Monday, May 25, 2020

No Surprise, Net Profit Margins are Generally Lower than in Monopoly Era

Globally, a  typical retail connectivity service provider selling to consumers and businesses, likely with universal service obligations, tends to have net profit margins in the five percent range, according to Deloitte, perhaps six percent in the first quarter of 2020, making the business more profitable than low-margin grocery retailing but far less profitable than finance or technology services. 


source: Factset


Ironically, those sorts of net profit margins are close to monopoly-era margins as well. In the monopoly days, profit margins were set at guaranteed rates of return not much different, often in the six percent to eight percent range. The difference is attributable in large part to competition, which tends to lead to lower prices and therefore lower profit margins for suppliers. 


But product substitution also plays a part, as consumer and business demand shifts from legacy to new products, not all of which require purchase of a service provider product. Better technology also plays a role in enabling supply of better or more product at equivalent or lower prices. 


That illustrates a near zero pricing trend for basic connectivity products, especially on a per-bit, per-incremental-unit or per-use basis. Over time, connectivity prices have tended to mirror computation prices: better performance and declining prices over time. 


In fact, some major business models are premised on near-zero pricing for computing and communications goods. Microsoft’s software business, Netflix, Amazon, Google and 
Facebook provide examples of major business models built on the assumption of cheap communications and cheap computing. 


That can be seen in declining average revenue per user or commoditization.

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