Thursday, July 30, 2020

How Much More Can Tier-One Connectivity Suppliers Become Asset Light?

Occasionally over the last few decades, it has been proposed that telcos consider ways to become asset light operators. That advice--to monetize assets--continues to be offered. The issue is what portions of the infrastructure can be spun off or sold. 


In the U.S. market, asset light was recommended for competitive local exchange carriers, at one time able to buy “unbundled network element-provisioned” wholesale services at as much as a 40-percent discount to retail prices. 


In many international markets, mobile virtual network operators are a less-risky way to enter a new market. 


In Europe and other markets, bitstream and other forms of unbundled local loop access have been created to allow asset-light wholesale entry into the telecom market. 


From time to time, observers have speculated on the degree to which it might be possible for new competitors to use unlicensed spectrum assets such as Wi-Fi to create competition for mobile or fixed internet access. At the very least, cable operators and outfits such as Fon argue that a shared Wi-Fi network allows offloading of local mobile phone traffic, thus reducing purchases of wholesale mobile connectivity. 


In specialized areas, such as cell tower facilities, many mobile operators have concluded that sharing the cost of base stations with competitors or selling such assets (with leaseback) is a way to unlock value while becoming a bit more asset light. 


The new issue is whether it is possible to unbundle even more elements of a connectivity provider’s asset base, such as optical fiber facilities serving business customers. Attice, for example, recently sold 49.99 percent of its  Lightpath fiber enterprise business to Morgan Stanley Infrastructure Partners. 


Others have suggested that CenturyLink sell its optical network assets, or at least separate the consumer from the enterprise business. Right now, the enterprise part of CenturyLink accounts for 75 percent of revenue, the consumer business just 25 percent. 


source: S&P Global


Some assets are easier to separate than others. Cell towers and data centers are discrete assets many telcos have divested. In principle, the wide area networks could possibly be divested, though owner’s economics would still be an argument in favor of retaining that portion of their networks. As always is the case, volume improves the economics of owning assets. 


In principle, other new assets, such as small cell installations or backhaul facilities, might be candidates for infrastructure sharing, especially when it is possible to separate the value of facilities from the use of those capabilities to support the core customer experience. 


The issue is whether some operators might become so good at creating and monetizing intangible assets that they can risk shifting in the direction of asset-light or non-facilities-based operations on a wider scale. Few tier-one telcos have felt it was wise to divest access networks.


Access network assets remain quite scarce and therefore valuable in most markets and arguably are the hardest parts of the infrastructure to consider divesting. 


“If telcos do not reconfigure their value chains, other parties may step in, as disaggregated telco assets are being valued differently,” consultants at Arthur D. Little have argued. The problem is that creating more value remains a huge challenge, as the ability to enter new parts of the value chain, though risky for any participant, is asymmetrical. 


Connectivity represents about 17 percent of the revenue earned annually by firms in the internet value chain. The bad news is that connectivity share is dropping.

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