Mobile Youth Statistics

Mobile Youth Around the World - 2011 Update

View more presentations from Graham Brown.

Echostar to buy Hughes Communications

EchoStar Corp. plans to buy broadband satellite network provider Hughes Communications Inc. in a deal worth around $2 billion including the assumption of debt. There are any number of ways to spin the value of the deal. One is a "TV Everywhere" capability for Dish Network customers. EchoStar already owns Sling, so the additional capacity EchoStar is gaining might be coupled with Sling features to create a sort of instant "TV Everywhere" service.

The other angle is revenue diversification and growth. Ask a cable executive where the strongest growth now is coming from, and you will be told it is business services (voice and data) sold to business customers. Hughes will bring a multinational enterprise services business, as well as a smaller play for small and mid-sized business customers. Hughes recently has introduced a business-grade voice service for enterprise customers, for example, allowing it to sell a voice and data package.

EchoStar agreed to acquire Hughes for a price of $60.70 per share, representing a two percent discount to Friday’s closing price, but a premium of 31 percent over the January 19, 2011, price of $46.43 when news first broke that Hughes was up for sale.

The transaction values Hughes at about 6.8x times 2011 adjusted EBITDA forecast of $292 million,

which represents a fair multiple for the company, based on the company's historic multiple range of 3 times to four times adjusted EBITDA, but well below the eight times to 10 times multiple some had assumed Hughes might fetch.

Echostar to buy Hughes Communications for $2 billion | Washington Business Journal

Online Video Usage Up 45%

Online video for the most part remains a supplemental activity, complementing multichannel video subscription services. But online usage continues to grow, raising obvious questions about when a tipping point might be reached. But no tipping point can be reached unless content owners can create a viable and substantial new revenue model from online video, and advertising already is seen as merely supplemental. That likely means subscriptions, one way or the other. Up to this point Netflix and Hulu have been the leaders in that regard, despite efforts by iTunes and others.

Online views, or online viewers, are important. But ultimately those metrics alone will not drive a shift to major online availability of professionally-produced content. Some combination of subscriptions and on-demand payments will have to emerge, large enough in volume to create a viable expectation that revenues from such alternative streams can rival the revenues now earned from cable and other video distributors. Views and viewers are important, but not as important as the emergence of paid models of some size.

Among the ten most heavily used brands in January, YouTube continues to hold the top position among online video sites with nearly 8.5 billion video streams – 10 times the number of streams than its closest rival, Hulu. YouTube and Hulu are followed by VEVO in total streams, with MTV Networks Music (+79.1%), Netflix (+37.5%) and MSN/Windows Live/Bing (+36.3%) showing the strongest month-over-month growth in streams.

When looking at the most engaging video brands – as measured by time spent – Netflix was the top destination as the average U.S. video viewer spent over 11 hours watching video on the site from home and work locations, which isn’t surprising considering Netflix subscribers can now watch full-length movies and television shows from their PC/Mac/laptops.

Online video usage in the United States grew 45 percent over the last year, according to Nielsen. Although the number of unique online video viewers only increased by 3.1 percent from last January, level of activity was up as viewers streamed 28 percent more video and spent 45 percent more time watching. Total video streams also saw significant year-over-year growth, up 31.5 percent to 14.5 billion streams.

January 2011: Online Video Usage Up 45% | Nielsen Wire

Cord Swapping, More than Cord Cutting

It might not matter much, in the near term, that end user preferences about consuming video are changing. But it might be quite a dangerous assumption to ignore those changes for the long term.

Many younger users simply have acquired the habit of using online methods for video consumption, as a primary behavior, with linear viewing being supplementary.

CRTC Rethinks Wholesale Broadband Access Policy

Wholesale policies historically have had huge implications for smaller contestants in the telecommunications business. One might rightly point to wholesale policies as the single most-important determinant of competitive local exchange carrier success in the U.S. market, for example.

Something similar seems to have been happening in Canada, where the Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission (CRTC) has moved to change wholesale access pricing policies relating to wholesale Internet access.

After concluding that wholesalers could charge their ISP customers on a metered basis, it now is taking another look at the policy.

CRTC to review billing practices for wholesale Internet services

Apple to "iPod" the iPhone?

Apple is working on the first of a new line of less-expensive iPhones and an overhaul of software services for the devices, people familiar with the matter said, moving to accelerate sales of its smartphones amid growing competition. In a sense, those moves would mean Apple is pursuing an "iPod" strategy, to a certain extent, creating a line of iPhones with various capabilities.

