Tuesday, August 17, 2010

U.S. Consumer Broadband Speeds Double Every Four Years, Prices Down 23%

Despite arguments by many observers that U.S. fixed-line broadband access services are not competitive, it is a curiously "uncompetitive" market where speeds double every four years, for more than a decade, growing 20 percent a year over the last 13 or so years.

Prices are a harder thing to measure, given the changes in the basic product over time. In other words, what a consumer pays today for a broadband connection is not an "apples to apples" comparison, given the doubling of speed every four years. The "product" a consumer can buy today, for any nominal price, is a different product than was purchased four, eight or 12 years ago.

Nevertheless, the American Consumer Institute notes that, between 2004 and 20009 alone, Internet access pricing declined 23 percent.

Another academic study suggests cable modem prices grew 0.8 percent, while digital subscriber line prices grew five percent, between 2004 and 2009. At the same time, cable modem speeds increased 85 percent while DSL speeds increased 80 percent, that same study found.

On a cents-per-bit basis, cable modem prices declined 45 percent, while DSL cost dropped 42 percent. Over that same period of time, the consumer price index grew 14 percent.

Fuel prices increased 26 percent, food increased 15 percent, housing increased 13 percent, medical care prices increased 21 percent and education increased 32 percent.

It is a strange "uncompetitive" market indeed that has doubled "quality" (speeds) every four years while prices overall have declined 23 percent.

Some observers have suggested that the Google-Verizon agreement on how to handle network neutrality is a concession by Verizon that fixed-line broadband actually is "uncompetitive," or at least not as competitive as wireless broadband is. Some observers might argue that Verizon has conceded nothing of the kind.

The FCC study, one might argue, suggests that despite the apparent lack of competition in the fixed-line broadband market, the data suggest consumers are indeed reaping the benefits of competition.

Rich Media, Social Apps Spur Mobile Ad Activity

Social networking is the fastest-growing content category across mobile applications and browsers. Rich media advertising is a beneficiary.

Through its Talk2Me features, iVdopia noted a nearly 80 percent rise in campaigns that used the social rich media ad unit to direct consumers to multiple social networking sites as a call to action within the ad.

Google Got the Most Video Views, Tremor Media the Most Ad Views, in July


Google got the most video views in July, but Tremor Media served up the most video ads in July 2010, according to comScore.

How is RIM’s "Torch" Faring?

In some quarters, fears are mounting that the Torch, RIM’s latest BlackBerry, may not compete so well with the iPhone.

At least one equity analyst has downgraded the company’s rating to neutral from outperform, and to say that last week’s release of the BlackBerry Torch was “decent, but nothing great.”

In addition to downgrading the stock, Wedbush analyst Scott Sutherland also cut his price target on the company’s stock to $57 a share from $65, reports MarketWatch.

Signs of Trouble in the Mobile Handset Business?

Trouble might be brewing in the mobile handset business, if one looks at profits in the industry. Apple is the outstanding winner, and Research in Motion isn't immediately troubled, either.

But Apple's growth seems to have come at the expense of other providers, and doesn't seem to have grown the market.

Industry profits dipped to a bit under $4 billion at the trough of the recession, and have recovered to nearly $6 billion in the holiday quarter last year. But the aggregate data hides a stunning shift of market share.

Motorola and Sony Ericsson had been losing money and only recently have reached breakeven status. LG turned negative in the second quarter of 2010.

Samsung has been consistently profitable and has gained market share.

But Apple and RIM now ern about 65 percent of all profits in the business.

Wireless is Different | AT&T Public Policy Blog

"Unrestricted access rules for wireless networks would hurt users more than help them. They just don’t realize it," writes Fortune.

"Net neutrality would be a serious problem for wireless networks, who all-but-have to prioritize certain types of data-hungry types like say, point-to-point streaming media, over others due to simultaneous usage and current bandwidth limitations," Fortune notes.

"We’ve been making this point for several months now but we can’t emphasize it enough: wireless is simply different," AT&T says on its policy blog.



Verizon Likely Would Use 1 Gbps for B2B Apps

Verizon's recent tests of 1 Gbps service on its FiOS network, aside from marketing implications, might lead to use as mobile backhaul or enterprise access applications, more than a consumer offering, as the firm apparently believes there is little actual end user demand for such services.

Verizon already offers 50 Mbps consumer services and take rates have not apparently been spectacular, for Verizon or any other company that offers such services. You might notice no firm offering such services ever talks about take rates. That typically is because take rates are quite low.

Will Generative AI Follow Development Path of the Internet?

In many ways, the development of the internet provides a model for understanding how artificial intelligence will develop and create value. ...