Friday, December 19, 2025

Physically-Embodied AI Market is an Order of Magnitude Bigger than Informational AI

Most of the time I actively use artificial intelligence for some sort of cognitive, content or informational task. But that’s only one way AI gets used.

But physically-embodied AI, in the form of robots, vehicles and other machines will be very important in a business-to-business and business-to-consumer context, as AI moves from the digital into the physical world.

In fact, the revenue "ceiling" for physically-embodied AI is orders of magnitude higher because it addresses global labor markets and industries.

Informational AI primarily impacts the services and knowledge sectors, with revenue models built on software-as-a-service (SaaS) and efficiency gains.

So subscriptions, licenses to uses application program interfaces or productivity gains in coding, marketing or legal work provide examples of revenue upside.

The total addressable market is therefore bounded by the size of global software and digital advertising markets, plus a percentage of white-collar labor costs.

Physically-embodied AI shifts the value proposition from "assisting humans" to substituting AI for physical human labor.

The revenue potential is therefore the cost of labor globally, which is estimated at roughly $40 to $50 trillion annually.

Capturing even five to 10 percent of that market would dwarf the entire current software industry.


Metric

Informational AI (Digital)

Physically-Embodied AI (Physical)

Primary TAM

~$1T (Software, Ads, Content)

~$50T+ (Global Physical Labor)

Revenue Model

Per user/per token subscription.

Per hour labor rate / Capital expenditure (CAPEX).

Marginal Cost

Extremely Low (Compute-only).

Moderate to High (Hardware maintenance + Compute).

Unit Revenue

~$20 - $200 / Month / User

~$5,000 - $15,000 / Month / Unit (Labor replacement).

Scale of Impact

1x (Baseline)

10x to 50x


Industry

Business Process

Embodied Use Case

Impact

Source Link

Logistics

Warehouse Operations, Inventory Management, Order Fulfillment

Autonomous Mobile Robots (AMRs) and Humanoid Robots for picking, placing, and transporting items; AI-enabled drones for inventory scanning and inspection.

High (Streamlines order fulfillment, reduces labor costs, improves inventory accuracy and throughput.)

Deloitte - AI goes physical: Navigating the convergence of AI and robotics

Transportation

Freight Delivery, Fleet Management, Last-Mile Delivery

Autonomous Trucks (platooning and long-haul driving); Delivery Drones and Sidewalk Robots; AI for Predictive Maintenance on vehicle systems.

High (Reduces operational/fuel costs, increases efficiency, addresses labor shortages, enhances safety.)

Uber Freight - Unlocking physical AI with self-driving trucks

Retail

Customer Service, In-Store Experience, Inventory Monitoring

Customer Service Robots (e.g., answering FAQs, guiding customers); Inventory Robots that scan shelves to detect stockouts or misplaced items in real-time.

Medium to High (Frees up human staff, improves in-store data collection and stock planning, enhances customer guidance.)

Tridorian - The Power of Embodied AI Agents for Business Automation

Computing / Manufacturing

Factory Automation, Quality Control, Process Design

General-Purpose and Humanoid Robots for repetitive, complex, or dangerous assembly and handling tasks; AI-powered machine vision for automated quality inspection.

High (Drives significant productivity gains, reduces maintenance costs/downtime, enhances product quality and worker safety.)

Citi - Embodied Intelligence: The Rise of Physical AI

Content

Data Center Operations, Media Production Infrastructure

Inspection Robots (e.g., Boston Dynamics' Spot) for monitoring physical data center infrastructure; Autonomous equipment in large-scale live event production or broadcasting.

Low to Medium (Primarily affects the maintenance and efficiency of the physical hardware supporting content creation/distribution, rather than the content itself.)

Encord - What is Embodied AI? A Guide to AI in Robotics

Transportation

Traffic Management, Urban Mobility

AI-powered Smart Traffic Signals that dynamically adjust timing based on real-time vehicle and pedestrian flow.

Medium (Reduces travel times and vehicle emissions, improves urban traffic flow efficiency.)

TLI Magazine - 6 Ways AI is Making Transportation Safer and More Efficient


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Physically-Embodied AI Market is an Order of Magnitude Bigger than Informational AI

Most of the time I actively use artificial intelligence for some sort of cognitive, content or informational task. But that’s only one way A...