currencies. The system is designed to transfer funds without a central authority, freeing Bitcoin users from bank fees and government regulations. The Bitcoin protocol offers robust anonymity, and the protocol guarantees that there will never be more than 21 million Bitcoins in existence, which supporters have argued would give the currency a stable value.

Unfortunately, the currency's value hasn't proven stable in practice. Since few retailers actually accept Bitcoins, the currency's value has fluctuated primarily as a bubble-driven commodity.

Bitcoin implodes, falls more than 90 percent

Spotify Gets Traction, Mobile a Big Factor?

Spotify, the music streaming service, seems to be getting traction, though it only launched in the U.S. market in July 2011. 


It still trails the computer-based online audiences of other music services like iTunes and Pandora by a sizeable margin. If it is to catch up with these other services, it will likely be due in large part to the company’s social strategy, which leverages Facebook for social music sharing.


There are some indications streaming music services are  getting traction as specifically mobile apps, as well. If Spotify users behave as Pandora users do, they are using the service on their mobile devices.

Spotify Makes a Splash among U.S. Early Adopters

Half of Web Sales Will Use Mobile, Social Apps by 2015

By 2015, companies will generate 50 percent of Web sales from their social presence and mobile applications, according to Gartner.

All of that points up the many reasons mobile ecosystem participants are ramping up mobile commerce, mobile advertising, mobile payments and mobile wallet initiatives.

In many instances, the difference between a "Web" sale and a retail sale will blur, as well, many would argue. In other cases, a retail sale will be prompted or driven by mobile promotions as well, use a mobile loyalty or payment mechanism.

Vendors in the e-commerce market will begin to offer new context-aware, mobile-based application capabilities that can be accessed either from a browser or installed as an application on a phone.

"E-commerce organizations will need to scale up their operations to handle the increased visitation loads resulting from customers not having to wait until they are in front of a PC to obtain answers to questions or place orders," said Gene Alvarez, research vice president at Gartner. "In time, e-commerce vendors will begin to offer context-aware mobile-shopping solutions as part of their overall Web sales offerings."

50 Percent of Web Sales from Social Presence, Mobile Apps

Android 4.0 Will Unify Tablet, Smart Phone

The new Android 4.0, aside from a striking new visual feel, will be the first version that encompasses both tablets and smart phones.

To meet the needs of users with tiered or metered data plans, Android 4.0 adds new controls for managing network data usage. In the Settings app, colorful charts show the total data usage on each network type (mobile or Wi-Fi), as well as amount of data used by each running application.

Google says Android 4.0 makes common actions more visible and lets users navigate with simple, intuitive gestures. Refined animations and feedback throughout the system make interactions engaging and interesting, Google says. An entirely new typeface optimized for high-resolution screens improves readability and brings a polished, modern feel to the user interface.

Virtual buttons in the System Bar let users navigate instantly to Back, Home, and Recent Apps. The System Bar and virtual buttons are present across all apps, but can be dimmed by applications for full-screen viewing. Users can access each application's contextual options in the Action Bar, displayed at the top (and sometimes also at the bottom) of the screen.

Multitasking is a key strength of Android and it's made even easier and more visual on Android 4.0. The Recent Apps button lets users jump instantly from one task to another using the list in the System Bar.

Android 4.0 Platform Highlights

Bearish View of The Smart Phone Business

Here's a bearish view about the smart phone business. Microsoft and Apple are extracting royalty payments from Google Android suppliers, squeezing their margins.

Apple missed targets for iPhone sales and sales of Research In Motion’s BlackBerry have "collapsed," not to mention the recent multi-day global outage.

Analysts may argue that the rise of products like powerful tablets have hurt smart phone sales. Some of us think that is partly true. Tablet sales have grown much faster than did sales of Apple iPhones or iPods.

So attention now has been diverted to tablets, to some extent. But Mary Meeker, Kleiner Perkins Caufield Byers partner doesn't appear to share the pessimism.

But lower-cost smart phones now are about to pour onto the market, and the high penetration of mobiles means there still is a huge replacement market.

The Smartphone Business Loses Its Luster

New Facebook Features Get Mixed Reviews from Teens

Teens have mixed reviews about the recent changes on Facebook, according to a survey by GrownUpThinking.

Overwhelmingly, teens are openly and seriously considering spending less time on Facebook as a direct result of the recent changes. Only four percent of teens plan to spend more time on Facebook. According to the  research, 47 percent will maintain the same level of usage, electing to “put up with the annoyances” in order to access the features that made the platform valuable to them in the first place: visiting friend pages, commenting on walls and engaging in chats.

The survey of 2,000 (14-17 year old) teens suggests many find the changes “confusing, annoying, disappointing and useless,” (among comments made repeatedly in our discussion forums).

Teens mention Facebook’s biggest strength is its simplicity and ease of use. Only 19 percent of teens felt that the interface was easier to navigate, with 45 percent saying the page feels cluttered by all of the new features.

Social media fatigue may become a bigger problem, with an onslaught of updates streaming through the newly-added ticker, causing 35 percent of teens to feel “uncomfortable” with the new level of sharing.

