Saturday, August 1, 2015

T-Mobile US Gains Phone Accounts, AT&T Gains Connected Car Accounts

The near term trend at the top of the U.S. mobile business is that T-Mobile US is taking market share from the other three big providers. Just how much, from which carriers, is a matter of some uncertainty.

Another trend is that AT&T and Verizon are focusing more attention on future markets such as Internet of Things and connected car, for example. In the most recent quarter, AT&T, for example, added many more connected car accounts than phone accounts.

In fact, half of AT&T's net adds were connected car subscriptions.

T-Mobile US, in its most recent quarter, added 760,000 branded postpaid phone net adds, about 400,000 more net adds than Verizon added.

And T-Mobile US says it topped AT&T in terms of postpaid phone net adds by almost 1.1 million in the quarter. Overall, T-Mobile US had 2.1 million total net adds in Q2 and one million branded postpaid net adds, while keeping churn down to 1.3 percent.

T-Mobile US says it has had nine quarters in a row where it took customers, on a net basis, in the postpaid area.

For  eight consecutive quarters, T-Mobile US has had a postpaid porting ratio of greater than two to one from Sprint. In other words, T-Mobile US has gained twice as many subscribers from Sprint as it lost to Sprint.

All that said, the U.S. mobile market remains unstable. Beyond what T-Mobile US might be doing in terms of market share, gaining on the other three providers, new contenders will be entering, at some point. Comcast, Dish Network and Google are among the contenders.

Nobody knows what eventually could happen to market structure, should all three, or even others in addition to those three, enter the market. The market undoubtedly cannot support seven leading operators, each with 30 percent share.

And some would argue a sustainable position in the U.S. market would require something on the order of 30 percent share.

Hard to Argue with the Results: Zero Rating Gets People Online, Sustainably, Rapidly

Zero rating plans enable mobile customers to download and upload online content without incurring data usage charges or having their usage counted against data usage limits.

Zero rating arguably is most important in developing countries, where the costs of mobile data services are higher relative to per capita incomes, where many people have not yet used the Internet.

The obvious benefits of Zero Rating include lower prices for consumers, especially those who might otherwise have difficulty affording mobile data plans, and expanding Internet adoption.

And it works. In the Philippines and elsewhere, high mobile Internet adoption rates occur within the first 30 days of use of Internet.org zero rated apps, Internet.org says.
In the Phlippines, mobile Internet adoption doubled within a year, for example.

Some argue zero rating violates net neutrality principles by discriminating in favor of some content over other content.

That is a tricky argument, if one assumes the purpose of network neutrality rules is primarily to ensure that consumers have access to all lawful applications. In that view, the importance is that no applications are blocked.

But some take a more expansive view of network neutrality, insisting that the “no blocking” rule also includes other practices, such as mandating that no quality of service mechanisms be allowed for consumer Internet access. That colloquially is expressed as barring “fast lanes” in the Internet access business (though fast lanes routinely are used by app providers and access providers in the backbone of the network).

Going farther still, some argue that no business arrangements are allowable that treat any bits, or any apps, “differently” from any others. That is where some view zero rating as problematic.

Critics of Zero Rating worry that it could harm competition in Internet access markets or interfere with consumers' unfettered access to online information.

Some regulators in a handful of countries have taken steps to limit or ban Zero Rating programs.

The government of Chile, the Netherlands, Slovenia, Canada have barred the practice. Norway and India are looking at doing so.

The U.S., Federal Communications Commission says it will evaluate zero rating programs on a case-by-case basis.

But Dr. Jeffrey A. Eisenach, NERA SVP, argues that the two primary criticisms of zero rating--the potential for anticompetitive market foreclosure and concerns about diversity of expression--are misplaced.

Eisenach argues zero rating programs in general represent an economically efficient mechanism for increasing consumer welfare. Though it is tough to measure such impact, Facebook has noted that Internet.org zero rating brings new users onto mobile networks 50 percent faster after launching free basic services.

Within thre first 30 days of use, more than half of the people who come online through Internet.org become mobile data subscribers, Facebook notes.

All zero rating plans share one characteristic: They allow mobile subscribers to access certain online content “for free” – that is, without having the associated data usage counted against their usage allowances under wireless service plans.

The plans differ in two main respects: The types of content included, and the underlying business arrangements.

Zero rating business arrangements vary mainly according to the nature of the relationship between the access provider and the content provider.

The most common form of Zero Rating plans are “carrier initiated” – that is, the mobile carrier simply chooses to zero-rate certain content as a means of attracting customers.

“Sponsored data” plans represent a different model, under which content providers pay carriers to have their content zero rated.

And then there is the Internet.org model, where app providers and carriers agree to work together to provide no-cost access to some apps, but there is no exchange of money between app provider or carrier.

It is hard to deny the value of zero rating where it comes to providing clear incentives for people to sample the Internet, and for quickly converting many non-users into users.

Why Mobile Internet Matters for Google and Facebook

There is a very simple reason why Facebook and Google are so intent on spending their own money to stimulate Internet adoption everywhere. More users means more revenue.

There also is a reason why mobile Internet access is so important to both firms: most of the new users will access the Internet on mobile devices.


During the second quarter of 2015, Facebook worldwide average revenue per user was $2.76, an increase of 23 percent from the second quarter of 2014.


