Thursday, September 5, 2013

Majority of Android Handset Traffic Uses Wi-Fi, in 9 Countries Across North America, Asia and Europe

About 68 percent of Android data consumption occurs over a Wi-Fi connection, a study of users by Informa Telecoms and Media and Mobidia has found. 

The study shows that the most-balanced usage was in India, where Android users consumed about 53 percent of their handset data using Wi-Fi, both private and at public locations, though public locations represent just about one percent of consumption in India and just two percent in the U.S. market.

That data simply confirms the crucial role now played by mobile offload to third party access networks.

Wednesday, September 4, 2013

Mobile Accounts Outnumber Fixed Lines More than 6:1

Explaining what is going on globally, in the communications business, sometimes is a matter of nuances, and sometimes is drop dead simple.

The drop dead simple part is the role played by mobile services , which outnumbered fixed voice lines by about 4.5 to one in 2009, and now outnumber fixed connections by about six to one.

ITU Access LInes (Millions)




2011
2012*
2013*
Fixed-telephone subscriptions



Developed
542
531
520
Developing
662
655
652
World
1,204
1,186
1,171
Mobile-cellular subscriptions




2011
2012*
2013*
Developed
1,475
1,538
1,600
Developing
4,487
4,872
5,235
World
5,962
6,411
6,835

The nuances come when we are looking at total fixed network lines, for several reasons. There is, for example, a difference between the number of access lines or equivalents that might be available for use, and the number that actually are in use.

That roughly corresponds to the difference between a network that could sell a customer service at a location, and the number of customers that actually do so.

In some cases, there can be a difference between a voice line available, or in use, and a broadband line that is available, or in use.

And, of course, there is a difference between trends in developed regions, where the number of voice lines being used is dropping, and the developing regions, where capacity and usage often are growing. The offset, even in developing regions, is the use of lines exclusively for Internet access, irrespective of voice.

At a high level, one might say the number of lines physically able to be used is growing, globally. The number of lines in service seems to be dropping, overall, despite growth of usage in developing regions, simply because the rate of abandonment in developed regions is greater than the number of new lines being added and used in the developing regions.

According to International Telecommunications Union data, for example, the total number of fixed lines in use has declined since about 2006. But the number of fixed broadband lines in use has grown steadily.

Overall, the number of fixed network lines has grown steadily. What has changed is the willingness of customers to pay for a fixed voice service, not fixed services of any type.




Yelp Really Works, Study Finds

Merchant Warehouse research found that 93 percent of consumers who use Yelp go on to make a purchase with a company they researched on the review site.

A Boston Consulting Group survey of 4,800 business owners in March 2013)  found that small businesses with a free Yelp business owner's account saw an average increase in annual revenue of $8,000.


Click to enlarge


Can Microsoft Nokia Make a Dent in Apple Samsung Handset Lead?

Microsoft's purchase of Nokia has been justified as a way of strengthening Microsoft's bid to win a bigger place in the mobile operating ecosystem. Some would say it will not be easy. Markets tend to become quite stable in the mainstream adoption or mature market phase. 

In June 2013, Apple gained nearly one point of market share, BlackBerry lost a share point and Microsoft grew one tenth of a percent. And Gartner says Microsoft passed BlackBerry in operating system share by August 2013. 

Worldwide Smartphone Sales to End Users by Operating System in 2Q13 (Thousands of Units)
Operating System
2Q13
 Units
2Q13 Market Share (%)
2Q12
 Units
2Q12 Market Share (%)
Android
177,898.2
79.0
98,664.0
64.2
iOS
31,899.7
14.2
28,935.0
18.8
Microsoft
7,407.6
3.3
4,039.1
2.6
BlackBerry
6,180.0
2.7
7,991.2
5.2
Bada
838.2
0.4
4,208.8
2.7
Symbian
630.8
0.3
9,071.5
5.9
Others
471.7
0.2
863.3
0.6
Total
225,326.2
100.0
153,772.9
100.0
Source: Gartner (August 2013)

Nearly 142 million people in the U.S. owned smart phones (59 percent mobile market penetration) during the three months ending in June, up four percent since March. 

Apple ranked as the top OEM with 39.9 percent of U.S. smartphone subscribers (up 0.9 percentage points from March). 

