Sunday, January 28, 2024

Big New AI Business Models, Use Cases, Industries Will Come from Solving New Problems

One question many of us are asking ourselves is where dangers and opportunities are to be found as artificial intelligence is applied to more processes, functions, products and industries. And it might be quite humbling--but accurate--to say that much remains unknown. 


And that is simply the way new technology tends to unfold. Many firms were created using core technology developed at Xerox PARC, including 3Com, Adobe and Synoptics. But “the success of some of these departing spinoffs was largely unforeseen, and unforeseeable,” said Henry Chesrough in Open Innovation


Consider what innovations the internet brought that likely were unexpected by most of us, such as social media; crowdsourcing, the sharing economy or search, as well as many innovations that already were in place, such as open source. 


Many other forms of disintermediation, where steps in a value chain were removed, are obvious: e-commerce; education, gaming or user-generated content. 


Other unfolding developments, such as virtual reality or cryptocurrency, are less directly-created by the internet, but generally require its use. 


Innovation

Unexpected Value

Use Cases

Revenue Models

Companies & Industries

Search Engines

Democratization of information, knowledge discovery, access to global resources

Finding anything online, researching topics, exploring new ideas

Advertising, affiliate marketing, premium features

Google, Bing, Yandex, Baidu, search engine marketing agencies

Social Media

Connection & community beyond physical limitations

Sharing experiences, building relationships, expressing oneself, marketing & branding

Advertising, subscriptions, data monetization

Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, Influencer marketing

Sharing economy (e.g., Uber, Airbnb)

Sharing resources & assets for income generation

Transportation, accommodation, peer-to-peer rentals, skills & services

Transaction fees, commissions, advertising, subscriptions

Uber, Airbnb, Lyft, Turo, TaskRabbit

Crowdsourcing

Collective intelligence and distributed problem-solving

Gathering diverse perspectives, generating content, finding solutions, conducting research

Platform fees, micro-transactions, project funding

Wikipedia, Kickstarter, Upwork, Freelancer

E-commerce

Convenient shopping beyond physical stores

Broader product access, competitive pricing, personalized recommendations, 24/7 availability

Online sales, marketplace commissions, product subscriptions

Amazon, Alibaba, Etsy, Online retail in every imaginable niche

Open-source software

Collaborative development and access to free software

Innovation through community involvement, cost-effective solutions, customization, security patches

Donations, sponsorships, enterprise support, premium features

Linux, Apache, WordPress, Open-source frameworks for various fields

Streaming services

On-demand access to vast entertainment libraries

Cord-cutting from traditional media, personalized recommendations, global content reach

Subscriptions, pay-per-view, ad-supported tiers

Netflix, Spotify, YouTube, Streaming platforms for music, games, podcasts, educational content

Online education

Accessible learning beyond geographical and financial constraints

Flexible learning pathways, personalized courses, diverse instructors, upskilling & reskilling

Course fees, subscriptions, micro-credentials, corporate training

Coursera, Udemy, Khan Academy, Online learning for academic degrees, professional development, personal interests

Cryptocurrency

Decentralized financial system and alternative store of value

Peer-to-peer transactions, global reach, inflation resistance, new investment opportunities

Blockchain technology, transaction fees, mining rewards, DeFi applications

Bitcoin, Ethereum, Stablecoins, Cryptocurrency exchanges, NFTs, Blockchain-based financial services

Blogging & personal branding

Sharing individual voice and expertise with a global audience

Building influence, establishing thought leadership, connecting with communities, potential for income generation

Advertising, sponsored content, affiliate marketing, product sales, consulting services

WordPress, Blogger, Medium, Independent creators across various fields


And perhaps one of the lessons of innovation is that big breakthroughs happen mostly when innovators try to solve new problems, not fix existing problems.


And right now, virtually everything we see and hear about AI is how it can help fix some existing process. That’s useful, to be sure. 


But the big, unexpected new use cases, revenue models and value will happen where we are perhaps least expecting it. 


New technology can create entirely new markets and value chains when it is harnessed to meet unmet needs we did not recognize. We did not “know” we needed search or social media. We did not know we needed mobile computing and connectivity devices or personal computing appliances. 


AI undoubtedly will, in context, be viewed as an app, a use case, a function or a capability. But in other cases it will be viewed as a platform to support new business business models, industries and types of firms. 


We just don’t know--yet--how all that will develop.


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