Wednesday, February 27, 2008

Citizens Sees Slowdown in California and Arizona

It's just another small data point, but Citizens Communications says it does detect a slowdown in sales it believes is related to economic sluggishness in areas serving about 12 percent of its customers.

"We do see a slowdown in the economy in our California and Arizona markets," says Maggie Wilderotter, Citizens Communications CEO. And it seems to be housing related.

California and Arizona are "the only two markets that we have that have definitely had the housing issues," Wilderotter says.

"So, from the gross add perspective, what we have seen is a slowdown in gross adds out there, but it is not about the competition necessarily getting them," she notes.

"It is also about housing remaining vacant at the moment until inventory starts to get absorbed," Wilderotter says.

So what might be notably different about this particular dip in economic growth, compared to earlier slowdowns the telecom and cable industries have weathered, is the overhang of unsold homes whose owners might be disconnecting services.

That doesn't mean disconnection or downgrades at the primary residence, but at the second or investment homes.

So far, though, Citizens hasn't seen anything material in terms of bad debt on the small business side of its business. That's important, as small businesses represent roughly 50 percent of company revenues, and about 92 percent of our business customers.

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