Monday, August 2, 2010

iPhone 4, Samsung Galaxy S (Captivate), Evo 4G

Here's a review of the Apple iPhone 4m the Samsung Galaxy S (Captivate) and the HTC Evo 4G.

HTC Evo WiFi Hotspot Function Demo

Who Ever Thought Verizon Would Not Need the iPhone?

Make no mistake, Apple's iPhone has been a huge success for AT&T. Other carriers, and the most often mentioned candidate, Verizon Wireless, would likely not spurn the chance to sell the iPhone.

But it is just possible that Android devices now are getting enough traction that Verizon Wireless, though it might want to sell the iPhone, does not actually need to sell the iPhone.

That is a big shift. Android's growth, fueled by Verizon exclusives such as the Droid X and Droid Incredible, might finally be reaching the point where the issue no longer is so critical.

The Android-powered HTC devices might be reaching such critical mass that going too far out of the way to get an iPhone deal is less important. Apple has a carefully-cultivated and faithful following. But most people are not Apple addicts. If the Android can demonstrate it is as easy to use, supports the same apps, costs the same and works the same, most people are likely to give it a look.

Right now HTC seems to have captured most of those qualities.

Not Your Imagination: People Do Different Things on Their Mobiles

The way U.S. consumers spend their Internet time on their mobile phones is different from the way they spend their time when interacting with Internet applications and services on their PCs, the Nielsen Company has found.

If total Internet use were one hour, the top PC apps would be social networking and blogs, at 13 minutes, 36 seconds of use. Games would occupy six minutes, six seconds. Email tasks would consume five minutes. Use of portals would come in at two minutes, 35 seconds. Search would occupy two minutes, six seconds.

On a mobile device, applications usage patterns are very different. Email activities account for 25 minutes, while seven minutes are consumed interacting with portals. Social networking and blogs would occupy six miinutes, 18 seconds, while search would occupy four minutes.

The Nielsen survey also found a28 percent rise in the prevalence of social networking behavior on the part of mobile Internet users, but the dominance of email activity on mobile devices also was highly pronounced, with an increase from 37.4 percent to 41.6 percent of U.S. mobile Internet time.

Portals remain as the second heaviest activity on mobile Internet (11.6 percent share of time), despite their double digit decline and social networking’s rise to account for 10.5 percent share means the gap is much smaller than a year ago (14.3 percent vs. 8.3 percent).

Other mobile Internet activities seeing significant growth include music, video and movies, both seeing 20 percent plus increases in share of activity year over year. As these destinations gain share, it’s at the cost of other content consumption. News, current events and sports destinations saw more than a 20 percent drop in share of U.S. mobile Internet time.

There seems to be a clear lesson here. People do not have unlimited money or time to spend with applications. So as applications proliferate, users will have to make choices about how they use their time. A day, after all, is a zero-sum game. People might be able to multitask up to a point, but only up to a point. Even if users had unlimited funds, they would not have unlimited time to spend on mobile applications.

“Despite the almost unlimited nature of what you can do on the web, 40 percent of U.S. online time is spent on just three activities, social networking, playing games and emailing leaving a whole lot of other sectors fighting for a declining share of the online pie,” said Nielsen analyst Dave Martin.

more detail here

Top 10 Mobile Downloads

What are the top 10 downloads to mobiles, across ecosystems?

GetJar conducted a review of more than 70,000 apps within its store in July 2010, and Facebook was number one. But messaging, search and mail were among the top 10 apps.

Other leading categories include lifestyle, entertainment, music, maps, search, financial, sports and productivity downloads, though.

Teens are Distracted Drivers (As if Anybody Doesn't Know That)

Almost nine in 10 teenage drivers (86 percent) have driven while distracted, even though 84 percent of teen drivers know it’s dangerous, according to the American Automobile Association. A survey conducted in May of nearly 2,000 male and female teen drivers ages 16 to 19 revealed that 73 percent have adjusted their radio/CD/MP3 player, 61 percent have eaten food, and 60 percent have talked on a cell phone while driving.

Firefox Market Share Drops


If you are a user who has come to value Mozilla Firefox, you might not be so happy to learn that Firefox has lost a bit of market share against Chrome for three straight months, according to the latest statistics from NetMarketShare. Chrome now has about seven percent global market share.

Many observers would suggest that Google's Chrome is likely to continue doing so, mostly at Mozilla’s expense. Firefox still has about 23 percent share of the global browser market, while Apple's Safari, for example, has just a bit over five percent.

Microsoft’s Internet Explorer saw its usage share rise a slender 0.42 per cent in June 2010, presumably on the strength of Internet Explorer 8, which boasts improved security and apparently is benefiting from a rather extensive marketing campaign. Microsoft has 61 percent share of the global browser market.

Sunday, August 1, 2010

Rural Broadband Stimulus "Not Enough"

"Broadband is capital intensive, and the level of available (stimulus or other support) funding in the future will influence the ability to achieve big leaps in the level of broadband availability and the rate of upgrades," said Chris Campbell, director of the Vermont Telecommunications Authority.

He's absolutely right: the "broadband stimulus" always was too small to make much of a direct change in rural broadband adoption.