But “Timeline” gets a big thumbs up. Timeline received the most praise from teens in our study (27 percent said it was their favorite above all Facebook features). Securing a position on a teen’s Timeline will have meant that your brand achieved a defining connection in the life of a teen. In contrast, apps that are currently auto-posting their way on to Timelines of unsuspecting teens will need to quickly adapt in order to maintain long-term relevance and placement.

Since most teens have between 100 and 500 friends, the ticker scrolls too-fast to provide meaningful updates. The ticker is seen as a distraction, over-communicating their activities without providing any real value. Only 17 percent see any value in viewing friend activity this way, with 31 percent of teens trying to ignore its very existence on the page. They worry that a ticker provides information that “is not theirs to see” in the first place, with the word “stalker” being mentioned on several occasions.

Teens have mixed reviews about the recent changes on Facebook, according to a survey by GrownUpThinking.

Overwhelmingly, teens are openly and seriously considering spending less time on Facebook as a direct result of the recent changes. Only four percent of teens plan to spend more time on Facebook. According to the  research, 47 percent will maintain the same level of usage, electing to “put up with the annoyances” in order to access the features that made the platform valuable to them in the first place: visiting friend pages, commenting on walls and engaging in chats.

The survey of 2,000 (14-17 year old) teens suggests many find the changes “confusing, annoying, disappointing and useless,” (among comments made repeatedly in our discussion forums).

Teens mention Facebook’s biggest strength is its simplicity and ease of use. Only 19 percent of teens felt that the interface was easier to navigate, with 45 percent saying the page feels cluttered by all of the new features.

Social media fatigue may become a bigger problem, with an onslaught of updates streaming through the newly-added ticker, causing 35 percent of teens to feel “uncomfortable” with the new level of sharing.

But “Timeline” gets a big thumbs up. Timeline received the most praise from teens in our study (27 percent said it was their favorite above all Facebook features). Securing a position on a teen’s Timeline will have meant that your brand achieved a defining connection in the life of a teen. In contrast, apps that are currently auto-posting their way on to Timelines of unsuspecting teens will need to quickly adapt in order to maintain long-term relevance and placement.

Since most teens have between 100 and 500 friends, the ticker scrolls too-fast to provide meaningful updates. The ticker is seen as a distraction, over-communicating their activities without providing any real value. Only 17 percent see any value in viewing friend activity this way, with 31 percent of teens trying to ignore its very existence on the page. They worry that a ticker provides information that “is not theirs to see” in the first place, with the word “stalker” being mentioned on several occasions.

Overwhelmingly, teens view apps as not adding value to their news feed. They view apps as “clogging” their wall with “spam” and an unnecessary level of communication. At best, “it depends” on the type of app being used. The top apps on Facebook with teens are Twitter (27 percent), Ticketmaster (21 percent), Yahoo (24 percent), Netflix (20 percent) and Spotify (15 percent).

According to the survey, 25 percent of teens will be using Facebook less and Google+ more, with 10 percent saying they would drop Facebook completely. Among teens that are already using Google+, they rave about the platform as being cleaner and “more social” than Facebook.

Lack of knowledge about Google+ seems to be the biggest barrier to entry among teens who express interest in staying loyal to Facebook. Also, teens have opted for staying with Facebook over Google+ because the majority of their friends are already on it.

Overwhelmingly, teens view apps as not adding value to their news feed. They view apps as “clogging” their wall with “spam” and an unnecessary level of communication. At best, “it depends” on the type of app being used. The top apps on Facebook with teens are Twitter (27 percent), Ticketmaster (21 percent), Yahoo (24 percent), Netflix (20 percent) and Spotify (15 percent).

According to the survey, 25 percent of teens will be using Facebook less and Google+ more, with 10 percent saying they would drop Facebook completely. Among teens that are already using Google+, they rave about the platform as being cleaner and “more social” than Facebook.

Lack of knowledge about Google+ seems to be the biggest barrier to entry among teens who express interest in staying loyal to Facebook. Also, teens have opted for staying with Facebook over Google+ because the majority of their friends are already on it.

Teens react to Facebook changes

Social Media Drives Restaurant Spending

A study of restaurant consumers by Ogilvy and ChatThreads shows that individuals exposed to social content are significantly more likely to increase their spending and consumption than those who aren't exposed.

There was a 2-7 times greater likelihood of higher spending or consumption depending on the media encountered by the study group. The sales impact was most pervasive when social content was combined with other types of media such as press releases, out-of-home media and TV advertising.

Additionally, out of over 20 channels studied, social content exposure was associated with the largest shift in brand perception during a seven-day period.



Despite these strong social content impact findings, consumers are seeing relatively little branded social content during their daily routine. Only 24 percent  of the study group reported exposure to social content, compared to a 69 percent exposure rate to TV ads.

The final report is available  here.

Ogilvy ChatThreads Social Media Sales Impact Study 2011

View more documents from 360 Digital Influence, Ogilvy PR Worldwide

Chime.in Will Try to Solve Relevance, Monetization Problems

Marketers might not be too terribly excited to learn that yet one more social network is launching. Chime.in will use a 250-character plus one image format, plus a topical format that organizes information contributed to the social network based on interests. 


