Tuesday, November 17, 2009

Are Android Users Different From iPhone Users? Does it Matter?


It is a bit early to determine how Android users might be different from other smartphone users, including iPhone customers. Some early studies suggest Android users are heavier Web application users than iPhone users are.

Others, such as a recent survey by comScore, suggest Android users are slightly less intensive users of mobile Web applications.

So far, the comScore study suggests, Android users are heavier users of video applications, capturing and uploading video significantly more than iPhone users do.

The behavioral pattern might be important if one assumes the Android has potential to create one or more new niches in the smartphone market.

Lots of attention now is focused on whether Android devices are "iPhone competitors." Some might argue it is more likely Androids will appeal to different types of users, for different reasons, as most BlackBerry users likely have different priorities than iPhone users.



How Junction Networks Deals with Traffic Pumping

Google Voice recently has drawn attention from the Federal Communications Commission for its practice of blocking calls to some high-cost telephone numbers used by free conference calling sites. And it appears Google Voice is not the only provider of affordable calling services that finds the high-cost numbers a problem.

Junction Networks, a provider of hosted business IP telephony, has taken another tack, announcing that it will begin charging a higher fee for outbound calls to those exchanges.

“Free conference calling and other ‘traffic pumping’ services exist because the current carrier compensation system allows rural carriers to pass extremely high fees on to other carriers, who often cannot come close to recovering the cost of calls,” says Rob Wolpov, president, Junction Networks. “As a result, we have been left with an overwhelming increase in fees for calls to a number of rural locations where these services operate.

“In order to maintain our low-cost business VoIP options and at the same time, allow our customers to call any number they choose, we have decided to charge the market rate for calls to the designated areas used by these services," Junction Networks now says.

Free conference calling services, adult chat lines and other “traffic pumping” services are often reached through the telephone exchanges of very small, rural operators. "In a legal but questionable arbitrage scheme, these calling services choose these rural exchanges precisely for their high termination charges -- the fees that sending carriers pay them to complete (terminate) the calls," says Wolpov.

Charging as much as 20 times the typical domestic termination rate, the rural telco then splits the profits with the service. While GoogleVoice has responded by blocking calls to those numbers, Junction Networks prefers the alternative: allowing customers to continue using these services at their discretion, but paying the actual cost of such calls.

Under the newe plan, Junction Networks customers can control the cost of any calls costing more than 2.9 cents per minute by simply completing an online extended dialing form.

Such traffic pumping schemes are expected to be addressed at some point. For the moment, blocking is seen as the lesser evil for some service providers who do not make a living from call termination, though cost-based pricing will make more sense for firms that do charge for calling services.

Google Voice arguably has a different problem. It provides Web-enabled calling features that sometimes require call delivery to such telephone numbers. Sometimes Google Voice provides the actual outbound call origination, rather than processing inbound calls to a user's own telephone numbers. When originating calls to the high-cost terminations, Google Voice has no direct revenue model at all.

Advertising is Changing from "Push" to "Pull"


Consumer packaged goods companies that typically have preferred mass media are making a significant move into social media messaging, says eMarketer. And where pushing ad messages to potential customers has been the dominant focus, social media allows retailers to engage in different ways.

“By looking at social media as a way to listen to consumers, respond to their needs and create ongoing dialogue—instead of as another way to advertise to them—CPG companies can reinvigorate their marketing and create new bonds with consumers,” says Debra Aho Williamson, eMarketer senior analyst.

That doesn't mean consumer retailers are abandoning traditional advertising by any means, she says. So far, social media advertising represents only a small fraction of the total dollars going to that channel, according to Nielsen AdRelevance.

And here's the difference: many mass market retailers consider social media to be "earned" media, historically the province of public relations, more than "paid" advertising. For that reason, more effort is going into blogger relations programs and promotional interactions that complement display advertising, for example.

Social media more frequently is seen as a way to “humanize their brand and create loyalty simply by being available when consumers have a problem, question or compliment,” says Williamson.

Telecommunications firms are leaders in the social media messaging space, as are Web media firms. About 20 percent of all social network site advertising over the last year (September 2008 to September 2009) has been spent by communications firms, while 19 percent was spent by Web media firms.

This is a significant shift. At some level, one might note that retailer spending is shifting from "advertising" to "public relations;" from "ads" to Web-based interactions on social sites. That means spending for Web operations overall is growing, most likely displacing spending that previously would have been devoted to tradtional display advertising.

The shfit from a "push" approach to a "pull" approach is tangible, if seminal.

Monday, November 16, 2009

New Ruckus Wireless Network: Just Like WiMAX, But Without the Cost

Ruckus Wireless has introduced a complete, end-to-end managed, wireless broadband access solution that provides a “build-as-you-grow” model for broadband access in developing market urban environments at a fraction of the cost of alternative approaches.

The Ruckus Wireless system is designed to operate using unlicensed spectrum, with carrier-class reliability, at initial capital investment that is as much as five timex cheaper than a WiMAX alternative, the company says. For full deployment, replicating WiMAX across a larger urban area, the Ruckus Wireless solution can be built for 30 times less capital than a comparable WiMAX network, the company says.

The business model for providing broadband access for billions of new users in developing markets requires matching investment with average revenue per user of a "a few dollars to five dollars a month," says Steven Glapa, Ruckus Wireless director.