Over this period, ARPU increased by 44 percent in United States and Canada, 19 percent in Asia-Pacific, 18 percent in Europe, and five percent in the rest of the world.


Google, on the other hand, is the 800 pound gorilla in the market, earning about $45 in ARPU  in the first quarter of 2014, for example, compared to Facebook’s $7.20 and Twitter’s $3.50 ARPU in the first quarter of 2014, other analyses suggest.


But those figures also explain why Facebook and Google have spent so much time and money to boost Internet usage globally. More people connected to the Internet means more revenue.




It has been said that Facebook is an app intended for use by mobile users. That might not have been quite so true at first, but is stunningly accurate now. In June 2015 Facebook had 963 million daily active users.


In the same month, Facebook had 844 million mobile active users, or about 88 percent of the volume of all active users.


Facebook had 655 million mobile-only monthly active users as of June 30, 2015, increasing 64 percent from 399 million mobile-only MAUs during the same period in 2014.


The remaining 659 million mobile MAUs accessed Facebook from both mobile devices and personal computers during June 2015.


Facebook says “we anticipate that growth in mobile users will continue to be the driver of our user growth for the foreseeable future.”





Friday, July 31, 2015

SoftBank Remains Committed to Sprint Turn Around; Will Take Time

SoftBank President Nikesh Arora says the company still is committed to turning around Sprint Corp. While it might be the case that a person in that position must say such things, Arora also seems to acknowledge it will take some time.

“Telecom business is a long-term business...It takes a while to shift the direction in the industry,” said Arora.

SoftBank bought Sprint in 2013 for about $22 billion. Today Sprint is worth about $13.7 billion, in terms of equity value. In other words, Sprint’s equity value has to climb $8 billion just to reach the original purchase price.

Do do that, Sprint will have to start making money. In the first quarter of 2015, Sprint still was losing money.

At least so far, Sprint has remained committed to competing as a full-service, national provider. Indeed, it is hard to see how a long-term turnaround could succeed with any other strategy. A retreat to some sort of niche role, at this point, likely would ensure that Sprint never would recover its full original value.

The reason is that a niche strategy would not supply the revenue scale Sprint needs. Today, Sprint is among the top four “full-line generalists” in the U.S. mobile market, competing across a full range of products and markets.

That strategy requires volume and market share, as financial performance tends to improver with additional scale. In that regard, Sprint presently has about 15 percent share, far above the level it might otherwise have as a niche provider, if it could uncover such a role.

Specialists tend to be margin-driven players, and their financial performance deteriorates as they increase their share of the broad market.

Comcast, Australian NBN to Deploy DOCSIS 3.1 in 2016, 2017

It isn’t clear precisely when, and in what quantities, the DOCSIS 3.1 standard will be commercially deployed, but Australia and the United States likely will be early to do so.

Comcast has said it will deploy DOCSIS 3.1, designed to support 10 Gbps in the downlink, early in 2016.

NBN Co in Australia has said it will introduce “Data Over Cable Service Interface Specification 3.1 (DOCSIS)” by about 2017.
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DOCSIS 3.1 supports download speeds of up to 10Gbps and up to 1Gbps upstream.

More than three million homes and businesses in Brisbane, Melbourne, Perth, Adelaide, Sydney and the Gold Coast are earmarked to receive the National Broadband Network over the Hybrid Fibre Coaxial (HFC) network that presumably will be engineered to support DOCSIS 3.1, even if DOCSIS 3.0 initially is used by many consumers.

The issue is largely dictated by marketplace realities. Not many consumers will happily pay hundreds of dollars to buy a multi-gigabit service, when lower-cost megabit services that work well can be purchased.

100 Million in Asia Now Buy FTTH Subscriptions

Asia is a place of large numbers. More people means more of almost everything, including fiber to home connections. About 100 million people in the Asia-Pacific region are now subscribed to Fiber-to-the-Home (FTTH) services, according to Ovum

That growth is a continuation of 2014 trends. Fiber to home subscribers in Asia Pacific rose 35 percent to 115.8 million at the end of 2014, according to other statistics published by IDATE.

The number of homes connected with fiber, meanwhile, increased 36.8 percent to 338 million by the end of 2014, up 36.8 percent from 2013.

Japan leads the region with 100 percent of homes passed, followed by South Korea and Singapore with 95 percent each.

Taiwan, Hong Kong, Malaysia and China also are among the top eight.

#maketechhuman

Sometimes we forget why we do things. This is a reminder

economic times.com
Nokia invites you to a debate on how technology can truly serve humanity.
20 years ago, on this very day, an epic journey was started. A journey of connecting millions of Indians with the help of a revolutionary technology. It was the day when the first mobile call was made in India on a Nokia handset, using a network built by Nokia.
Today as Nokia celebrates the 20th anniversary of mobile telephony in India and the 150th year of its existence, the torchbearer of mobile technology is turning a new leaf. Nokia in association with The Economic Times, is bringing #maketechhuman, a global debate about the human possibilities of technology and the positive and even negative impacts that technological developments may have on people's lives, to India. The aim is to engage major influencers in the technology field in India adding their own voices and perspectives to the conversation in the context of emerging and unique economies like India.
maketechhuman enabled by NOKIA

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