Thursday, January 23, 2025

AI Doesn't Change Who You Are

Some might argue that the internet makes us lazy, the way people used to worry that student use of calculators would similarly make them mathematically lazy.


It's probably more correct to say that lazy people will use tools in a lazy way. So it will likely be for artificial intelligence: some will argue its use will make users less capable in some ways.


We already see the impact: teachers know that AI can write, but they want to assess whether their students can do so. To be sure, students have, in the past, found other ways to spoof writing. AI only makes it easier. But it will likely be harder to measure writing ability in the future.


But that is true of all tools. Paintbrushes do not make me a better painter. I'm not good at that. My brother is a painter and brushes make a difference for him.


In a perhaps-similar way, thinking habits will not be changed by AI. Thoughtful people still will be thoughtful. Evidence will still matter for those who believe evidence matters.


Some argue that “financial analysis by economists and industry experts has shown that the primary driver behind the sky-high prices of groceries throughout the country is corporate greed,” as an assertion unsupported by references to such analysis. 


Some might point to grocer profit gains of about 2.5 percent as the result of “price gouging,” but others might not there were so many other variables at work during the Covid pandemic that even some amount of market consolidation does not actually explain much of the variance. 


The typical evidence claimed (when provided at all) is that company profits have risen a bit more than the combined input costs since the Covid pandemic began. 


Still, a rational person might argue that many forces have contributed to high grocery prices since the Covid pandemic, and that some portion of higher profits might have occurred because of market concentration (consolidation). 


Among forces causing higher prices:

  • Supply chain disruptions that created shortages

  • Labor shortages

  • Government cash injections at a time when production declined 

  • Increased demand (panic buying, stockpiling, and changes in consumer behavior)

  • Rising energy and transportation costs

  • Global commodity price increases

  • Geopolitical instability (Russia-Ukraine war)

No comments:

AI Assistant Revenue Upside Mostly Will be Measured Indirectly

Amazon expects Rufus , its AI shopping assistant, to indirectly contribute over $700 million in operating profits this year, Business Intel...