LTE Adoption Will Take Some Time: It Always Does

It will take at least five years before Long Term Evolution devices represent 25 percent of mobile broadband device sales (PC dongles, not phones), once they are introduced, and it might take as long as 16 years before LTE device sales reach their peak, based on past experience with new mobile air interfaces and device sales, according to Keith Mallinson, founder of WiseHarbor Research.

Assuming the first LTE networks activate in early 2011, that implies it will be 2016 before dongles and aircards based on LTE will represent a quarter of broadband dongle and aircard sales.

Mallinson also predicts it will be 2019 before LTE device sales are equal to CDMA-based technology devices, such as those using EV-DO, and HSPA/HSPA+.

History suggests that new mobile technologies to peak demand takes far longer than the five years, and as much as 16 years for a mobile technology to mature.

That suggests today's third-generation networks will be dominant for quite some time. AT&T Mobility, for example, recently surprised observers when it decided that, instead of moving directly to LTE, it would upgrade its existing 3G network to HSPA+. That will prove a quick bandwidth boost from about 3.5 Mbps to 7.2 Mbps for a relatively small amount of capital investment, even as it plans to start building its 4G network in 2011.

But such plans also mean that AT&T can target its 4G build to the most-dense markets, and count on the faster 3G network in less-dense areas that the company might take some time to build out, as typically is the case when new mobile networks are constructed..

link

Mobiles for E-Commerce: 12% of Users

According to the Mobile Marketing Association, about 12 percent of consumers recently surveyed report having used their mobiles to get coupons or other promotions, buy goods or services using the mobile device.

Some 17 percent say they have used their handsets to purchase applications or other digital content. Given current penetration of smartphones, somewhere above 30 percent of the installed base of all mobile phones, those are impressive statistics, since it implies more than half of all smartphone users have downloaded apps, while about 40 percent have used their mobiles for digitally-delivered coupons or promotions.

Digital Marketing Blog:

Twitter for iPhone: No Twitter Account Needed

Twitter for iPhone and iPod touch is available for free on the iTunes App Store and people can even use Twitter to read top tweets, browse trends, find people and read public tweets from users located nearby without actually having a Twitter account.

The whole idea is to make it real easy for people to use Twitter on their iPhones. Discovery and consumption of interesting, relevant information is a central focus.

Quick and easy signup exists within the application so new users won't need to visit the Twitter web site to create an account.

Twitter Blog: Twitter for iPhone

iPhone Users Want VoIP "Dialer"

Toktumi recently conducted asurvey of their Line2 iPhone users asking them if they would be interested inusing Line2 as their primary dialer instead of the built-in iPhone cell dialer.

Apparently, more than ver 82 percent (998 out of 1210) of respondents said they would be interested inswitching to Line2 VoIP as their primary mode of calling.

It isn't so clear whether that represents a desire for lower-cost mobile calling, a desire for a different "dialer" app, or better indoor signal reception. There is some indication it actually is signal reception that drives the results, rather than calling cost or dialer functionality.

The number one reason users gave for trying Line2 was to make calls over Wi-Fi VoIPdue to poor cell reception.

Hostreview.com New Line2 Survey Reveals 82.47% of iPhone Users Are Interested in Using VoIP as Their Primary Calling Platform

WebOS Coming to Slates and Printers - HP CEO

Hewlett-Packard has said it would leverage Palm's WebOS for additional devices such as tablet devices and printers, and HP CEO Mark Hurd has confirmed exactly that. HP “expects to leverage WebOS into a variety of form factors, including slates and Web-connected printers."

WebOS Coming to Slates and Printers - HP CEO

The Web Is Killing Radio, Newspapers, Magazines And TV

From 2004 to 2009, stats from Forrester say that use of the web is up 117 percent in terms of how people spend their time in a day. That may not be too surprising, but what’s interesting is that all of the other major forms of media consumption are down or flat during the same period.

Listening to the radio is down 18 percent, reading newspapers is down 17 percent, reading magazines is down six percent, and watching TV has seen no growth.

What is good for some contestants in some parts of each ecosystem obviously is not so good for others in the same ecosystem.

Google I/O: The Web Is Killing Radio, Newspapers, Magazines, And TV:

Android Sales Eclipse iPhone, Another Study Finds

Android phone sales have overtaken the iPhone in the North American market for the first time, Gartner found today. That is the second study conducted recently that suggests Android sales are overtaking Apple sales.

Thanks to a 906 percent surge in shipments worldwide to 5.21 million phones, Google's mobile OS outpaced Apple's in North America and the United States in particular.

Worldwide, Apple still comfortably outsold the combined Android platform, jumping from 10.5 percent of the market a year ago to 15.4 percent. Gartner however expects Android to overtake the iPhone before long as its worldwide sales grew six times larger over the same space of time, from 1.6 percent to 9.6 percent. Carolina Milanesi, Gartner VP, says the rapidly closing gap is an inevitable result of sheer scale.

"You have one vendor with one model and eight to nine vendors with many models -- of course you get bigger volumes," she said.

Most Android sales came from HTC and Motorola, which shipped 2.6 million and 2.3 million total smartphones each. Samsung has also been a significant contributor.

"In the first quarter of 2010, smartphone sales to end users saw their strongest year-on-year increase since 2006," said Carolina Milanesi, research vice president at Gartner. “This quarter saw RIM, a pure smartphone player, make its debut in the top five mobile devices manufacturers, and saw Apple increase its market share by 1.2 percentage points. Android’s momentum continued into the first quarter of 2010, particularly in North America, where sales of Android-based phones increased 707 per cent year-on-year.

In the smartphone OS market, Android and Apple were the winners in the first quarter of 2010. Android moved to fourth position, displacing Microsoft Windows Mobile for the first time. Both Android and Apple were the only two OS vendors among the top five to increase market share year-on-year. Symbian remained in the top position but continued to lose share, primarily based on its weakness at the high end of the market.

Smartphones accounted for 17.3 per cent of all mobile handset sales in the first quarter of 2010, up from 13.6 per cent in the same period in 2009.