Tuesday, July 8, 2008

IP VPN Prices Not a Commodity

IP VPN prices vary dramatically, by service provider, by country, and by class of service, TeleGeography finds. For example, while the median price of a 2 Mbps E-1 IP VPN port in London was USD 576 per month in Q1 2008, a comparable connection would cost USD 1,034 in Hong Kong, USD 2,871 in Beijing and USD 6,083 in La Paz, Bolivia.

The wide range of prices quoted by telecommunications companies for similar services within a given city suggests that telcos, too, are having a difficult time finding appropriate prices for their services. For example, in Beijing, prices for 2 Mbps VPN ports varied from just over USD 1,300 per month to nearly USD 5,000 per month.

The rate of price change also varies widely by market. The median monthly price of a 1.5 Mbps T-1 port in Atlanta fell 19 percent from USD 580 to USD 470 between the second quarter 2007 and first quarter 2008.

In contrast, the median E-1 port price in Dubai, one of the most expensive markets tracked by TeleGeography, fell only four percent, from USD 16,538 to USD 15,877.

"The tremendous range and variability of prices reflect that this market is neither transparent, nor commoditized," says TeleGeography analyst Gregory Bryan.

Monday, July 7, 2008

TW Telecom, AT&T Rebranding Costs

TW Telecom--formerly Time Warner Telecom--will have to spend between $6 million and $7 million to re-brand the 2,800-employee company. Of course, it could be worse. AT&T executives have not to my knowledge ever said what it actually cost to conduct a number of big rebranding exercises.

When SBC Communications was rebranded as AT&T, the cost was said to involve spending of about $1 billion. But that appears to be the most-affordable of recent efforts. When AT&T Wireless was rebranded as Cingular, the move is reported to have cost $4 billion. Some three years later, Cingular went back to AT&T, for possibly another $2 billion.

There have been other, arguably less-expensive rebranding efforts as well. There was the cost of rebranding BellSouth as AT&T, said to have cost as much as $2 billion. One has to assume the rebranding of Ameritech as SBC cost at least $1 billion. Add on the earlier rebranding of Pacific Telesis as SBC as well.

Add it up and rebranding probably has cost about $9 billion. Of course, some of that money would have been spent on the original brand names in any case, so it is not as though all of that was incremental spending.

Still, it's a huge expense. And then there's the brand equity partially represented on balance sheets in the form of good will. As they like to quip in the Congress, a billion here, a billion there; pretty soon it's real money.

T-Mobile 3G 20-City Launch in October?

CNet speculates that T-Mobile USA will include a Google Android phone as part of its nationwide 3G wireless network launch in perhaps 20 to 25 markets later this year, and perhaps as early as October.

T-Mobile reportedly plans to include the HTC Dream smartphone as one of its first 3G phones to launch with the network, according to reports.

T-Mobile started offering 3G service in New York City in May. And the company said at the launch that it would roll out the service in other top markets by the end of the year.

The Sony Ericsson Z780, a high-end Samsung cameraphone, and possibly the Motorola ZINE ZN5 also are reportedly to be offered.

Xohm Pricing Model

It's hard to say what might develop if and when the new Clearwire, incorporating Sprint Xohm and Clearwire assets, actually launches new unified offers. For the moment, as Sprint rolls out its WiMAX network in Baltimore, we should expect a la carte usage plans, much on the casual Wi-Fi model.

Sprint has said it will break with the traditional mobile model and offer service without contracts and termination fees.

So far, it seems as though monthly service will be priced around the going rates for comparable digital subscriber line and cable modem services.

Saturday, July 5, 2008

Ofcom to Thread Fiber Through a Needle

Ofcom, the U.K. communications regulatory authority, will try to thread a needle this fall as it prepares to create a new framework encouraging fiber-to-customer deployment. On one hand, it wants to convince BT that a reasonable financial return can be earned if it deploys fiber-to-customer network.

On the other hand, Ofcom seems committed to a wholesale regime that allows competitors access to the network. And therein lies the problem. BT will want some assurance that wholesale rates resemble as closely as possible those it might get at commercially negotiated rates. That likely means relatively minimal price control.

BT's competitors will want healthy discounts that mirror what they currently can get for DSL infrastructure. Ofcom likely won't allow that, as such discounts arguably create too much uncertainty about rate of return.

That's a pretty tight needle to try and thread.

Friday, July 4, 2008

We Hold These Truths to be Self Evident

We hold these truths to be self evident; at all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights, that among these are life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness.


Thursday, July 3, 2008

Broadband Growth Strongest in $20,000 to $40,000 Households

Broadband adoption rates between 2007 and 2008 were highest among households with annual income between $20,000 and $40,000, according to new research by the Pew Internet and American Life Project.

The only income group to experience declining broadband penetration was the less-than-$20,000 income group, which includes college students as well as other lower-income households.

The other notable divergence from growth rates in the 15 percent to 24 percent growth rates were among households with annual income above $100,000, where four percent growth was the norm. It is probably fair to say that wealthier households largely have adopted already.

Wednesday, July 2, 2008

Microsoft Enters Consumer Software as a Service Business

Microsoft Corp. has unveiled Microsoft Equipt, an all-in-one security and productivity software subscription service for consumers. The new offering is a move by Microsoft into the software as a service business.

Microsoft Equipt is $69.99 (U.S.) estimated retail price for a one-year renewable subscription. Each subscription will be good for three home PCs.