A user might follow a particular person, but only some posts, on certain topics. Chime.in also will try to sort posts so that more-relevant or "better" content rises to the top of the feed. 


Existing social networks have two problems: relevance and monetization, founder Bill Gross argues. There’s a signal-to-noise problem, and there’s no way to monetize that attention unless you send them to your website. What we’ve created is a new interest-based network, he argues.


You can see what we call a “chime-line” on your page, which you can sort by time or by the number of “likes” or the number of comments. 


That way, the good stuff rises to the top, Gross argues. One of the problems with Twitter is that there is no way for me to filter my tweetstream by the most thoughtful or the most interesting, so that’s what we are trying to do with Chime. 


You can also follow people — but instead of just following everything, you can do what we call a “selective follow,” and choose just the topics you want to follow in their stream. So with Robert Scoble, I might want to follow his tech posts but not the ones about his day at the beach, so I can choose to do that. 


We allow anyone — individuals, celebrities, brands — to create a rich-media page and monetize that themselves. So if someone wants to sell ads on their page, the real estate adjacent to that content is his, and 100 percent of the revenue from those ad sales goes to him. If he wants us to sell the ads for him, then it’s a 50-percent revenue share. 

Can Chime solve relevance problem?

Verizon Wireless and Motorola Launch Droid RAZR

Motorola Mobility and Verizon Wireless announced Droid RAZR, described as the world’s thinnest 4G LTE smartphone.

Measuring 7.1 mm thin, it is made with Kevlar fiber for strength and Corning "Gorilla Glass" for scratch resistance, and runs on the new Verizon Wireless 4G Long Term Evolution network.

The new RAZR works with the Motorola Lapdock 500 Pro or Lapdock 100, giving you the power to edit documents and browse the Web with a desktop-class Firefox browser.

Or, plug your Motorola RAZR into the HD Dock or HD Station to connect to your HDTV, speakers and other productivity peripherals for large-screen entertainment.

Users also can browse the web and use Android apps using the Smart Controller. The built in touch-pad lets you zoom, pinch and rotate content just like a touchscreen.

You can also connect a navigation dock for GPS and directions, battery pack for extra life, Bluetooth-enabled keyboard and the Motorola Elite Sliver headset.

Verizon Wireless and Motorola Announce Droid RAZR

Mobile Broadband is Ramping Fast

Smart phones now seem to be driving mobile broadband activity, not PC dongles. 


“We’re in the middle of one of those once-in-every 10-20 year shifts,” says Mary Meeker, Kleiner Perkins partner. “Mobile connectivity is at the center of that, and mobile devices just nearly outshipped PCs.”


Mobile broadband growing fast

Against All Odds, U.S. Is Leader In Smart Phone Market

Despite a recession and competition from foreign smartphone manufacturers and developers, the United States has become the leader in the smart phone market, says Mary Meeker, partner at VC firm Kleiner Perkins.

"In what looked like a market the U.S. was not gonna lead in, America is winning in a big way.

Software and applications likely would be credited with some of the reasons for leadership, since most observers would say the U.S. market also leads in Web apps.

  U.S. Is Leader In Smartphone Market

Apple earnings miss

As usual, investors had high expectations for Apple quarterly earnings, especially after smashing iPhone sales records. 


But Apple missed expectations today. Apple reported third-quarter earnings of $7.05 a share, on revenue of $28.3 billion. Analysts, on average, expected Apple to earn $7.22 a share on revenue of $29.5 billion.

Apple has not missed earnings forecasts since the second quarter of 2002, according to FactSet data.


It might be too early to say Apple already has begun its descent from its heights under Steve Jobs. Some say there is no worry. Others say it will be a few years until people notice something is different. 


Skeptics might say things already are different. 

Microsoft Launches Xbox Promotions: New Platform on the Way

Microsoft announced on Tuesday its Xbox 360 Christmas and holiday bundles, one with Kinect, one without.

The first bundle contains an Xbox 360 with a 250GB HDD, Kinect, the games Kinect Adventures and Carnival Games: Monkey See Monkey Do, plus 3-months of Xbox LIVE Gold for a suggested retail price of MRP $399. Microsoft bundles

The second bundle is equipped with a 250GB HDD, Fable III and Halo: Reach, plus 3-months of Xbox LIVE Gold for a suggested retail price of MRP $299. New platform

Steve Jobs Was Like Thomas Edison, Says Ben Horowitz

Was Steve Jobs more like Thomas Edison or more like Walt Disney? So far, most people seem to think Edison is the better metaphor. 


"People have compared him to Thomas Edison and I think that's right." Steve Jobs Was Like Thomas Edison 


Personally, I prefer Disney. Edison was a prodigious inventor. But Disney was all about delighting people with experiences. 


The "Magic Kingdom" somehow feels more like something Steve Jobs was obsessive about. 


And if you know anything about how Disney runs its theme parks, you know they are obsessive about illusion and immersion in an experience.