One of the people, who saw a prototype of the phone late last year, said it is intended for sale alongside Apple's existing line. The new device would be about half the size of the iPhone 4, which is the current model.

The new phone—one of its code names is N97—would be available to carriers at about half the price of the main iPhones. That would allow carriers to subsidize most or all of the retail price, putting the iPhone in the same mass-market price range as rival smartphones, the person said. Apple currently sells iPhones to carriers for $625 each on average. With carrier subsidies, consumers can buy iPhones for as little as $199 with a two-year contract.

Apple Works on Line of Less-Expensive iPhones - WSJ.com (subscription required)

Ericsson and Akamai Team for Mobile CDN

Ericsson and Akamai Technologies have announced an "exclusive strategic alliance" focused on bringing to market mobile cloud acceleration solutions aimed at improving end-user Internet experiences such as mobile ecommerce, enterprise applications and internet content.

The companies will jointly develop solutions for the fast-growing market of content and applications delivered to mobile devices. Working with Ericsson, the content and applications already being accelerated over the Internet by Akamai will now also be accelerated over mobile broadband.

Ericsson and Akamai establish exclusive strategic alliance to create mobile cloud acceleration solutions - Ericsson

Real Issues with Broadband

The thing about "problems" is that you have to know when a problem has been largely solved, substantially solved or is so close to being solved that one has to move on to tackle the next set of problems. Internet access and broadband are, in many ways, those sorts of problems. Availability is less and less a problem. Redesigning life and business to take advantage of the changes is where the real work awaits.

The Social Media “Formula”

“Advertising doesn’t work,” one sometimes hears, and is true, at least some of the time, largely because targeting is so difficult. The way people have expressed this is that "half my investment is wasted; I just don't know which half."

Social media typically is seen as a nearly-free way to create earned media results. But sooner or later, you'll start to hear people complaining that "social media doesn't work." That shouldn't be surprising. To the extent that social media works, it is because the speakers have something to say, that people are willing to listen to. That takes effort.

The content can either be something people cannot find someplace else, content that seems to express matters better than can be found elsewhere, or gathers enough of the "good stuff" that people can get to it quickly, without having to work so hard. It's almost the same classic rules that have governed "journalism" for decades.

The Social Media “Formula” : Technology :: American Express OPEN Forum

Mobile Banking Grows 200% in South Korea

In 2010, use of mobile phones for financial transactions and mobile banking in South Korea grew 200 percent. A Bank of Korea survey also shows that by September 2010, some 1.4 million people were registered for smartphone mobile banking.

The Financial Supervisory Service reports that in 2008 44 billion U.S. dollars worth of banking transactions were made using mobile phones, while the first nine months of last year $79 billion dollars worth of transactions occurred.

Arirang | Korea for the World, The World for Korea - Arirang.co.kr

Google's Take on Mobile Advertising

Survey Suggests 8% of Verizon iPhone Buyers Switched from AT&T

A survey of 40 Verizon iPhone 4 buyers on launch day found that just eight percent were previously AT&T customers, compared to 18 percent with Sprint and 13 percent with T-Mobile.

The survey, conducted by analyst Gene Munster, Piper Jaffray analyst, polled users in New York and Minneapolis. Of those polled, 63 percent indicated they are already Verizon customers. Some 18 percent switched from Sprint and 13 percent switched from T-Mobile.

Read more here.

New Devices, New Behaviors

User behavior when on a smartphone is quite different from behavior on a traditional device.

Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers Partner Mary Meeker says nearly half of all smartphone usage represents new activity, such as navigation, game playing, social networking or use of  other non-traditional applications.

About 12 percent of activity is use of the web or web apps. About seven minutes a day is spent checking or interacting with email. About 32 percent of time is spent using voice or text apps.

SureWest Sees Light Demand for 50 Mbps, Almost None for 100 Mbps

SureWest CEO Steve Oldham recently confirmed a stubborn fact: not many customers are willing to pay for a 50-Mbps Internet access service. “We have a 50 Mbps service that a few people are interested in. We would offer a 100 Mbps service if we had anyone who would want to buy it,”Oldham said.

SureWest continues to see fiber investment pay off

Apple Working on Cheaper IPhones?

Apple is working on new versions of the iPhone that are aimed at slowing the advance of competing handsets based on Google Inc.’s Android software, according to Bloomberg.

One version would be cheaper and smaller than the most recent iPhone. Apple also is developing technology that makes it easier to use the iPhone on multiple wireless networks.

Apple Said to Work on Cheaper IPhones to Ward Off Android-Based Handsets - Bloomberg