Microsoft Equipt will be sold in nearly 700 Circuit City stores in the U.S. starting mid-July 2008.

Microsoft Equipt includes Microsoft Office Home and Student 2007; Windows Live OneCare, the all-in-one security and PC management service; Windows Live tools, such as Windows Live Mail, Windows Live Messenger, Windows Live Photo Gallery and so they can connect and Office Live Workspace, a new service from Microsoft that makes it easy to save documents to a dedicated online Workspace and share them with friends and classmates.

What's Up with AT&T's Satellite Deal?

You are free to take your pick: AT&T has terminated its current contract with Dish Network simply to negotiate better terms; or AT&T has done so because there is a real chance it might partner with DirecTV. Either thesis has some merit.

AT&T represents about 15 percent of Dish Network’s gross subscriber adds, so losing the deal would likely lead to negative subscriber growth for Dish in 2009. From AT&T's perspective, switching providers would entail some costs, as well, so the most-logical scenario is simply that AT&T will use the new competition to extract better terms from Dish.

It wouldn't be the first time a major supplier has been played as a card against an existing supplier. At the margin, some would argue, DirecTV offers a richer menu of on-demand and HDTV programming.

But a value-price argument can be made for either satellite provider. There are the switching costs to consider, of course. But there could be more going on under the surface than is apparent.

One never should discount what Liberty Media Chairman John Malone (Liberty Media has a controlling interest in DirecTV) might be thinking, strategy-wise. At his best, he is a move or two ahead of everybody else. I don't know whether that is a factor this time around, but anytime he does decide one of his assets has a strategic opportunity, one pays attention. He does.

Nationwide Sprint Femtocell Deployment?

Broadband Reports says Sprint is launching its "Airave" femtocell service nationwide on July 15, 2008. The in-home terminal reportedly will cost $1,000, and allow any Sprint mobile handset to communication over the fixed broadband connection attached to the femtocell box.

A single user can expect to pay $15 a month. Families can expect to pay $30 a month for unlimited domestic calling using the femtocell.

FTTH Milestone Reached

More optical fiber than cable modem high-speed connections turned up globally in the first quarter of 2008, say reserchers at Point Topic. That's the first time this has happened, Point Topic says.

While there were 2.5 million cable broadband subscribers added worldwide in the first three months of 2008, fiber connections grew by over 4.2 million net users.

“It’s a significant milestone for fiber optic broadband, where it is available consumers will take fiber over other broadband technologies,” says Oliver Johnson, Point Topic CEO.

“If you look at the cost per megabit then DSL comes in at around $20 per megabit per month taking global averages," says Johnson. "Cable does better at roughly $12 but they are both completely eclipsed by fiber where costs can get as low as 50 cents per megabit per month."

While there are sizeable variations from country to country, region to region and operator to operator, a rule of thumb is that DSL can cost the consumer more than 15 times as much as fiber to get a megabit of bandwidth and cable is seven times as expensive.

Of course, it's no surprise that the cost per megabit is lower with fiber than with any other access technology. Fiber's big advantage is bandwidth. All other things (overhead, construction, cabling cost, operations, maintenance) being roughly equal, fiber just supplies more bandwidth than a copper, coaxial cable or wireless access connection.

In U.K., 6% Mobile Internet Usage

About six percent of respondents to a recent survey undertaken by Point Topic say they now use mobile Internet services.

About 62 percent say they would. As you would expect, income matters. Mobile Internet usage is highest in the highest income segments; lowest i the lowest income segments.

Truphone Boosts Credit July 1-14, 2008

New customers using Nokia handsets and signing up for the Truphone "VoIP over mobile" service from July 1 to July 14 will get $8 credit in their account, instead of $2. Right now the service is in beta testing, so Truphone only works with Nokia devices.

Truphone allows users of Wi-Fi-enabled mobile phones to make and receive regular telephone calls, and to send and receive SMS text messages, using only a Wi-Fi connection and the Internet. Although still in beta, it has already attracted tens of thousands of users in 149 countries.

This is equivalent to 133 free minutes (2 hours 13 minutes) to a landline in one of the Tru Zone’s countries or 80 free minutes (1hour 20 minutes) to a landline in one of the Outer Zone’s countries.

The credit also is enough to call for 26 free minutes to a mobile in one of the Tru Zone’s countries, or 16 free minutes to a mobile in one of the Outer Zone’s countries.

Tuesday, July 1, 2008

Dell Discounts for WildBlue Subs

WildBlue customers now can buy Dell computers at discounts available to members of the Dell. The discount program is effective immediately for all WildBlue subscribers, both residential and business, with potential savings of up to 12 percent on all Dell Inspiron desktops and notebooks. There are also discounts available for all electronics and accessories purchased with a new Inspiron desktop, Inspiron notebook, or XPS system.

Intel Predicts Computing Using Hundreds of Cores

Patrick Gelsinger, Intel SVP, expects a sharp acceleration in the number of computing engines packed on a single chip. Forget about dual core, or quad core.

He says products in the future will feature tens to hundreds of processors. Media processing is one application that comes to mind. Try protocol conversion of HDTV into some other protocol suited to Web display. Dual core doesn't cut it.

Now if they can just solve the heat and battery draw issues.

Yes, Follow the Data. Even if it Does Not Fit Your Agenda

When people argue we need to “follow the science” that should be true in all cases, not only in cases where the data fits one’s political pr...