Between 1990 and 2010, the number of people living in “extreme poverty” declined by 50 percent in developing countries, from 43 percent to 21 percent, lifting about a billion people out of extreme poverty.
And though the implications will be discomforting for some, free market capitalism is the reason for the progress.
Poverty rates started to collapse towards the end of the 20th century largely because developing-country growth accelerated, from an average annual rate of 4.3 percent in 1960-2000 to six percent in 2000-10.
That is important since 66 percent of poverty reduction within any country comes from growth.
To be sure, greater income equality can contribute about 33 percent. A one percent increase in incomes in the most unequal countries produces a mere 0.6 percent reduction in poverty; in the most equal countries, it yields a 4.3 percent cut in poverty.
Still, since so much of the recent rise has occurred in China, lifting the next billion out of extreme poverty likely will be tougher.
It is easy to attribute most ills of modern life to capitalism. But those attributions are wrong, on one important dimension. If you want to eliminate poverty, free markets work better than anything else we have been able to devise. It rarely works without externalities.
But trying to cure all the externalities will fail if the growth engine itself is constrained. Without growth, we cannot solve any of our key problems. That isn’t to say growth does not create some problems: it does.
Still, without growth, almost nothing else is possible.
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