Samsung grew its share 2 percentage points with the release of its new Galaxy S4 model, ranking second with 23.7 percent market share. HTC ranked third with 8.5 percent, followed by Motorola with 7.2 percent and LG with 6.6 percent. Microsoft's purchase of Nokia 

Top Smartphone Platforms
3 Month Avg. Ending Jun. 2013 vs. 3 Month Avg. Ending Mar. 2013
Total U.S. Smartphone Subscribers Age 13+
Source: comScore MobiLens
 Share (%) of Smartphone Subscribers
Mar-13Jun-13Point Change
Total Smartphone Subscribers100.0%100.0%N/A
Android52.0%52.0%0.0
Apple39.0%39.9%0.9
BlackBerry5.2%4.4%-0.8
Microsoft3.0%3.1%0.1
Symbian0.5%0.3%-0.2

Tuesday, September 3, 2013

Study Confirms: Most People Watch One to 10 Channels

The conventional wisdom for many decades about consumer TV viewing is that most people watch relatively few channels. Some studies suggest the average is about seven channels. Others might peg the typical number of channels watched  ab it higher.

A new study by Digitalsmiths suggests that 86 percent of respondents watch the same channels, most of the time.

The study also suggests that 79 percent of respondents watch between one and 10 channels, on average, with a typical number at five to six channels, and a big spike at 10 channels.



Largest Price War in U.S. Mobile History is Coming

The biggest price war in the history of the U.S. mobile business is coming. We don't know precisely when it will begin, but it is coming.

The skirmishes already have begun as T-Mobile US has launched its "uncarrier" strategy. So far, the biggest impact has been on device purchase options, as T-Mobile US device installment policies have triggered competitive responses by AT&T and Verizon Wireless. 

That is probably marginally important to some consumers, namely those who routinely buy new devices frequently. But most users arguably have been more affected by shared data plans that are relatively incremental in impact.

SoftBank's Sprint probably has plans to do something more disruptive, and the other service providers will have to respond, in some way. 

Softbank launched just such a disruptive attack on pricing in the Japanese market after acquiring Vodafone's Japan business. 

Some would argue that Vodafone's willingness to sell its stake in its biggest market is evidence that it expects tougher and more competitive times in the U.S. market. That could be a problem for Verizon Communications, which is shelling out $130 billion to acquire the Vodafone stake in Verizon Wireless. 






Huge and Risky Bets are Being Placed in Global Mobile Business

In the wake of Verizon’s purchase of the 45 percent of Verizon Wireless that it does not already own, as well as the Microsoft purchase of Nokia's handset business, huge and risky bets are being placed about the direction of the mobile business.

Nokia is getting out of handsets entirely, to focus on mobile infrastructure. Vodafone is exiting its strongest and most significant revenue-generating global market. Verizon Wireless is making a huge bet on robust mobile revenue growth in the U.S. market.

And that is only the beginning. What will follow is a major wave of restructuring among leading suppliers in the European communications markets as well, as Vodafone deploys its newly liquid capital and as other leading carriers decide they must buy or sell.

Already, there is speculation that AT&T might try to buy all of Vodafone when the Verizon transaction is completed. Vodafone is said to be weighing a purchase of Liberty Global, which only recently swallowed Virgin Media.

Telefonica is buying E-Plus in Germany and America Movil still is trying to buy all of KPN. Other deals will be proposed, and many will happen.

Beyond that, AT&T seems to be interested in a “mobile only” approach that combines elements of confidence in Long Term Evolution prospects in Europe, as well as growth in emerging markets.

Vodafone thinks it will do better if it reinforces its mobile offerings with ownership of fixed network assets.

Microsoft, at the beginning of a process to pick a successor to Stever Ballmer, Microsoft CEO, is betting that owning Nokia’s entire handset business gives it an ecosystem it did not have before to drive the Windows Mobile business, but at the risk of alienating existing licensees.

And some might ask what Microsoft actually gets by buying Nokia, when it essentially “owned” much of the value of Nokia by virtue of being the exclusive supplier of operating systems to Nokia.

The point is that very big and risky bets are being placed about where growth lies in the global mobile business.

Directv-Dish Merger Fails

Directv’’s termination of its deal to merge with EchoStar, apparently because EchoStar bondholders did not approve, means EchoStar continue...