Some observers say Google is "behind" in the AI "race." I'm not among those who believe the present state of development--who is "in the lead"--is at all related to what happens in the future.
The early leaders in the hobbyist personal computer space did not emerge as leaders of the mass market business.
The early leaders in music streaming did not become the present leaders in that area.
MySpace, though early in the social media space, did not emerge as a leader in the more-mature market that followed.
That is not to say it cannot happen that an early pioneer emerges as the leader in the fully-commercial markets that develop over time. Amazon and Netflix are good examples.
Still, early success does not typically guarantee leadership in the big markets to follow.
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