Sunday, June 1, 2025

One Set of AI Regulations is Probably Better than 50 to 100

Some states are creating statewide regulations for artificial intelligence. Whether that is a good thing or not is debatable. The wisdom of AI regulations is not perhaps the issue. Everyone acknowledges there will be some regulation, at some point.


The issue is whether many different regulations and regimes is helpful or harmful.


By some accounts, State lawmakers across the US introduced nearly 700 AI-related bills in 2024, according to the Business Software Alliance. Of the bills that were introduced, 113 were ultimately enacted into law. 


That process of creating separate rules in potentially 50 different jurisdictions, while perhaps well-intentioned, virtually always raises costs of suppliers, and almost inevitably costs to consumers. 


The same sort of process applies in lots of industries. 


National vs. Local Regulation and Consumer Prices

Study

Key Findings

Chambers & Collins (Mercatus Center), How Do Federal Regulations Affect Consumer Prices?

Found that a 10% increase in total regulations leads to a 0.687% increase in consumer prices. The study also highlighted that low-income households are disproportionately affected, as they spend a larger share of their income on heavily regulated goods.

IFAC & BIAC Survey (2018), Patchwork Financial Regulation a $780 Billion Drag on the Economy

Estimated that fragmented financial regulations cost the global economy over $780 billion annually, equating to 5–10% of annual revenue turnover for financial institutions. Over half of the respondents indicated that resources were diverted from risk management due to the costs associated with diverging regulations.

Mercatus Center Study, Regulatory Accumulation and Its Costs

Determined that regulatory accumulation has reduced the annual growth rate of the U.S. GDP by an average of 0.8%. The study also found that increased regulations disproportionately burden low-income households by raising the prices of basic goods such as food and utilities.

Bergeaud & Raimbault (2017), An empirical analysis of the spatial variability of fuel prices in the United States

Identified that state-level policies and local socio-economic factors significantly influence fuel prices, leading to substantial variability across different regions. The study underscores the impact of local regulations on consumer prices.

Li, Gordon & Netzer (2018), An Empirical Study of National vs. Local Pricing by Chain Stores Under Competition

Found that national pricing can be more profitable for firms in certain competitive environments, as it helps avoid intense local competition. However, the optimal pricing strategy varies depending on market conditions, indicating that uniform national pricing isn't always the most beneficial approach.


Most observers would acknowledge that higher consumer prices are a result of the fragmented regulatory regimes in many industries. 


Regulated Industry

State-Level Regulation Example

National Regulation (or Lack Thereof)

Impact on Consumers

Price Impact

Artificial Intelligence (AI)

Data privacy, algorithmic fairness

California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA) imposes strict AI and data-use limitations

Developers must customize products for each state's privacy laws; increased legal risk

Slower rollout of AI tools; higher costs passed on to users

Automotive / EVs

Emission standards, sales mandates

California's zero-emission vehicle (ZEV) mandates; bans on gas car sales post-2035

Auto makers must produce state-specific vehicle variants; complex distribution logistics

Higher car prices in ZEV states; reduced consumer choice

Healthcare

Telemedicine, insurance coverage

States have unique rules on provider licensing and allowable services

Providers face barriers offering services across state lines; insurers must tailor plans by state

Unequal access to care; administrative costs increase insurance premiums

Energy

Fuel formulations, renewable mandates

California requires special gasoline blends; some states mandate renewable quotas

Refineries must produce multiple blends; adds transportation and inventory costs

Higher fuel prices in regulated states; seasonal price swings

Finance / FinTech

Lending rules, crypto regulation

New York's BitLicense for crypto firms; state usury laws

FinTechs must obtain licenses in each state; may avoid high-cost states like NY

Restricted availability of services; delays in access

Employment / Labor

Minimum wage, gig worker classification

California’s AB5 reclassifies many gig workers as employees

National firms (Uber, Doordash) must operate under different employment models across states

Increased service fees; reduced flexibility in gig services

Education / EdTech

Student data privacy, content standards

Illinois Student Online Personal Protection Act (SOPPA) imposes strong data privacy rules

EdTech firms must develop state-specific compliance features

Slower implementation of new tools; reduced access for smaller schools

Food & Agriculture

Labeling, animal welfare

Massachusetts requires cage-free eggs; Vermont passed first GMO-labeling law

Food producers face higher costs from differing labeling/packaging and sourcing requirements

Higher food prices; limited product availability in some regions

Construction / Housing

Building codes, zoning laws

Each state/city sets codes; California has stricter seismic/energy efficiency rules

Builders must redesign projects by region; national firms struggle to scale housing solutions

Higher housing costs; slower construction timelines

Tobacco / Cannabis

Sales restrictions, taxation

States regulate sales age, THC limits, and advertising; some states prohibit sales

Multistate cannabis firms must customize operations for compliance; interstate transport often banned

Prices vary widely; consumers in prohibition states pay black-market premiums

No comments:

Anthropic Claude Leads in Developer Market

Lots of businesses in many industries use enterprise customer revenue models successfully. And, so far, that seems true for Anthropic, whose...