Apple and Nokia are on radically different trajectories, at least where it comes to smart phone market share, say analysts at Generator Research. The firm believes Nokia will tumble from about 40 percent share today to just 20 percent in 2013. Apple's share, meanwhile, should accelerate and hit 33 percent of the market at the same point.
Apple would match Nokia's share sometime in 2011 and ship as many as 77 million phones that year.
Observers rightly point out that the mobile handset is a complicated business with lots of subtle angles. It also appears to be a business where new attackers can dislodge global incumbents.
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