But that's only acknowledging the disparity between urban, suburban and rural communications infrastructure. The costs of deploying modern, up-to-date terrestrial infrastructure always are quite high in the most-rural areas.

In fact, in the most-rural areas, it is virtually impossible to create a self-funding business case, which is why we have subsidy programs of various types.

Of course the broadband stimulus was not enough. Nothing other than permanent subsidies will ever be enough if you are talking about terrestrial, fixed networks.

Martin Geddes on Socio-Economic Impact of Cloud Communications

"Telcos in particular are selling very outdated products, particular with voice, that needs substantial rethinking if it's going to have a viable business model going forwards, consultant Martin Geddes says.

If you want to know what might happen next month, or even next year, or if you want a technology tutorial, Martin Geddes is not necessarily what you will be looking for.

If you want to know the deeper, broader trends that shape communications, and what service providers might have to do to re-architect their business models, you might not be able to do better than to listen to Martin.

Here's an audio and written version of his latest musing on the future service provider business model.

Apple Pulls "Other Phones Suck" Videos

Apple apparently has taken down the videos it has been showing of other smartphones experiencing signal indicator drops when held.

Saturday, July 31, 2010

Backhaul Portion of Harbinger Capital Plan is Where Questions Might be Asked

Of several questions that might be raised about the Harbinger Capital plan to create a new national wholesale fourth-generation mobile network using the Long Term Evolution air interface and satellite backhaul, nothing is more important than the ability to attract enough capital to build the network, and the ability to get at least a few  anchor tenants.

The other issue is how the backhaul can be optimized in terms of latency performance. Putting a fleet of satellites into low-earth orbit is one way to reduce latency. Doing so for birds located in geostationary orbit will be more of a trick. Streaming video won't necessarily be an issue.

But interactive applications, such as gaming, voice, videoconferencing and enterprise apps, might be. The ground-based LTE network is a clever idea. Apparently wholesale customers will be able to lease ground segment separately from satellite backhaul.

But that will pose some issues for would-be wholesale customers as well: how to create the fiber backhaul network supporting all those LTE sites. A rational observer might conclude that a would-be anchor tenant would be better off leasing capacity from Clearwire, which will have the backhaul in place as a necessary part of building out its radio sites, without the satellite latency issues to contend with.

Perhaps there is some clever way to use the proposed Harbinger network's satellite backhaul only for apps where latency is not an issue, keeping latency-sensitive traffic confined to the terrestrial fiber networks. Maybe using it for video on demand only is one such approach.

The issue would seem to be that satellite transponders are optimized for point-to-multipoint video distribution. "On demand" services can be provided, but do not play to the network's advantages.

At some point, complexity becomes the enemy, though. Ways to seamlessly integrate other terrestrial 4G and 3G networks with a separate satellite network potentially are workable. But the cost and complexity might be relatively high.

If demand proves robust enough, one could conceive of a telemetry network build around the Harbinger network that is designed specifically for applications that are latency in-senstive. But Harbinger would not be the first company to attempt a business model for applications and customers that proved not to be sufficient.

http://www.o3bnetworks.com/video/video_03.html?height=315&width=400

Friday, July 30, 2010

Fiber Connections: Australian Company Can't Give Them Away

Only half of the homes and businesses in the three Tasmanian towns involved in stage one of the Australian National Broadband Network rollout have chosen to connect to the network. The connection is free, and puts into place the network that will completely replace the old copper network within eight years.

The connection also is the equivalent of a "dark fiber" connection at the moment. At some later point, retail providers will lease capacity and try to sell services to consumers. But none of that is "live" now.

The opposition will prove expensive at some point. Any business or home that does not opt to get the free install now will have to pay for a "live" connection in the future.

Apparently, people simply do not understand the proposition. It's an interesting development.

Typical Small Business Search Advertiser Spends $2231 Per Year


Small businesses have dramatically increased their spending on search advertising over the past year, up 159 percent, in fact.

Kindle's Future in an "iPad World"

 Jeff Bezos, Amazon.com CEO, thinks there is plenty of room in the market for optimized e-book readers.
Bezos believes the Kindle can continue to succeed as a device that’s dedicated to reading, especially long-form reading. Amazon isn’t looking to “create an experience." Amazon thinks the author will create the experience.

In a world with short attention spans, one would hope Bezos is right. Fast-paced, short form content is good for lots of things. Reflection isn't typically one of them.

Voice Quality Isn't What It Used to Be

Most people, despite the reliance placed on their mobile phones, likely would say there are times when call quality isn't very good and calls get dropped. Most users of business-grade IP telephony and consumer VoIP might also agree that there are times, especially on multi-party conference calls, when quality also is not good, despite the measures taken to control each discrete set of resources.

Unfortunately, for all the good things that loosely-coupled systems make possible (faster innovation, greater creativity, lower end user prices), one of the downsides is inability to control session quality end-to-end.

The old AT&T monopoly might not have been so good at innovation and pricing (slow innovation and high prices) but it was very good at ensuring high quality.

Yes, Follow the Data. Even if it Does Not Fit Your Agenda

When people argue we need to “follow the science” that should be true in all cases, not only in cases where the data fits one’s political pr...