Saturday, April 3, 2021

Implications of GDP Damage Worse than Great Depression, Far Worse than Internet Bubble or Great Recession

For those of you who lived through the internet bubble burst in 2001 and the Great Recession of 2008, the Covid-19 pandemic exceeds the economic damage by quite some scale, surpassing the carnage of the 1929 Great Depression. 


We all seem to sense that many changes in business and personal life will be permanent, post-Covid. Enterprise executives indicate big changes are coming. 

source: McKinsey 


Remote work environments seem to have encouraged “output oriented” work flows and may have enabled faster decision making, McKinsey reports. Hybrid work situations are expected to become permanent, while “site agnostic” employee sourcing will increase, along with possibly 35 percent to half of all existing office space to be shed over the next two years. 


source: McKinsey 


McKinsey argues that geographically “distributed work” produces more value than “remote work.” And those are not even the most important implications enterprises must consider. The “recovery” from the crisis will not follow patterns we have seen in prior economic downturns. 


So a new operating model will be necessary. The need for agility no longer will be a nice to have organizational capability, but might be a requirement. Business will run about four times faster than in the past, making “three months the new year.”


source: McKinsey 


New threats and opportunities might well be the new reality as well. That might well include a change of revenue sources and business models.


Lots of people talk about disruption. Not so many have actually had to face it. Many more might get their first chance to do so.


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