The solution includes low cost customer terminals, access links, backhaul and network management able to handle equipment possibly provided by different suppliers, or even from a single provider, says Glapa.

The new element is the 802.11 backhaul system that auto-provisions and features a 30-degree beamwidth that allows trunking bandwidth of 60 Mbps at 12 km. The radios cost $2,000 a pair for backhaul and will reach 180 Mbps at 1 km.

A service provider can manage tens of thousands of access points in multiple cities from one network operating center.

Coverage of one square kilometer might cost $485,000 for base stations, antennas, backhaul gear, base stations and then capacity to the site, using a standard WiMAX platform

Using a WiMAX approach, a service provider would require $75,000 for base stations, of which the operator would need five, $6,000 for each antenna, of which six are required. Backhaul is $5,000, says Glapa.

In our case, an operator would spend $2000 for access point and the operator would need 41 access points to cover one square kilometer, he adds. Then there is an investment of $300 for backhaul per access point, amounting to $97,000 to cover a square kilometer.

Ruckus initially got its start using smart antenna technology to shuttle video signals around inside a subscriber's home, and now supplies about 100 service providers with such technology.

The point is that Ruckus Wireless was used to extreme cost pressures for end point technology, and simply has adapted all of its access, trunking and network management for such price-optimized environments. Along the way Ruckus also expanded into the enterprise segment for coverage of campus environments.

The addition of the trunking product obviously extends the range from office, home or campus to neighborhoods, while the auto-provisioning and auto-discovery features ease management chores.

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Smartphone Niches Emerging


Data from ChangeWave about smartphone preferences might suggest both the existence of clear smartphone segments as well as an evolution of those segments.

By definition, all smartphones handle voice and text. Beyond that, there seem to be distinct user niches.

One might characterize the Palm user as someone whose unique application is the "organizer."

One might characterize the BlackBerry user as oriented to email, and the iPhone owner as oriented to Web-delivered applications.

Looked at this way, the Changewave data might suggest that the value proposition for the email-focused remains steady, but that the value of "organizer" functions is receding, while mobile Web is growing. We also have seen the introduction recently of devices organized around social networking and navigation, so the number of smartphone niches addressed by particular devices seems to be growing.

The Palm Pre and Motorola Cliq are among new devices pitched at the social networking niche. Garmin's nuvifone is perhaps the best example of a navigation-focused smartphone. So the obvious big question is how the growing raft of Android-based smartphones will contribute to the proliferation of devices with a lead application mode.

How demand for the Droid will shape up is hard to say at the moment. Some fragmentary data suggests that Droid users access the Web even more than iPhone users do. But its turn-by-turn navigation features might also emerge as a key drawing point.

Friday, November 13, 2009

Mobile Ad Audience Grows, Number of Resisters Also Grows

Mobile ad spending is poised to grow 27 percent to $2.1 billion in 2010, according to the Mobile Marketing Association. The good news is the audience for mobile marketing is growing. The bad news is the audience is still relatively small and confined to a limited segment of the arket, say researchers at BIGresearch.

That means there is a high probability of turning off potential consumers. Consumers who like mobile marketing tend to be young men. They are mobile phone-centered and more likely to use social media.

People who don’t like mobile marketing tend to be slightly-older women who are not as centered around their mobile phones or users of social media. Receptive consumers have an average age of 39 while non-receptive consumers have an average age of 46.

About 23 percent of receptive consumers are regular users of MySpace, compared to 10 percent of non-users. About 13 percent of receptive consumers regularly use Twitter, while just 3.5 percent of non-receptive consumers say they regularly use Twitter.

Since June of 2008, the percentage of people who don’t like mobile marketing has ncreased, BIGresearch says. About 66.8 percent of 2,200 survey respondents say they don’t like text ads.

Some 60.2 percent don’t like voicemail ads. About 60 percent say they do not like video ads. By itself, those sorts of reactions are to be expected. How many of you would actually say you like receiving, hearing or viewing most ads?

Android People Heavier Web Users than iPhone People?


The Motorola Droid is the latest smartphone to be touted as a poential  “iPhone killer.” I'm not among those doing so, not for any lack of confidence in the Droid so much as a belief that the iPhone is not just a smartphone.

Like other Apple products before it, and like some other popular consumer products, the iPhone already has carved out an "experience" and "emotional bond" that cannot be broken by a substitute product.

Still, the Droid seems to be the sort of product that will advance the use and adoption of Web content to a connected device, especially for users whose Web experiences are heavily Google-mediated.

Significantly, Nielsen data from the third quarter of 2009 already suggests Android users are heavy mobile Web users, maybe even more so than iPhone users, who, up to this point, have been the heaviets mobile Web users.

But there is still plenty of room in the market for devices that are optimized around a lead application. The iPhone might have been the best example to date of a device really optimized around Web access as BlackBerry has been optimized around mobile email and other devices are plumbing the "turn by turn navigation" app, for example.

In the fourth quarter of 2009, perhaps 40 percent of all new devices sold will be smartphones of one sort or another. By 2011, smartphones will represent the majority of phones in use, Nielsen forecasts.

"Projecting Nielsen data out through 2010, we see smartphones crossing 50 percent of the market by the middle of 2011, roughly equal to 150 million users," says Jerry Rocha, Nielsen Online Division senior director.

Directv-Dish Merger Fails

Directv’’s termination of its deal to merge with EchoStar, apparently because EchoStar bondholders did not approve, means EchoStar continue...